# The October 1995 Dairy Herd Improvement informa
tion for dairy herds from the DHI processing center in
Provo, Utah. The list includes herds from Maryland, Pen
nsylvania, and West Virginia. The information is listed by
herd name, county association, number of cows in the
herd and the average production per cow in the herd. To
Baltlmora County
Hard Cows In Milk Avg
Brsad Hard! FCM T
H 171 68.9
Carolina County
Hard Cows In Milk Avg
Braad Hard T FCM T
H 188 73.4
Carroll County
Hard
Nama
Steve Wilson
Herd
Name
Faithland Farm
Hard
Mama
MD-Carrollton
James & John Myers
Windsor Manor
Garstlyn Holsteins
Panora Acras Inc.
R.A. S.L. Doody
Garstlyn Brownswiss
Maple Lawn Farm, Inc.
Marlin Hoff
Jerry & Rick Lease H 100 66.6
Eric F-Faith M. Burall H 102 66.3
Flint Hill Farm
Thomas H. Muller
Frederick County
Herd Herd Cows In Milk Avg
Name Breed Herd T FCM T
Savage-Leigh Farm H 177 89.2
Hannahs Dist Springs Farm H 58 85.2
Wayne Z Tucker H 147 81.4
Hobble-Hill Holsteins H
Dave & Carole Doody H
Wilcom, Donald L.
Spring-Vale Holsteins
Glade-Rock Farm H
Paul & Karen Dotterer H
MD-Garden Spot Farm H
Enfield Farm
Hara Vale Farms
Smith-Mead Brown Swiss Br. Swiss
Fir-Thorne H
Harshman Partners H
Smith-Mead Farm H
Dublin Hills Swiss Br. Swiss
Paul K Coblentz & Sons H
K Scott & Judy Hood H
Leigh Castle Holsteins H
Holtorholm Farms H
Fir-Thorne-B Br. Swiss
Josh Grossnickle H
Taylor Made Farm
Clovertop Farm, Inc.
Grossnickle Farm Inc,
Dairy Economists Explore Possible Effects Of Industry Deregulation
MARK STEPHENSON
Cornell University
Sr. Extension Associate
ITHACA, N.Y.—Navigating a
deregulated dairy industry is an
uncharted course, but thanks to
more than 50 of the nation’s dairy
economists and policy analysts the
industry now has a partial map.
The group met in Kansas City,
Mo., Oct. 24-25, to discuss “The
1995 Farm Bill: Implications and
Impacts,” the topic of the second
Invitational Workshop for Dairy
Economists and Policy Analysts,
sponsored by the Extension Edu
cation Committee of the Cornell
Program on Dairy Markets and
Policy.
What the industry would look
like if federal price supports and
marketing orders were eliminated,
as proposed by the U.S. House of
Representatives, was the major
topic of discussion.
And whether cooperatives
would be able to effectively repre
sent their members is a critical
question for dairy producers living
in a deregulated world. Dairy
cooperatives could be nearly
unrecognizable.
“Co-ops must compete, not
cooperate," concluded one of five
discussion groups. Co-ops must
play by the “Eat or be eaten” rule,
the group added. Others predicted
that cooperation between co-ops
would increase.
Maryland DHI A Report For October
Hard Cows In Milk Avg
Braad Hard! FCM T
H 55 75.3
H 77 74.9
H 83 74.5
H 74 71.1
H 171 68.2
66 68.1
Br. Swiss 15 67.4
H 213 67.2
H 502 66.6
H 77 66.2
H 68 65.5
87
127
81.4
79.7
74.0
139
73.4
72.8 '
72.7
71.2
168
99
100
104
71.0
70.4
49
88
262
66.2
66.0
65.8
Becoming larger or more spe
cialized was viewed as the key to
survival by several groups, while
others thought that offering spe
cial services, such as cost-based
balancing to Class I processors or
milk price hedging to producers,
would allow co-ops to continue to
fill a need while adjusting to a new
market order.
Deregulation also could
increase the number of strategic
alliances, between co-ops,
between co-ops and proprietary
dairy firms, between U.S. expor
ters and foreign marketers, and
between dairy processors and U.S.
firms currently not in the dairy
business.
Nearly all of the participants
said deregulation would bring an
end to the pure bargaining co-op.
Without “brick and mortar,” a
co-op will have little bargaining
power. Some even suggested that
co-ops enter the fluid business,
while others warned co-ops not to
compete with their customers.
“Co-ops cannot be in the fluid
business and then sell to bottlers,”
said one economist. Regardless of
what strategies co-ops adopt to
survive, brick and mortar losses
are inevitable.
One group predicted that only
half of today’s co-ops would sur
vive deregulation due to both an
increased number of mergers and
financial failures. Another said
Glenn Beard H 81 65.7
Zimmandale Farm H 61 65!3
Teabow Inc. H 384 65.1
G. Donald Shafer & Son H 159 65^0
Cecil County
Herd Herd Cowe In Milk Avg
Name Breed Herd T FCM T
Tom and Joy Crothers H 53 83.6
Tol-Je-So Farm 1 H 50 74.2
Mt. Ararat Farms H 37 73.4
Tol-Je-So Farm 2 Jersey 14 70,5
Joy and Tom Crothers Br. Swiss 14 69.4
England Farm Inc. H 40 69.3
Albeck Farms Inc. H 157 68.5
Long Green Farms Inc. H 113 67.7
Zion Meadows H 96 66.5
Mellott Brothers H 17 66£
Pembroke Farm H 86 65^9
Franklin Co. (PA)
Herd Herd Cows In Milk Avg
Name Breed Herd T FCM T
Marvin U Zimmerman H 152 66.4
Garrett County
Herd Herd Cows In Milk Avg
Name Breed Herd T FCM T
Jerry L. Yoder H 62 80.7
Philip Beachy H 51 79.1
Ernest & Dan Ganoe H 127 77.3
Wayne E. Schrbck H 49 76.2
Guards Farm Inc. H 59 75.3
MennoJ. Yoder H 47 71.3
Paul & Henry Kinsinger H 78 71.1
Bender, Carl H 114 68.9
Mar-K Farms H 59 68.1
Paul Yoder H 98 677
David W. Yoder H 42 67^0
Piney Run Farms H 117 66.8
Cleland Beitzel H 66 66.5
Fred Petersheim H 54 6e!s
Rufus Peachey H 57 65.3
Ezra Schrock H 34 65.0
Harford County
Herd Herd Cows In Milk Avg
Name Breed Herd T FCM T
Homelands Farm H 43 83.0
Highland Heights Farm Inc. H 142 80.1
Pieper Brothers H 176 77.1
Maroamo Farm H 96 69.3
Strawberry Hill Farm H 148 69.0
My-Ladys-Manor Farm H 260 67.4
Twin Del Farm H 53 65.8
Howard County
Herd Cows In Milk Avg
Breed Herd T FCM T
H 135 76.2
Herd
Name
David & James Patrick
fluid manufacturers processing
less than 20 million pounds of
milk per month —a medium-sized
plant—will also be at risk.
All of the economists expect a
short-term drop in milk prices
from deregulation, with an
unequal impact across and within
regions.
Low-cost farms have always
had an advantage, but under de
regulation being a low-cost pro
ducer will become even more
important. Large, well-located
farms with good-quality milk will
have the most staying power.
Most farm failures will occur in
the Southeast, mid-South, and
Northeast. The Midwest is also
vulnerable, some said, while the
Pacific states and Southwest will
continue to gain market share.
Class I milk prices will be the
first to fall.
“There’s no reason to payjnore
for milk going into the bottle than
for milk going into cheese,’’ said
one participant. “Class I prices
will fall to cheese levels.”
Individual bottlers will strive to
be the low-cost buyer of milk, and
with market information priva
tized, the perception that others
are securing milk for less, could
send prices even lower, said one
group.
Class I handlers will look for
consistent supplies of milk, which
will lead to “cherry picking” of
be included, the herd must have 10 cows averaging 65
pounds or more of 3.5 percent fat corrected milk per cow,
per day. All herds reported are on official DHI or DHIR
test.
Also listed are the top eight herds in Maryland for the
Brown Swiss, Guernseys, and Jerseys, and the top six
herds for Ayrshires.
Hard Herd Cows In Milk Avg
Hams Bread Herd T FCM T
Centerdel Farm Inc. H 127 83.3
Greenwood Acres H 77 72.9
P. Thomas Mason H 78 71.4
Wm & Kathleen Schrodel #2 H 134 70.9
Larry Yetman H 40 69.7
Fair Hill Farm Inc. H 246 69.7
McGuire Bros. Inc. H 54 69.0
R&E Brink H 62 67.9
Jonas & Ruth Stoltzfus H 70 67.7
Wintacres H 98 67.0
John & Kellie Cahall H 57 66.6
Roy W Crow H 67 65.2
Marva Association
Herd
Name
Glad-Mar Farm Inc.
Montgomery County
Herd Herd Cowe In Milk Avg
Name Breed Herd T FCM T
Kingstead Farms H 43 75.7
Beneva Farms H 73 74.3
Mendelssohn Terrace Farm H 128 72.6
Clifton Farms H 121 68.7
Potomac Valley Assoc.
" Herd Herd Cows In Milk Avg
Name Breed Herd T FCM T
True Vine Holsteins H 79 73.4-
Queen Annes County
Herd
Name
Lester C. Jones, Inc.
Benjamin Stanton
F&J Moore
Boone Brothers
U & WE Paimatary
Pintail Point Farm
Hard Cows In Milk Avg
Brssd Hsrd T FCM T
H 640 76.6
H 52 75.5
H 131 71.5
H 143 70.8
H 196 70.5
H 86 68.0
Talbot County
Hsrd Hsrd Cows In Milk Avg
Nams Brssd Hsrd T FCM 1'
Wm BrinsfieW H 59 74.3
Willis Snow & Henry H 46 67.1
Washington County
Hsrd Hsrd Cows In Milk Avg
Nams Brssd Hsrd T FCM T
Curtis W Ausherman H 170 73.3
Debaugh Farms H 98 69.6
Marsh-Haven Farm H 87 66.8
Jack and Vicki King H 90 66.5
Marvin L. Zimmerman H 152 66.4
large-herd producers whose oper
ations are located in close proxim
ity to plants, transportation routes,
and population centers.
Those producers will be able to
command a Class I premium from
the market, but it won’t be large,
they said. Instead of monthly.
Class I milk could be priced on a
seasonal basis, or perhaps annual
ly, but it will be bought and sold
on contract, with quantity and
quality specified.
What to do with excess supply
will be a problem, especially
before export markets are devcl-
Middle Atlantic Milk Marketing Assoc.
Landlstar Farming, Saturday, Dacambar 9, 1995-C7
Paul F. Harrison Jr. H 96 76.1
Patrick, David & James Ayrshire 63 68.9
Merry Acres Farm H 48 65.7
Kent County
oped and domestic prices match
world market levels.
“Who will step up to the plate
and say, ‘I want to tighten up the
domestic market, so I’ll take $2
per hundredweight less for my
milk?’” asked one economist.
Looking further out, however,
predictions became more optimis
tic. In the short-term, 1-5 years
post deregulation, exports could
account for 2-4 percent of the U.S.
milk supply: in the next decade,
3-10 percent; and in the next
10-15 years, 10-20 percent of
domestic supply.
Hard Cow* In Milk Avg
Br**d H*rd T FCM T
H 182 67.8