822—Lancaster Fannin*, Saturday, January 17,1981 LANCASTER - Milk ■reduction is expected to ontmue rising in 1981, ollowmg a 3.5 percent gam his year to a record 128 million pounds With little change m fluid ales expected, milk ■vailable for manufacturing ■.ill also increase Even with aore favorable demand onditions, USDA purchases ■f dairy products under the nee support program will ontmue heavy during most f 1981 The dairy herd increased i size this summer and fall mce culling rates have been ow and a relatively large umber of heifers have been etamed for leplacements ncome conditions for lairying have been avorable relative to other arm enterprises and off arm employment op 'Ortumties Federal indemnities cut for illegal product use WASHINGTON, DC - The U S Department of Agriculture will no longer pay indemnities for destruction of diseases livestock oi poultry when infection results from the knowing use of an illegal product or potential disease carry ing agent Products and agents such as vaccines, semen, embryo transplants, and other potential disease earners are illegal when imported or used in violation of federal state quarantines laws According to C.G. Mason of USDA’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, USDA has cooperated with states to control and eradicate communicable livestock and poultry diseases since 1884. This mcludes paying indemnities to farmers and ranchers when infected or exposed animals and materials are destroyed as a means of eradicating a disease out break, he said “We will continue to pay such indemnities nut not to persons who knowingly (Continued from Page Al 9) Sr Yearling Heifer 1 Patricia A Jenkins 2 Steve March Youth Class Sr Yr Heiler I Patricia A Jenkins 2 Steve March Jr Champion Female 1 Emmett & Mrs Rhein Youth Class Jr Champion 1 Karen Hobaugh Reserve Champion Female 1 Patricia A Jenkins Youth Class Reserve Jr Champion 1 Carol Hobaugh 3 or 4 Dry Cow I Marilyn Deaven Fredericksburg 2 Thomas M Galloway Bechtelsville 3 Craig A Rhem Pme Grove 4 5 Timothy B Donough Youth Class 3 or 4 Dry Cow 1 Marilyn Deaven 2 Thomas M Galloway 5 or Over Dry Cow 1 Emmett & Mrs Rhein 2 Mike Welsh Eas Berlin Youth Class 5 or Over Dry Cow 1 M.ke Welsh 2 and Under 3 Heifer 1 4 Emmett A Mrs Rhem 2 Manlyn Oeaven 3 Thomas M Galloway 6 Karen Hobaugh Youth Class 2to3Yr Cow 1 Karen Hobiugh 2 Thomas M Gallowav 3 and Under 4 Cow 1 Frnmel* A Mrs Rhem 2 3 Elizabeth G Wollaston 4 Timothy B Donough 5 Marlin Deaven Fredericksburg Youth Class 3to4Yr Cow 1 2 Elizabeth G Wollaston 3 Timothy B Donough 4 Marlin Deaven More Milk cow numbers are expected to remain slightly above year-earher levels through most of 1981 Output per cow has also increased, up an average of about three percent for all of 1980 Gams m output per cow are expected to moderate in 1981 Feeder prices' sharply above a year earlier will more than offset increases in milk prices, and milk-feed price relationships in 1981 will not be as favorable as they have been in recent years This will likely slow gains in concentrate feeding rates which could hold gains in output per cow to about two percent Therefore, 1981 milk production gains should be up one to three percent the second record production year in a row use an illegal product or vector, ’ Mason said Although vaccines aie usually thought of in positive terms, Mason said, undei certain circumstances their use may cause infection or result in animals becoming disease carriers.’’ Semen, for example, is a known vector for about 35 diseases including foot-and-mouth disease and hog cholera, he said The new rule took effect on December 31. The public has a 60 day period to comment Remarks and suggestions should be sent to the Deputy Director, USDA, APHIS, Federal Budding, Rm. 748, Hyattsville, Md. 20782. WEHsonowiNO term Jersey 4 and Under 5 Cows 1 Emmett A Mrs Rhem 2 Bruce R Rhem Pme Grove 3 Paul R Donough Chambersburg Youth Class 4tosYr Cow i Bruce R Rhem 5 and Over Cow 1 Patricia A Jenkins 2 Bruce R Rhem 3 Terry Lee Rhem Pme Grove 4 Timothy B Donough Youth Class 5 and Over Cow 1 Patricia A Jenkins 2 Bruce R Rhem 3 Timothy B Donough Championship Udder 1 Emmett A Mrs Rhem Sr Female Champion 1 Emmett A Mrs Rhem Youth Class Sr Champion 1 Patricia A Jenkins Sr Female Reserve Champion I PatnoaA Jenkins Youth Class Reserve Sr Champion 1 Btuce R rinem Female Grand Champion 1 Emmett A Mrs Rhem Female Reserve Grand Champion 1 Patricia A Jenkins Youth Class Champion 1 Patricia A Jenkins Youth Class Reserve Champion i Bruce R Rhem Premier Breeder 1 Emmett A Mrs Rhem Premier Exhibitor 1 Emmett A Mrs Rhem Exhibitor Herd 1 Craig A Rhem 2 Patricia A Jenkins 3 Thomas M Gallowav 4 Mnnfyn Deaven milk, less consumption weigh heavy on prices Commercial stocks of butter and cheese are adequate for trade needs, and with the large supply of milk for manufacturing it is likely that wholesale butter and cneese prices this winter will remain near the support purchase price However, these prices will advance next spring because of the April 1,1981 mandated increase in milk support prices Increases in farm milk and retail dairy product prices will follow Wholesale prices of dairy products advanced 2.3 percent from August to October and were 9 3 percent above a year ago during October Retail dairy product prices during Oc tober were 9 1 percent above a year earlier, while the all food retail price index was up 10 2 percent. For 1981, retail dairy prices are expected to be up 10 to 12 percent while the all food retail index is forecast to average 10 to 15 percent higher . The manufactuung grade' milk price in November, at $l2 90 per 100 pounds, was 10 percent above year-ago levels For all of 1980, the manufacturing grade milk price will likely average $12.05 up 8 6 percent from 1979 Meanwhile, the all-milk price for November, at $14.00 per 100 pounds, was about 8.5 percent above last year. The all-milk price will likely average near $13,04 for the entire year up 8 7 percent from 1979 In 1981, farm milk prices will be affected by the April 1 support price increase, the established support level for October 1, and supply and demand The all-milk price for next year will likely be up 10 to 12 percent Given the expected milk production and price ranges for 1981, total cash receipts may rise 11 to 15 percent from the $16.3 billion ex pected for 1980 Production of manufac tured dairy products used 8 5 percent 1 850 million pounds) more milk during Sep- tember-October than m 1979. Butter production expanded by a fifth while output of both American cneese and other than-Amencan varieties was 7.4 percent above year earher levels On the strength of Sep tember sales, commercial disappearance of milk and dairy products during the July-September quarter was unchanged from a year ago. However, preliminary data indicate that use during October was down 2 4 per cent with butter off 12 percent and Amencan cheese down 5 5 percent, while oth'er-than-Amencan cheese use was up 10 6 percent Industry holdings of dairy products on November 1 were generally below year earlier levels However, commercial stocks of butter were up a tenth. On November 1, com mercial stocks of milkfat and solids-not-fal were down 2 percent and 10 percent, respectively Meanwhile, on December 1, Commodity Credit Cor poration uncommitted in ventories of butter were 274 million pounds, compared with 145 million last year. American cheese in ventories, at 184 million pounds, were up sharply from the 20 million pounds of year ago For the first 10 months of 1980, U S dairy product imports, on a milk equivalent basis, were 15 billion pounds, nine percent below a year ago However, these imports picked up substantially during Sep tember-October Of quota import items, cheese, chocolate crumb, and dried buttermilk and whey were up sharply in September- October, while butter, ice cream, and frozen cream were lower. World milk production for 1981 will likely be slightly larger than 1980. Stocks of dairy products will increase since world wide production may grow more than con sumption.
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