'WSij lfl!"!" EVENING EEDGEK PHIITADEEPHIft, THURSDAY, OOTOPBB IB, 1914. "s'-'mMiimm mm" r DRAMATIC SHIFT FORCES RUSSIANS '. TO CHANGE TACTICS Warsaw Now Scene of Ter rific Struggle Czar Com pelled to Defend Own Cities Because of German Aggression in East. WAR OPERATIONS OF DAY SHOW STROKE BY ALLIES NEW YOnK, Oct. IS Except for the sharp turn In fortuno thnt came with the battle of the Manic, nothlns In the his tory of the western campalsn can com pare In dramatic effect with the chanpo that has come, almost over nlsht, one may say. In the military situation In I'olanil and Oollcla. This Is the view ex pressed by the military eort of the New York Evening Tost. It may be summed up In a sentence: the world was expecting newi of the be ginning of a battle for the possession of Cracow and It learns that there Is a Rreat battle now under way for the possession of "Warsaw. On their northern wine the Russians had won n notable victory over the In vader from East Prussia whom they had driven back over the frontier. On their southern wlntr. they were apparently pressing the siege of Trzcmysl with vlj;or and had bent their outposts nt least, as far as Tarnow, 75 miles east of Crnrow. On their centre in Poland, to be sure, thero were fragmentary and Isolated re ports of collisions with the enemy and Berlin claimed sucessep there, but so little attention was paid by the rival war otllces to the conflict In that region that one was compelled to assume that the fighting in southern and central Poland was merely maneuvering on n large scale while the Issues were being fought out north on the East Prussian frontier and south In Oallcla. Today It appears that the llgntlng on the wings has been regarded, on the German side, nt least, as subsidiary to the preparation for the main thrust through the heart of Poland against the capital. At the same time there Is no reason to suppose that the sudden change In the mere aspect of things means an equally startling change In the actual situation. If the contest now under way In Poland Is for the possession of Warsaw and not of Crpcow, It Is not because Russia has met with disastrous defeat which has forced It to suspend aggressive operations and stand on the defensive. The aban donment of the siege of Przemysl was not to all appearances the result of a battle In which the Russians were beaten, but was the result of the application of Her man pressure along another part of the battle line, which has hitherto remained In almost complete obscurity. Ominous though It may seem for Russian pros pects that the fall of Warsaw should be spoken of as among Immediate possibili ties, there Is nevertheless justification for the Petrograd War Ofllce when It speaks of the withdrawal from Przemysl as dic tated by strategical rensons. What these reasons are will appear from a brief resume of the eastern cam paign. Russian Poland is a wedge 220 miles long and 200 miles wide thrust Into Germanic territory. The Russian plan for on invnslon of the enemy's territory natutully demanded an advance on on cen front So that before the forces In central Poland were moved against Si lesia, It was necessary for the Russians to the north and south to fight their wny through East Prussia and Gallcla respec tively till they reach approximately the longitude of Warsaw. In the north the Germans were successful In beating off tre attack. A great victory was won near Tanenbcrg, and the Russians were pursued Into their own frontiers, only to make a stand on the Xiemen and force back the Invader. In the north the fight ing has been a draw". Russian successes on the south In Ga llcla have been noteworthy, but they have also been exaggerated In many respects lis to the damage Inflicted on tho Aus trian forces and ns to the menace to Cracow. Even If the Russian ndvaneo had reached Tarnow, as Is reported. It would have meant that the Czar's armies had attained a. point on tho general front on a line with Warsaw, and that beforo there could be any talk of a move on Cracow the forces In central Poland must be brought Into play. But In central Po land there had been going on in a silence favored by the developments of events elsewhere an extraordinary concentration of German troops. During the first weeks of the war the Germans occupied Lodz, only SO miles from Warsaw, and virtually htretched thtmselves In a belt 60 miles wide across Toland from Thorn through Lodz, Plotr kov and Klelce to the Vistula. They did this without resistance because It ap parently entered into the Russian plans to permit tho occupation of that part of Toland, while the Russian advance was under way on the north anil south flanks In East Prussia and Gallcla. The Ger mans, on the other hand, once the men nee to East Prussia had been shattered by General von Hlndenburg's victory at Tannenberg. were content to concentrate In southwest Poland, confident that the Russian advance into Gallcla could not ho pressed dangerously near to Cracow without the co-operation of the Russian central armies; and these they were pre paring to fnco The story of German army corps rushed to the defense of Cracow probably has no basis. Cracow was indirectly but effectively defended by the powerful German concentration In southwestern Poland, which must be Ehattered before the Russian armies of tho South dared press further Into Ga llcla. Consequently when we read of the Ger mans now attacking the lino of the Vis tula and threatening Warsaw, we must recall that the situation Is largely one ct Ryssla'3 own choosing. The march of the Germans to the Vistula haa been virtually unopposed, since the first seri ous righting we hear of occurred about M miles west of the river. The really Important question U in what strength the Russians are now present on the Vis tula. Large forces have been engaged In the fighting on the Nlemen. Large forces Imo been engaged in Gallcla, It may be that under the veil which has covered operations In Poland a, third strong Russian army has been concen trated on the Vistula, though the falling back of the Russians from- Przemysl, for "strategic purposes," would Indicate that the bulk of the Galician army has been chitted northward for the defense of the river. As to the outcome of the battle of the Vistula, we have only this fact to go by: That Von Rennenkampf'a beaten army, pursued Into Russia by the Germans, made a fine stand on the Nlemen River, and beat back the enemy across the fron tier. The Russians now confronting the Germans and Austrians In Poland are jnade up of troops that have been vic torious over the Austrians and of fresh troops. With the stimulus of previous victory, on ground of their own choos ing, the Russian should give a good account of themselves along the middle Vistula, between Warsaw and the Ga Jiclan frontier. Expert Finds German Effort to Cut Off Belgians and British a Failure Von Bochn's Left Threatened. Kaiser Seeks to Pierce Verdun-Toul Lines. By J. W. T. MASON NEW YORK, Oct. 15 -General von Hor hn has failed to block the retreat to th south of the Allied forces who havo bfen resting at Ostcnd. The French victory at Yptes shows the wny Is clear at present for the escape of tho solely fatigued Belgian army and Its British reinforcements. Ypres Is 23 miles Bouth of Ostcnd and commands the Junction of thlee of the four main hlghwa8 that run from Ostcnd south to the French military lines. The retention of Ypres by tho French Is threatening to the southern flank of Von Boseler's army, which Is marching across Belgium with the object of driving the Anglo-Belglnn forces Into the sea. If the French can strike from Ypres to ward the Lys River, which Von Bcselcr Is now using to protect his left wing, he wljl bo forced to rctrent or have his lank turned. A series of other .simitar counter strokes is threatened by both sides throughout the battle area In western Belgium and northwestern Franco. From the glve-and- tnke which Is occurring the rival strengths appear to bo about equal. Each of the contistant3 has divided forces. Von Boseler's victorious army from Antwerp hns not unlt-d with Von Boehn's force to tho south, nnd the allied army that reti cated from ntwerp has not, so far as Is known, et Joined tho rescuing French corps. Tho union of the Aligto-Uelglon forces with tho French at Ypres might permit a sudden attnek In overwhelming numbers against cither of tho two German com mands If the British nnd the Belgians were not exhausted. Thero Is every Indi cation, however, that tho defense of Ant werp nnd the rapid retreat toward the North Sea have put tho Anglo-Belgian army In urgent need of rest for recupera tion. There undoubtedly Is a reserve of defensive strength loft, but tho spirit necessary for a determined offensive must wait for recovery from tho fatigue of tienrlj n. fortnight's Incessant fighting. The march of the Germans to the sea will glse them no military ndvantnge If the retreating Allies escape. Almost, from a strategic standpoint, the gain will be n forced change of one of the BrltlRh supply bases on the northern French const. There can be no thrent against England by a German occupation of any of the North Sen or Channel ports. So long as the Rrltloh navy commands the sea no German transports could be nssembled anywhere along the Belgian or French coast for Invasion of England, while yenboiml Zeppelin stations would be subject to destruction by tho Allies' warships. Permnncnt occupation of the French and Belgian coast towns will seriously lengthen and thus weaken the German bottle line, unless it coincides with a re tirement from the present southern posi tions near the Alsne. Diplomatic rea sons mav demand this change In strategy If Gjrman statesmen can enter a peace conference while their troops hold French or Belgian forts, more advantageous terms might be obtained than If French interior towns were held. In the first case, England as well as France would bo vitally concerned: In the second, only France. By HILAIRE BELXOC PARIS, Oct. 15 One of the most vital points In this 120-mlle battle line Is the eastern end, toward the fortified line Verdun-Toul. This region Is both hilly and thickly wooded. It Is a country not only of deep ravines and considerable forests, but of pasture lands cut up by hedges and full of spinneys and copses as well as woods To tho north stretches the long, low ridge of tho Argonne, a lump of clay, crossed by five or six main roads, but only two railways ine main German effort to break the of this wooded, ravlned and difUcult coun try, for to the west of It He plains, at first very open and bnre; nnd oven fnrther east there Is easy rolling ploughed nnd henlh country with wide horizons, such as Is suitable to the maneuvering of great forces. It Is across this open country the plains which take their name from the town of Chalons and the great wheat district that lies to the south and east of those plains that the main German effort to plerco the French line, now In progress, Is di rected. Cpon the success or failure of this effort will largely turn the fate of France. Both armies are occupying country which has been throughout nil recorded history me oniucuein or the Gauls. It Is the first time, I think, In history, that the parallel Eastern obstacles which cover France have been turned, or that an Invader has been npproachlng from the North, hut, save for this anomaly, history hero repeats Itself In astounding fashion. South of the great camp at Chalons is the half-starved rolling plain of the ChampaBnc-Poullleuse, utterlv bare, save for dwarf lines of newly planted firs. That mournful country, which Is llko a tumbled sea of hlllockn nnd rounded dips, with the dull, low lino of Argonno crossing the eastern horizon, was tho scene of the triumphs nnd the death nnd Is now the resting place of Jveuerman nna valmy. Goethe lived there and found this plain like "the be ginning of a new world." A German army triumph thero would mean that today. In that same lost and barren region o' the huge Catalaunlnn plain, along the Roman road, which skirts the Camp of .-ait'.ie, ui mo runipans or mat amaz ing thing still called the Camp of Attlln. It Is a huge oval bank, reminding one In Its shape of those modern tracks whero automobile races nre run, nnd also In Its size for It Is many hundred vnrds In length. But It Is piled much hlgncr than the banks of these modern racing tracks, and In Its bulk and Isolation it Is the most lmpressivo thing a man may see In the whole course of Europenn travel. This camp, tradition alllrms, was the fortification wherein the Huns secured themselves before they marched south 1400 years ago, nnd wero broken to pieces at last by the discipline of the Roman people, nnd by that power there Is In the Latin blood to digest and to bring Into utoful service the bnrbarlans. The Invader is thus marching over sacred ground. Not far nway, a day's march behind the defending line. Is tho house that nourished Danton. If that line is pierced the Invader may burn the house, still standing, where Joan of Arc was born. Such, then. Is the nature of the ground, nnd such the position of tho opposing forces at tho most critical point In this campaign. PORTUGAL EAGER TO TAKE UP ARMS FOR ALLIES' CAUSE Congress Prepares for Mo bilization of 1 50,000 War Strength and Martial Law Is Proclaimed in African Colonies. French line must be made to the west , several places hae gained By E. ASHMEAD-BAE.TLETT LONDON, Oct. 15. It seems as If tho struggle haa reached such n complicated stage that even tho most highly organized General Staff Is Incapable of exercising even general control over the movements of any particular group of armies, and in various quarters of the field the gen erals are acting more or less indepen dently. The principal fact Is that both armies have executed an almost complete change of front since the battlo of the Marne. They are now holding nstly more extended lines, running almost north and south. Tho Allies' line stretches from Ghent or Its environs to Solssons. For the last ten days the Germans have concentrated their main efforts on breaking through the centre of tho allied line at two points, between Arras and Albert and between Roe and Lasslgny. Their object has been to reach Amiens and thus control the railroads running north, hut they have entirely failed In the main object. As a whole, the situation of the Allies daily becomes more favorable. Evnrv. where they have held their own, and in a town. 10,000,000 Czar's War Strength AMSTERDAM. Oct. IS -Russia has more than W.OOOooe mn lex than 43 years oW who have served under the colors and who are available for military service, according t tha Berliner NEW ITALIAN ENYOY DECLARES COUNTRY WILL NOT GO TO WAR Count di Cellere, in Wash ington Interview, An nounces Only Attack Will Force His Nation Into Great Conflict. WASHINGTON. Oct. 15.-That Italy will remain neutral in the European war unless by gome unforeseen development here vital interests be threatened, was the statement today of Count dl Ccllers, the new Italian Ambassador to the United States, in the first Interview granted by the en-oy since he presented his creden tials at the White House. "We have remained strictly neutral thus far," he said, "and at the time of my departure from Italy there appeared no reason to believe that we would abandon that policy. I have heard noth ing from my Government since my ar rival In America which leads me to think that we shall take part In hostili ties. "The only situation which would bring us Into the war would be an r.ttack upon our national defenses, or some other development, unforeseen at present, which might endanger our vital interests " The Ambassador stated that the with drawal of about 40.000 Italian troops from Cvrenacea. and Tripoli was due to the creation of a colonial Volunteer force, which had been determined upon long before the European war began. The men returned to Italy, he said, were chiefly those whose two-year term of tervtre was about to expire. He declined to comment on the Turkish and Balkan situation. PRZEMSYL STILL BESIEGED; LEMBERG IN CZAR'S HANDS Petrograd War Office Denies Vien na's Claim of Recent Successes. PETROGRAD, Oct. 15. In view of the great battle raging along the Vistula, the Galician campaign has become Insignificant. The "War Depart ment, however, claims successful con tinuance of the siege of Przemysl and de nies the Austrian reoccupatlon of Lem berg. The news agency, by authority of the War Offlce, Issued a denial of claims of i victories In Gallcla, as announced in Vienna, saying: "The Austrian announcement of the rout of the Russians at Przemysl and the recapture of Lembers Is wholly untrue. The operations at Przemysl are progress Ins successfully and the fall of that fortress may be expected at any time It Is reported that cholera has broken out In the garrison there. Part of tho main forts have been silenced by the Russian artillery. "The statements issued In Vienna may recall tho fact that when the Russians were overwhelming the Austrians In Ga llcla and advancing westward rapidly, the Austrian General Staff explained the retreat of their forces as a strategic withdrawal, BERLIN, Oct 15. The War Offlce has Issued the follow ing statement: "The Russians have been defeated near Schlrwindt with a loss of 1500 prisoners and 20 cannon. "The German forces have repulsed the Russians south through Southern Poland back to Warsaw and to the Vistula " LISBON, Oct. 15. Lisbon Is greatly excited by the belief that soon the Republic's army will bo fighting side by side with the French and British In France, and that tho Portuguese navy will Join the patrol of the European coast with the British and French warships. The President and the Cabinet have called a special session of Congress on Friday for the purposo of authorizing the complete mobilization of Portuguese troops. It Is not likely there will be an nctual declaration of war until after Congress meets tomorrow, Tho order for mobiliza tion Is considered hero tantamount to a declaration of war, Portugal Is unanimous In Its determina tion. The lenders of alt parlies have been in conference with the President nnd tho Cabinet, and the decision to call Congress was the result. Thero Is gicat enthusiasm for war In the army and among tho people. Martial law has been declared In tho Portuguese Congo, which Is bordered on the south by German Southwest Africa, according to dispatches received here from Loandn. This is Interpreted as meaning that already there have been clnshcs between the German and Portu guese forces there, perhaps similar to that caused by the effects to spread re volt through the British Union of South Afrlcn. Tho Portuguese possessions In western Africa, known as the Portuguese Congo and Portuguese West Africa, llo Just north of German Southwest Africa. To the north nre the French Congo and tho Belgian Congo, and on the cast Is Rhodesia, part of tho British posses sions. On the west Is the Atlantic Ocean. German residents nre already fleeing from Lisbon, many of them having stnrted for Madrid In anticipation of a declara tion of war by Portugal against Germany, The German Minister Is prepared to leave th capital at a moment's notice. Numerous British steamships have been In the harbor for several weeks, to be ready to move the Portuguese army when war Is declared, and It hns been confident ly expected thnt such a declaration would bo made as soon ns Portugal was thor oughly prepared. Portugal Is the ally of Great Britain, the entity of the young republic being guaranteed by a treaty with Great Britain. England has been representing to Portugal the need of her troops In the battle line of the Allies against Germany and has indicated that If Germany Is the victor Portugal's national Identity will be lost, WAR FOOTING 150,000. While the peace strength of the Portu guese army Is less than 30,000 men, provi sion Is mnde for an active army of 150,000 at war strength. The country Is divided into eight military zones, from each of which can be recruited one active divi sion nnd two brigades of reserve Infantry. The islnnds form three special districts. The annual conscription is fixed at 17,000 men. From the regular army are taken the men of the Republican Guard nnd the Tlscal Guard. Tho actlvo army consists of eight di visions, each containing four regiments of infantrv of three battalions each, one section of machine guns, one regiment of three battalions of Held artillery, one regiment of cavalry of four squadrons, one company of engineers, with pontoon trnin, and signal, sanitary and train troops. Besides this there Is an inde pendent cavalry brigade of three regi ments of four squadrons each, with ma chine gun battery; one park of pontoons, a battalion of field telegraph, a com pany of garrison telegraphers, one of wireless telegraphers, one of aeronauts and two railway companies. There also are two regiments of mountain artillery, one battalion of horse artillery, two bat talions of siege artillery and three extra batteries of mountain guns, besides bat teries of machine guns and engineer and fortress troops. For tho Islands there are three regiments of Infantry. SUBSCRIPTIONS for SATURDAY EVENINQ POST and LADIES' HOME JOURNAL 51.50 PER YEAR EACH Solicited by WM. H. PETZ 3435 "G" ST PHILAD'A. ' Authorised Subcrlptfon Agent. Pottal Mttoa immtdiatt dttiverv. The number Hit The atreet North Sixty-second I'hone Ilelmont 5.3-0-1 X The trouble won't be reckoned If anywhere I'm beckoned MRS. II. II. COOPKIl Authoriied Subscription Agent fThe !allea' Home .luurnal 1 The Saturday Ktenlne i'otrfl.fi0 each The Country Gentleman J JOHN E. CRAIG Authorized by Curds PublUhtns Company to receive nubicrlpilona for The Saturday Eenlng J'oat, The Ladles' Home Journal and Tha Country Gentleman. S007 I'rntTliUe Ave.. Weat rtilla. Thone. Woodland SO-SO W Spanish Parliament Convenes Oct. 30 MADRID. Oct 15 -The Spanish Parlia ment will convene on October 30, accord ing to royal decree. 'JaseUfhe Kundicbau, SIGNS Baker The Sign Alan (INC., 1033-35 Race Street zti m 6h 1 m i i h w .;Si;SSi;Si;S!jS.:S.!S;;S-S!! 'VS?V5''5':V'VS'V5'5S5'v5'5S; s?-&-7'7a?'srar"t Two Roads Open The Right School and the Wrong School. There may be little visible difference between these two roads at the beginning. But at the end of one is Success; of the other, Disappointment. Select with care, Peirce School records, open to all interested, show which road it opens, Send for 60th Year Book and "Tom Brown at Pelrce'a." Day and Evening Sessions PEIRCE SCHOOL 917-919 Chestnut St, Philadelphia, Pa. 1 THE SATURDAY EVENING POST "Here Fido! Nice Doggie!" VlWMMlfcgy I - 6ftllco4i$ott One of Herbert Johnson's Cartoons on tho War, Which Will Appear Weekly '. Mr. Grex of Monte Carlo By E. PHILLIPS OPPENHEIM A novel of international intrigue, leading up to the great war, in which an adventurous young American first falls in love, then into trouble, and becomes a part of events that are making history. dlt erman bai By IRVIN S. COBB A vivid story of the wake of war, written day by day in the ruined villages of Belgium and France through which Mr. Cobb followed the German Juggernaut. Liberty A Statement of the British Gaseby Arnold Bennett, the famous English novelist. In This Week's Issue The One Dated October 17th Murder Will Out No matter which Emperor wins, the people always lose, and censor or no censor, the real story of die war will be given to them. 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