5WfT "'iE?fs'frw' i "ir"r --S5?ipp- EVENING LEDGER-PHILADELPHIA; WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 17, 1917 "GAS" OUTLOOK GOOD FOE 1917 FUTUREBETTER Dr. W. F. Rittman, Fuel Expert,' Sees No Need of Worry SOLUTION: "CRACK" OIL FUTURE HOLDS GOLDEN EPOCH FOR MOTORCAR Marine Auto, Inclosed Mech anism and Powerful En gines, Predicts Metz 4300 CARS MADE A DAY METZ'S MARINE MOTORCAR, WHICH WE MAY LIVE TO SEE Gnsolino Price in East to Range J Forecasts 24-Vnlve "Six" This Year U. S. Motor Vehicle Center ,-Hotweoti '25 and 2? Gents 1 ' -&Bm&&w-- Mctz'a View and Review of Trends in Motorcars THE PAST PRODIGIOUS growth of industry shown by statistics G0OO cars in 1900; in 1S1C, 1,305,000 cars, worth ?1,100,000,000. THE PRESENT Manufacturers nro building this year 1,690,291 cars, worth $1,200, 000,000, and $luM,500,000 worth of tires and accessories. About -1300 cars are being produced each work ing day. There aro 3,250,000 cars in use. Lighter, smaller units and higher speed aro being developed. Eight and twelve cylinder cars aro Increasing, with four-cylinder cars predominating. The sixteen-valve four-cylinder car has appeared. All year motoring is growing because of semiclosed body trend and electric lighting and starting systems nnd heating devices. THE FUTURE "Saturation point" is far distant. American makers must meet world demand. Twcnty-four-valvc six-cylinder cars will appear this year. Radical changes will take place in body design, seating arrangement and, most important of all, mechani cal arrangement. Ten years hence motorcars will be small; extremely powerful; kerosene-driven; equipped with electric brakes and transmis sions, perfect tires and inclosed springs, wheels and axles, and of mechanism so accessible that owner can make repairs. Aquatic automo biles, equipped with propellers, will swim rivers. By ALBERT G. METZ Jitslstant Managing Vdltor Automobile Trade Journal When ono glances back Into the "dark ages" of tho automobile Industry In thin country, somo eighteen or twenty years go, nnd compares tho production ot oars In those days with present production tig Urea, one Is nstonlshed at the tremendous growth of this yet-young Industry In tho year 1900 tho total output of nil makers for the year was somewhat like 0000 cars, a. sum fading Into Insignificance when placed Bide by side with tho production Ilgures of the year Just closed. Miilch reached tho grand total of 1,305,000 pleasure cars Con sidering 300 working days, the ncrnge output at the present time is virtually 1300 cars per day. And when one takes Into consideration tho prosperous condition of the country, an output of nearly 2, 000, 000 cars for tho yeur 1017 will asjuredly bo realized. 1017 OUTPUT In an article published In tho December Issue of the Automobile Trado Journal the production of pleasure cars for the year 1317 la estimated at 1.GD0.2S1. This num ber Is not a mere guess, but tho results of a careful compilation of Ilgures gricn out by the active manufacturers of pleasuro cars at tho present time. In many instances the figures supplied are discounted, for tho reason that many new makers aro prono to overestimate their output, cither as tho ro eult of too much optimism or from lack of knowledge as to the capabilities of their fac tories. With tho dllllculty encountered at tho present time to obtain material, many mnkera will find themseUes hard pressed and will have to curtail their output ac cordingly However. If tho figures of tho makers were actually used, tho output would exceed the two-tnllllon mark. From 1012. when 275,000 cars worth $476,000,000 were produced, until tho end of 1016, tho motorcar Industry grew at si prodigious rate. I-ist year 1,305,000 cars, worth $1,100,000 000, were produced This year, according to tho plans of the manu facturers, 1.690,291 cars, representing a total alue of $1,200,000,000, will be put uti the market. $1,200,000,000 l.V CAltS! Just think nf it! Ono billion, two hun dred million dollars' worth of automobiles are to be built this year And thews figures will more than likely be exceeded than not reached It Is hard to realize the greatness of this Industry: even thoso Intimately ac quainted with the business fall to grabp the enormity of It. The average price per car has steadily decreased. een though the r.iajority ot manufacturers have Increased prices since laBt year This reduction is due almost wholly to tho reductions made In price by two big quantity manufacturers The average price would naturally be higher were not the outputs of these (man. tlty producers included. The average pleasure c4r In 1912 cost something like $1270. This year tho aerage price la about $710. These figures take Into consideration only one factor the output of complete ma chines. How about tho kindred Industries hat contribute their share to this greatest of all American Industrie, the manufac turers of tlrea, accessortea, bodies, tops, up. holstery. etc. Just Imagine the business these concerns do. Jet alone the garages, repair shops, service stations and the retail sales concerns. $16.500.000 FOR EXTRAS At a low average. It Is estimated that about $35 Is spent for additional accessories per car durlnp the first year of Its existence. In many cars very little is found wanting; lu the line of accessories, but such parts as bumpers, special Jacks, tire chains, seat covert, eta, are usually purchased In addi tion to the regular equipment, A number of the 1917 cars are fitted with bumpers, apot lights and such parts as were formerly regarded as unnecessary. Therefore, considering $35 as a fair esti mate, and multiplying the same by the num ber of cars to be built for WIT. we get the sum of $59,500,000 for accessories alone. This does not Include replacements or re pair parts. Now add to this sum the low estimate of $60 per car for a set of tlrea and we gat a few additional millions $105,009,000. And so one could kep on piling up the millions. "SATURATION" NOT NEAR These figures naturally astound the lay man, who has no conception of the Immense business dujn) lit this industry The question naturally Is asked. When will this Increase In production cease T Will It be one year, two years, live or Unt Certainly not within the next Ave years. Even though the war should terminate tomorrow, the result would be tba same. Europe will need plenty of the lawsr-pnced cars- And It will be up to American manufacturers to produce them, tLci is. it Uw are 'on Die job" Wtth many lasSBrtas now way betuad In gssAvUun aghadiife due to eiujrtiigu io A UTOMO BILES ON EXHIBITION Car, Space nnd Exhibitor. Allen, 15, Eastern Motors Co. Apperson, 55, Fiat Motor Co. Auburn, G-l, Tho Stewart Auto Co. Dell, 13. W. W. Gawthrop. Diddle, 3, Diddle Motor Car Co. Briscoe. 52. W. Clarke Gricli. Buick, 24. Dtiick Motor Co. Cadillac, 17 and 19, Automobile Sales Corp. Chalmers, 33, Chalmers Motor Co. of Philadelphia. Chandler, 22, Herbert-Cook Co. Chevrolet, 20 and 21, Chevrolet Motor Company. Cole, 31, L. S. Bowers Co. Detroit Electric, 11, S. A. Tolmnu. Dodge, 39, Thornton-Fuller Auto Co. Dorris, specinl space in far right hand corner, .1. II. Schumnker & Co. Empire. 35, Bell Motor Co. Fiat, 43, Fiat Motor Co. Franklin, 30, Sweeten Auto Co. Grant, 34, L. S. Bowers Co. Hal, CO, Stratford Motors Co. Haynes, 59, Johnson Motor Cat Co. Hudson, 58, Gomery-Schwartz Motor Car Co. Hupmobile, 5, Hupmobile Sales Corp. Jackson, 19, Stoever-IIannold Motor Company. JclTery, 1, Hurley & Earley. Jordan, 6, McCurdy-Brainard Co. King, 41 and 50, King Car, Philadel phia Agency. Lexington, 53, Rogers, Lexington Co. Liberty, 48, Richwine-Haines Co. Locomobile, 10, Locomobile Co. of America. McFnrland. 35. Bell Motor Co. Mnrmon, 40, Fanning-Mathis Co. Maxwell, (JO, Maxwell Motor Sales Corporation. Mercer, 05, Mercer Co. of Philadelphia. Cnr, Space and Exhibitor. Metz, 57, Metz Co. Milburn Electric, 18, Detroit Electric Company. Mitchell, 00, Carl II. Pago Motor Co. Mollno- Knight, 12, Mollnc - Knight Sales Co. Monroe, 40, Monroe Motors Co. National, 8, Hurley & Earley. Oakland, 32, Oaklnnd Motor Co. 01d3mobilo. 23. Oldsmobilo Co. Overlnnd, !) and 27, Overland Motor j uompnny. Packard, 42 nnd 54, Packard Motor Car Co. Paige, 1, Bigelow-Willcy Motor Co. Pathfinder, 03, Hetherington Motor Company. Poorloss, 20, Girard Auto Co. Pierco-Arrow, 41, Foss-llughes Co. Pullman, 45, Standard Motor Car Co. R. & L. Electric, 4, Baker R. & L. Motor Car Co. Reo, 30, B. L. P. Motor Co. Saxon, 02, Orin S. Wilson. Simplex, 51, Thornton-Fuller Auto Company. Standard, 15, Eastern Motors Co. Stanley, 47, Stanley Motor Carriage Company. Stearns, 10, William C. Yerkes Co. Studebaker, 37, Studebakcr Corp. of America. Studebaker, 49, Phila. Sales Corp. Stutz, 31, S. R. Blocksom Motor Co. Velie, 38, La Roche Bros. Westcott, 01, Baker-Price Co. White, 25, Whilo Co. Winton, 14, Winton Motor Co. Winton, 20, Winton Co. TWO BILLION DOLLARS IS AUTO BILL FOR 1916 4 LJncle Sam Spent Fortune of Fortunes for Motorcars and Operation The country's automobile bill for both business and pleasure during 1916 reaches u staggering total, a sum no huge that ono can scarce believe It until he goes over tho figures for himself. Tho amount Is $2,000,000,000 In round numbers. It Is obtained by nddlng to tho valuo of the new cars purchased the cost of operating tho 3,000,000 cars In iibo, during tho year. If presented, the national motoring bill would read something like this: TO U.WI.U HAM. nil. l.r.no. oon. ooo KniioiiH Kdoiinu 20 cents :ui. ono. ooo imllonn lubricating oil.. 18.00(1.000 tires W !(! AirPHsorlt-s and uulo comforts & SSo u car UepulrH due to unr and tear (not including Ureal ?d $.10 a car.... OaraBo charges ff $lul u car Total operutlnic expennea. . 1,00(1,111)0 new tars at o00. J.inn.ono.non I'.'.OOO.OUO 2tiS,UU(l,U(( 150.000.(100 1.-0,111 10,1100 IIOll.lllMl.OOII Jl.'jno. (loii.ooi) Mlll.lMMI.IltlO Crund total ts.ouo.noo.nixi This bill undoubtedly would btagger Uncle Sam wero ho not so prospeious. They Hearken to Farmer SPOKAN'i;, Wash., Jan. 17 Promoters nf tho third annual Spokane nutoiuobllo show plan to hold tho exhibition next month Int tend of on the customary Jlay date becauso of tho Inability (if the fanner to attend in tho spring mouth. Mny is tho busiest time of the year for the farmer, excepting the harest, and piovlous bhows, held In May, hao been characterized by poor attendance from tho agricultural dis tricts. "Wo must rater to tho farmer." Is tho gonernl opinion among dealers Homo autnmohtlo men declared that they would rather hao no show nt all than stage It again In May. "AUTO HUNGER" GRIPS CITY AT ANNUAL FEAST Buyer and "Catalogue Fiend" Alike Satisfy Apctite for Motorcars and Speed IIao you tho automobllo hunger? That Is, have you an Indescribable craving to koo automobiles, feel automobiles, talk automobiles, think automobiles, dream auto mobiles? If so, you belong to ono of two classes. Unless you never hopo Homo day boinowhero to own :i motorcar ou are either: First. A person who uses tho hunger as a scanning for tho food tho niitotnMlo hn Is going to buy; or Second. A person whoso nppetlto cannot bo sated and who, brutally and frankly speaking. Is a "catalogue Mend." Theso nro tho classes Into which tho auto- mobllu salesmen have divided those who hunger after Hip motorcar. Thoy know. Tho man who really Intends to buy a car Ii "spotted" by his unassuming manner and his jetlcenee about bursting Into (ties tlona and announcing that ho Intends to buy. In like manner Is "spoiled" the man who continually tickles his motorcar palate with automobile catalogs and Interviews with KilOFmen. Ho rarely purchases a car, nltliough ho announces his Intention to Imest oftener than tho average man swears off smoking December 31. ' The autumobtle hunger that impels both these insn arises from u subconscious de slro to cunrpier the limitations which na ture has placed on the human race's prlml. tlo menus of locomotion It has been de scribed as a deep-seated Instinct, nn in herent ctaving for speed, made possible by the motorcar. Whatever this nppetlto Is, Its widespread extent is evldenred liy tho crows that throng the exhibition building at this year's automobile show. A realization that tho automobile will satisfy tho imperious dic tates of this iiihtmet has resulted in larger crowds than ever at the animal mototcar display. SIXTEEN TYPES OF MOTORCAR BODIES GROUPED INTO FOUR BIG CLASSES rpHE bewildering outlny of automobiles at tho show will puzzle tho uninitiated J- unless he remember that there are four general clashes of car bodies, which aro divided into sixteen types. In the words of tho Society of Auto mobile Engineers they are: ROADSTERS AND COUPES First. Roadster An open car seating two or three. It may have atltli. tional seats on the running board or in the rear deck. Second. Coupelet Seats two or three. It has a folding top and fulW height doors with disappearing panels of glass. Third. Coupe An inside inclosed car seating two or three, A fourth seat looking backward is sometimes added. Fourth. Convertible coupe A roadster provided with detachable coupe top. Fifth. Clover Leaf An open car seating three or four. The rear seat is close to tho divided front seat and the entrance is only through doors in front of the front seat. TOURING CARS Sixth. Touring Car An open car seating four or more with direct entrance to tonneau and undivided front scat. Seventh. Salon Touring Car A touring car with passage between tho two front seats, with or without separate entrance to front seats, Eighth. Convertible Touring Car A touring car with folding top and disappearing or removable glass sides. This type is less frequently seen than others in tne list. SEDANS Ninth. Sedan A closed car seating four or more, all in one com partment. Tenth,- Convertible Sedan A salon touring car provided with a de tachable sedan top. Eleventh. Open Sedan A sedan so constructed that the sides can be removed or stowed so as to leave the entire space clear from glass front;' to back, LIMOUSINES Twelfth. Limousines A closed car seating three to five inside, wjth driver's seat outside covered with roof. Thirteenth. Open Limousine A touring car with permanent standing top and disappearing or removable glass sides. May or may not have a partition between the driver and the passengers. Fourteenth. Berline A limousine having the driver's seat entirely in closed. Fifteenth. Landaulet A closed car with folding top, with seats for three or more inside and the driver's seat outside. sixteenth, isrjpgham A, iunousme with no roof over the driver's seat. i lie iiui-ili .ml I in nro will eviiUc an -uutnmoiiile that will not need bridges to cross stieatn, according to Albert (i. Met". Swimming motor vehicles will be the logical result of inclosing tho under side of car bodies to protect the mechanism from dust and grit, ho believes, tho next step being shaping tho body like a boat and adding a propeller nnd rudder. Tftto It mi rjtrliuliY! ii(rii,r ,, ,tk 'nr miller ', Hlllmmi. nf ;VMfcwri. iwrntar 11 IJlO ffifllHM CrmA.ll!,) Ilmnn nn,i cf fUlllntr rhrmtral rnulmn nf n,. r tiffed Slntcs llnrran nf ,1Mit. n Imv , in,r attaU. yah nf thr gasoline stttmtlnn nmt irr01i cntrcrt tlcttncltont mttkr hit tin,, anthorl, tnlive Oi 1ig Iilglic.it ilrnrrr Tho niolor fuel problem r,r ti,o tutut. . becomo Important throuRh tho otmosl ab normal growth oC tho nutomnM'n Industry, and a threatened BhortaRo of gasoline, hai a Holutlon. This asTOraneo cornea from Tr "Walter P. lllttmani conaultlns chemical engineer of tho Ilurcau of Minns It ithnuld dlsM whatever anxiety unsalls tho rrmUrr of mo torcars, with his InvcBted minima nd th motomtr usor, who haB come to depend upon the automobllo an never before, fof Hortnr rilttmnn Is the chemlFt who nearly a ear ago. when Ranollno prlcen threatened to Jinn" to prohibitive heights r.iw relief In slRnt, ami, In the far, ..f tho mort Bloomy prospects, predicted the "break" that r.ime. With tho New Year, In splto of the un nticntlnnalily Iiuro output of automobiles that the fuluro holds In stoio, Dortor Illtt- C'mitlminl on Pace r,leen. Column Tiro CITY'S AUTO SALES TOTAL $43,009,000 GIS.SGO Pleasure Cars to Be Sold This Year 50 Per Cent Increase SIGN OF PROSPERITY Philadelphia sales of motorcars for lOIfi doubled those of tho preccdlni; sear and advanced beyond tho JlO.OOO.OOO-niarle. All Increase of fifty per cent la anticipated this year, tolIectlnB the prosperity of tho city and tho section of tho country of which It la tho center. Thoso estimates uoio obtained fiom a iliieatloualro submitted to sixty Philadel phia dealers In pieman o cars, not ciulto half of whom responded with IlKUfes bhowliic their past business In the sales territory revered by this city and imnouncltiir their expectations for 11)17. To add thu clement of cnuservatlbin, a deduction of ten per cent was mado fiom the totals obtained. I1.C50 CAltS soi.n The estimates based on tho furnished reports tdinw that tho sale of motorcars tripled In tho half decado 1M0-15, doubled 111 lUlft and will add another half tills year. A total of II. ODD pleasuro cms was sold In PJlii for J 13,003.01! I. This year 03,,'lfin cars, alucd nt 505.0C0.2no. Is tho pales outlook from tho point of low of tho Quaker City manufacturer and distributor. KolIowliK,- is Blven In couclso form tho number and valuo of cars sold for boeral past years and the 1517 outlook: A TAI1M3 OP GROWTH VliAH .NUMllllli VAtXTJ min n.iao jii,7(ii,'jn.i 11115 'J-.',M.7 !)I,IHU,ISI uiiii ii. (i.v. i:i,(hi;i.uiii 11)17 IIUIUI! Il.",,tl50.-'(iil Tho average prlco of tho motorcar In this city, It will bo seen from tho foroKoitiff, Is increasing. This Is logical. Inasmuch as It Is In tho center of concentrated population that the high-priced cars nro sold, tho agri cultural ciiiniiiuultlcH and distiicts whero hlghwaa aio not highly developed proving tho best market for tho medium and law priced cars. 1917 PXtlCll 510.IS Tho nverago price of tho Philadelphia nu tomobllo for lOlfi was J1032, muiio 5300 greater than tho nverago price of tho auto mobllo In tho country at large. NcNt year, according to tho Indications furnished by the dealers, tho avcrago prlco for tho city will ho S103S. 'Minute Man Town Car ore power on less gasoline More power from less gasoline and more power than your car can possibly use, because it is fully developed at ordinary speed. Stripped of technical expression, this is what you get from the exclusive patented improvements that place the Lexington a decade in advance of all other cars. Its refinements alone mark flic Lexington the exceptional car; but with 22.8 more power, its constant torque at low speed, and its decided fuel economy, it must be the choice of any one who makes a thoughtful comparison. Touring, $1185; Clubster, $1185; Sedan, $1350; Coupe, $1350 Wo Cordially Invite YOU to Examine These Models in Booth 5:1 at the Show. THE ROGERS-LEXINGTON MOTOR CO. Tt'lrp limit hprun VZUlt mill lil) 202-204 North Broad Street QurAutomobile SJjoiv feg"-W' innpFO &LV13. hi CJj j-Ufer7 t .Ttsag!? . fitSEoMSiT' mfimmmFiK HlBff IXJLEJLU Q.utwa Jlutvmobiie Show ZO.eek' atthe T3sellmtie:Sjratford&nd stPsOurtSaibtv, there witlbem view ome of JkeMuisite models, of' Otwn Ittajnetio Ccutp cyvw 9 am, until 70 pm, heTloardjcffytxwsordiatty x Wdr septend their JtwitatlonXo he Tttotoruw, r$ublie OWEN MAGNETIC ca a or cwuiBitmu, ihc 1833 CHESTNUT T Ouaj n -if-