* But, Inshei leasoned, Feedei pigs aie going to have to get pretty cheap if there aie enough available for finishing houses, or some finishing units will stand empty ” Mark Nestleroth, Manheim R 5, thinks that some of the big hog complexes are at their rock bottom price now, if they want to continue to make a profit He sees 43 to 45 cents as the price needed to break even, although he added that the market price needed depended on the amount of in vestments the hog producei s had "There is a three year hog cycle, basically,” he mused But hog prices should never get less than half the price that slaughter steers are bringing Right now cattle are bringing about 72 cents, that means hogs shouldn’t go below 36 cents That’s cutting it pretty close, some hog BROWNSTOWN AGRI LOAN CORP. 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QUARRYVILLE, PA 17566 pioduceis would be cutting back on production, they couldn I make a h\ mg on that ” ‘ The puce could go up to 50 to 52 ..cuts a pound, according to reports, ’ he reasoned ‘But if it doesn’t go up this Summer, and I was thinking of expanding, I wouldn’t do it ’ It definitely will go down in the Fall, he added ‘But if the price rises ovei the Summer, as it should, the Fall drop will be livable ” Thei e is no way that the hog expansion in our area is slowing down,” he emphasized Lancaster County is close to the markets and feed is plentiful and respectful in price here We’re also located close to the packers, and transportation costs are down ” “But I noticed that the sow kills in the Call or Visit: 808 ZOOK 717-656-2951 viiUtSt-iL i' , t jiit-iiUi, .iijoul one pei i .'I lil expiamul ihi-> iua> oe an in dication lhat the expansion is slowing slignthouC theie t .nd that would be good to see tom putts iMil someda\ go up,” iNesUoiulli nului And that will stow ex pansion in a hum But right now theie are too many vanables to tell about the market The weather affecting the corn crop, the ex pansibn of the finishing operations for hogs, and the cattle prices will all affect slaughter hog market prices ” Gary Dean, Strasburg Rl, president of Lancaster Co Swine Producers Association, stated that the peak of the swine market season should be in June and July, and there should be price rises in those marketed hogs We’re looking for $4O hogs and below, come October,” he commented Some of those buying feeder pigs now may not put as many in ” The cycle has been good for the past 30 months,’’Dean added T guess it could be time to tighten the belts a little If the Spring farrowings are as high as they have been predicted, there are going to be an awful lot of pigs on the market this Fall But I think that the high beef prices art helping to hold the hog prices up, and will continue to do so ” Dennis Grumbme, president of the Pa Swine Breeders Co-op, Myerstown R 2, echoed these addin? that he ‘Right to Farm’ bill considered TRENTON, NJ. - The New Jersey Farm Bureau has successfully introduced an idea into the New Jersey Senate which may give farmers in the Garden State more relaxed conditions under which to do business. The New Jersey Senate’s Agriculture Committee has begun hearings on the proposal The “Right to Farm” bill was drafted in response to excessive regulations by local and county govern ments involved in the state’s farmland preservation demonstration project which ended last July. 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Testifying on the “Right to TRI-STAR Trailers... More Hauling Capacity for Less Money thought the price of pork will rise this Summer, “bounce around, and towards Fall, stabiliefe.”' •The corn and soybeans will determine the hog situation,” he reasoned. If soybeans and corn are high, next Summer pork should bring eight to 10 cents higher a pound than it is selling for now. But if there is a big corn and soybeans crop, and exports are down, we’ll be going in the wrong direction.” ‘A big factor in th expansion movement of hog operations in the Midwest will be the gram prices, but that won’t affect expansion here,” he commented Looking to the distant future, he added that when beef becomes abundant, the hog market could be hurting for there would be no high beef market to cushion the hog market. “But,” he added, “When the beef market increases, the com intake for cattle in creases Then the hog market will decrease, which should help the ease the situation.” Concerning the Fall hog marketing prices, Louis Moore commented that due to the market situations m beef and pork, “the stage will be set for consumers to shift some of their purchases from beef to pork. Retail pork prices will decline in the last half of the year while beef prices will still be climbing. With pork selling at 40 to 75 cents per pound less than beef, consumers will certainly be visiting the pork section of the meat case more often.” Farm” bill’s behalf was New Jersey Farm Bureau president Arthur West, who said: “When farmers have to spend more time con forming with regulations than growing food, then farming is no longer profitable. When that happens, farmers will go elsewhere.” FLATBED ■ Rugged 60” Steel Frame ■ Original taper-formed Goose- neck design ■ Lengths from 16’ to 30’ ■ Tongue and groove pressure treated flooring 43
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