# The October 1995 Dairy Herd Improvement informa tion for dairy herds from the DHI processing center in Provo, Utah. The list includes herds from Maryland, Pen nsylvania, and West Virginia. The information is listed by herd name, county association, number of cows in the herd and the average production per cow in the herd. To Baltlmora County Hard Cows In Milk Avg Brsad Hard! FCM T H 171 68.9 Carolina County Hard Cows In Milk Avg Braad Hard T FCM T H 188 73.4 Carroll County Hard Nama Steve Wilson Herd Name Faithland Farm Hard Mama MD-Carrollton James & John Myers Windsor Manor Garstlyn Holsteins Panora Acras Inc. R.A. S.L. Doody Garstlyn Brownswiss Maple Lawn Farm, Inc. Marlin Hoff Jerry & Rick Lease H 100 66.6 Eric F-Faith M. Burall H 102 66.3 Flint Hill Farm Thomas H. Muller Frederick County Herd Herd Cows In Milk Avg Name Breed Herd T FCM T Savage-Leigh Farm H 177 89.2 Hannahs Dist Springs Farm H 58 85.2 Wayne Z Tucker H 147 81.4 Hobble-Hill Holsteins H Dave & Carole Doody H Wilcom, Donald L. Spring-Vale Holsteins Glade-Rock Farm H Paul & Karen Dotterer H MD-Garden Spot Farm H Enfield Farm Hara Vale Farms Smith-Mead Brown Swiss Br. Swiss Fir-Thorne H Harshman Partners H Smith-Mead Farm H Dublin Hills Swiss Br. Swiss Paul K Coblentz & Sons H K Scott & Judy Hood H Leigh Castle Holsteins H Holtorholm Farms H Fir-Thorne-B Br. Swiss Josh Grossnickle H Taylor Made Farm Clovertop Farm, Inc. Grossnickle Farm Inc, Dairy Economists Explore Possible Effects Of Industry Deregulation MARK STEPHENSON Cornell University Sr. Extension Associate ITHACA, N.Y.—Navigating a deregulated dairy industry is an uncharted course, but thanks to more than 50 of the nation’s dairy economists and policy analysts the industry now has a partial map. The group met in Kansas City, Mo., Oct. 24-25, to discuss “The 1995 Farm Bill: Implications and Impacts,” the topic of the second Invitational Workshop for Dairy Economists and Policy Analysts, sponsored by the Extension Edu cation Committee of the Cornell Program on Dairy Markets and Policy. What the industry would look like if federal price supports and marketing orders were eliminated, as proposed by the U.S. House of Representatives, was the major topic of discussion. And whether cooperatives would be able to effectively repre sent their members is a critical question for dairy producers living in a deregulated world. Dairy cooperatives could be nearly unrecognizable. “Co-ops must compete, not cooperate," concluded one of five discussion groups. Co-ops must play by the “Eat or be eaten” rule, the group added. Others predicted that cooperation between co-ops would increase. Maryland DHI A Report For October Hard Cows In Milk Avg Braad Hard! FCM T H 55 75.3 H 77 74.9 H 83 74.5 H 74 71.1 H 171 68.2 66 68.1 Br. Swiss 15 67.4 H 213 67.2 H 502 66.6 H 77 66.2 H 68 65.5 87 127 81.4 79.7 74.0 139 73.4 72.8 ' 72.7 71.2 168 99 100 104 71.0 70.4 49 88 262 66.2 66.0 65.8 Becoming larger or more spe cialized was viewed as the key to survival by several groups, while others thought that offering spe cial services, such as cost-based balancing to Class I processors or milk price hedging to producers, would allow co-ops to continue to fill a need while adjusting to a new market order. Deregulation also could increase the number of strategic alliances, between co-ops, between co-ops and proprietary dairy firms, between U.S. expor ters and foreign marketers, and between dairy processors and U.S. firms currently not in the dairy business. Nearly all of the participants said deregulation would bring an end to the pure bargaining co-op. Without “brick and mortar,” a co-op will have little bargaining power. Some even suggested that co-ops enter the fluid business, while others warned co-ops not to compete with their customers. “Co-ops cannot be in the fluid business and then sell to bottlers,” said one economist. Regardless of what strategies co-ops adopt to survive, brick and mortar losses are inevitable. One group predicted that only half of today’s co-ops would sur vive deregulation due to both an increased number of mergers and financial failures. Another said Glenn Beard H 81 65.7 Zimmandale Farm H 61 65!3 Teabow Inc. H 384 65.1 G. Donald Shafer & Son H 159 65^0 Cecil County Herd Herd Cowe In Milk Avg Name Breed Herd T FCM T Tom and Joy Crothers H 53 83.6 Tol-Je-So Farm 1 H 50 74.2 Mt. Ararat Farms H 37 73.4 Tol-Je-So Farm 2 Jersey 14 70,5 Joy and Tom Crothers Br. Swiss 14 69.4 England Farm Inc. H 40 69.3 Albeck Farms Inc. H 157 68.5 Long Green Farms Inc. H 113 67.7 Zion Meadows H 96 66.5 Mellott Brothers H 17 66£ Pembroke Farm H 86 65^9 Franklin Co. (PA) Herd Herd Cows In Milk Avg Name Breed Herd T FCM T Marvin U Zimmerman H 152 66.4 Garrett County Herd Herd Cows In Milk Avg Name Breed Herd T FCM T Jerry L. Yoder H 62 80.7 Philip Beachy H 51 79.1 Ernest & Dan Ganoe H 127 77.3 Wayne E. Schrbck H 49 76.2 Guards Farm Inc. H 59 75.3 MennoJ. Yoder H 47 71.3 Paul & Henry Kinsinger H 78 71.1 Bender, Carl H 114 68.9 Mar-K Farms H 59 68.1 Paul Yoder H 98 677 David W. Yoder H 42 67^0 Piney Run Farms H 117 66.8 Cleland Beitzel H 66 66.5 Fred Petersheim H 54 6e!s Rufus Peachey H 57 65.3 Ezra Schrock H 34 65.0 Harford County Herd Herd Cows In Milk Avg Name Breed Herd T FCM T Homelands Farm H 43 83.0 Highland Heights Farm Inc. H 142 80.1 Pieper Brothers H 176 77.1 Maroamo Farm H 96 69.3 Strawberry Hill Farm H 148 69.0 My-Ladys-Manor Farm H 260 67.4 Twin Del Farm H 53 65.8 Howard County Herd Cows In Milk Avg Breed Herd T FCM T H 135 76.2 Herd Name David & James Patrick fluid manufacturers processing less than 20 million pounds of milk per month —a medium-sized plant—will also be at risk. All of the economists expect a short-term drop in milk prices from deregulation, with an unequal impact across and within regions. Low-cost farms have always had an advantage, but under de regulation being a low-cost pro ducer will become even more important. Large, well-located farms with good-quality milk will have the most staying power. Most farm failures will occur in the Southeast, mid-South, and Northeast. The Midwest is also vulnerable, some said, while the Pacific states and Southwest will continue to gain market share. Class I milk prices will be the first to fall. “There’s no reason to payjnore for milk going into the bottle than for milk going into cheese,’’ said one participant. “Class I prices will fall to cheese levels.” Individual bottlers will strive to be the low-cost buyer of milk, and with market information priva tized, the perception that others are securing milk for less, could send prices even lower, said one group. Class I handlers will look for consistent supplies of milk, which will lead to “cherry picking” of be included, the herd must have 10 cows averaging 65 pounds or more of 3.5 percent fat corrected milk per cow, per day. All herds reported are on official DHI or DHIR test. Also listed are the top eight herds in Maryland for the Brown Swiss, Guernseys, and Jerseys, and the top six herds for Ayrshires. Hard Herd Cows In Milk Avg Hams Bread Herd T FCM T Centerdel Farm Inc. H 127 83.3 Greenwood Acres H 77 72.9 P. Thomas Mason H 78 71.4 Wm & Kathleen Schrodel #2 H 134 70.9 Larry Yetman H 40 69.7 Fair Hill Farm Inc. H 246 69.7 McGuire Bros. Inc. H 54 69.0 R&E Brink H 62 67.9 Jonas & Ruth Stoltzfus H 70 67.7 Wintacres H 98 67.0 John & Kellie Cahall H 57 66.6 Roy W Crow H 67 65.2 Marva Association Herd Name Glad-Mar Farm Inc. Montgomery County Herd Herd Cowe In Milk Avg Name Breed Herd T FCM T Kingstead Farms H 43 75.7 Beneva Farms H 73 74.3 Mendelssohn Terrace Farm H 128 72.6 Clifton Farms H 121 68.7 Potomac Valley Assoc. " Herd Herd Cows In Milk Avg Name Breed Herd T FCM T True Vine Holsteins H 79 73.4- Queen Annes County Herd Name Lester C. Jones, Inc. Benjamin Stanton F&J Moore Boone Brothers U & WE Paimatary Pintail Point Farm Hard Cows In Milk Avg Brssd Hsrd T FCM T H 640 76.6 H 52 75.5 H 131 71.5 H 143 70.8 H 196 70.5 H 86 68.0 Talbot County Hsrd Hsrd Cows In Milk Avg Nams Brssd Hsrd T FCM 1' Wm BrinsfieW H 59 74.3 Willis Snow & Henry H 46 67.1 Washington County Hsrd Hsrd Cows In Milk Avg Nams Brssd Hsrd T FCM T Curtis W Ausherman H 170 73.3 Debaugh Farms H 98 69.6 Marsh-Haven Farm H 87 66.8 Jack and Vicki King H 90 66.5 Marvin L. Zimmerman H 152 66.4 large-herd producers whose oper ations are located in close proxim ity to plants, transportation routes, and population centers. Those producers will be able to command a Class I premium from the market, but it won’t be large, they said. Instead of monthly. Class I milk could be priced on a seasonal basis, or perhaps annual ly, but it will be bought and sold on contract, with quantity and quality specified. What to do with excess supply will be a problem, especially before export markets are devcl- Middle Atlantic Milk Marketing Assoc. Landlstar Farming, Saturday, Dacambar 9, 1995-C7 Paul F. Harrison Jr. H 96 76.1 Patrick, David & James Ayrshire 63 68.9 Merry Acres Farm H 48 65.7 Kent County oped and domestic prices match world market levels. “Who will step up to the plate and say, ‘I want to tighten up the domestic market, so I’ll take $2 per hundredweight less for my milk?’” asked one economist. Looking further out, however, predictions became more optimis tic. In the short-term, 1-5 years post deregulation, exports could account for 2-4 percent of the U.S. milk supply: in the next decade, 3-10 percent; and in the next 10-15 years, 10-20 percent of domestic supply. Hard Cow* In Milk Avg Br**d H*rd T FCM T H 182 67.8
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