Al6-Lancaster Farming, Saturday, August 30, 2003 GRAIN, CATTLE, HOG, & MILK BFP FUTURES MARKETS Markets Courtesy of Chicago Board and Mercantile Exchange Closing Bids: Thursday, August 28, 2003 Com ! Month | Opening {High {Low I Closing 230 230 1/2 228 1/2 230 1/2 229 3/4 io3Sep i io3Dec 238 239 1/4 236 238 3/4 239 04Mar | 243 3/4 245 1/2 242 1/2 245 1/4 245 )04Mayi : 04JuT, 246 1/2 248 1/4 245 1/4; 247 3/4 ,248 1/4 246 248 1/2 249 247 04Sep 242 242 1/2 241 241 1/4 jo4Dec OSMar 1 247 1/2 249 1/2 247 1/2 249 1/2 05Jul |osDec Month Opening High ;Low j Soybeans Month Opening High 03Sep lo3Nov i 584 591 1/4 584 582 3/4 588 3/4,581 1/21 04Jan j 04Mar J 04May 584 1/2 590 583 1/4 581 1/2 585 1/2 579 3/4 574 578 572 1/2 04Jul 575 577 1/2 573 > 577 577 1/2 577 1/4 04Aug 570 571 570 570 1/2 b 572 a 571 |o4Sep lo4Nov j 540 541 534 ;Month {Opening [High Low j Soybean Meal Month j Opening High Low , i 96.7 200.5 1 196.3' 03Sep '< lo3Oct f 185.3 186.8 184.0' fo3Dec 183.5 184.7 182.0 [o4Jan ' 183.5 184.7 182.4 !04Mar 182.3 184.0 181.9 |o4May | jo4jul | 180.0 181.5 179.3 179.5 181.5 179.5 04 Aug 177.5 179.0.177.5 179.0 b 179.1 a |o4Sep I 04Oct !04Dec ; 177.0 177.5 175.5 1 177.0 b 177.1 a 170.0 170.8 170.0! 170.5 b 170.6 a Month iOpening High Low | Aug. 22,2003 CHEESE STOCKS LOWER • American cheese down 4 percent. • Butter stocks still growing. • Cash and futures markets holding. This week I attended a dairy m milk shipments, industry conference and had a The market appears just as chance to speak with my fellow confused as my survey. That dairy economists and get the- »said. the dairy futures and - the 249 241] 243 1/2 244 254 3/4 n 240 n Low 587 3/4 588 3/4 585 1/2 584 577 578 545 n 545 Unch 538 536 1/2 537 1/4, -14 Closing 200.3 200.5 186.5 186.8 184.7 184.5 184.3 183.7 181.5 181.5 1171.0 b 171.1 a “scoop” on what is happening in California. Some said there has been significant heat damage to the milk supply and that this will show up in next month’s Milk Production report. Others said they did not notice any difference Settle [Net Chg 230 t +lO 238 3/4 +l6 248 3/4 1 2421/4 +22 242 242 1/2 244 243 3/4 249 1/2 254 3/4 +24 Settle |Net Chg Closing Settle jNet Chg 590 1/2, +BO 588 1/4' Closing 591 590 589 590 589 1/2 584 3/4; 577 1/2 Settle jNetCbgj Closing i Settle Net Chg 1 200.4 +54 186.6 +27 184.6 +25 184.3 +2l ! 183.7 +2l 181.5 +23 181.5 +22 179.0 +23. 177.0 +23; 171.0 170.5 Closing iSettle 'Net Chgj Lean Hogs Date 08/27/03 *CASFF 0 4812481248J2 08/28/03 Oct 03 5435 551053805420 08/28/03 Dec 03 5330 536052705307 08/28/03 Feb 04 5550 555055055537 08/28/03 Apr 04 5775 585057755847 08/28/03 May 04 6150 618561206185 08/28/03 Jun 04 6307 639563006387 08/28/03 Jul 04 6100 614560926140 08/28/03 Aug 04 5895 592058905920 08/28/03 Oct 04 5365 5365 53405340 245 +l4 + 14 248 Composite Volume Open_lnt 08/27/03 5823 38575 +l6 Live Cattle +24 Date +22 08/27/03 "■CASH' 1 ' 0 819481948194 +94 08/28/03 Aug 03 8490 8490 83808405 unch 08/28/03 Sep 03 8370 8385 8267 8330 +4O 08/28/03 Oct 03 8265 83208185 8205 -25 08/28/03 Nov 03 8100 810081008100 -30 08/28/03 Dec 03 8095 8115 80108020 -97 08/28/03 Feb 04 7980 7985 79157930 -57 08/28/03 Apr 04 7765 778077107715 -67 08/28/03 Jun 04 7275 7275 72207240 -42 08/28/03 Aug 04 7250 725072007210 -15 +2O 240 Composite Volume Open_lnt 08/27/03 17387 122144 +74, +72 +56 Pork Bellies Date +52 +46 +7O 08/27/03 *CASH* 0 800080008000 08/28/03 Feb 04 8515 8535 83508417 08/28/03 Mar 04 8350 835083508350 08/28/03 May,o4 8480 848084808480 08/28/03 Jul 04 8650 865086508650 08/28/03 Aug 04 8497 8497 8497 8497 Composite Volume Open_lnt 08/27/03 227 1600 Oats Month Opening |High Q3Sep 134 136 1/2 Q3Pec | 139 1/2 141 1/4 138 3/4 j 140 1/4 140 04lS4ar 145 1/4 146 3/4 j 145 1/4 j 146 1/4 a 04$$ayf “ 151 ] 151 1511 151 feET" ~ ‘ ‘ "" “ 04Sep 1 04Dec j +5 +5 [Month | Opening! High [Low i cash markets for butter and cheese at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange are still pretty firm. Block and barrel cheese aver aged $1.60 and $1.5675 per pound, respectively, at the Chica go Mercantile Exchange. Grade AA butter dropped a penny a pound by Friday, but averaged $1.1467 per pound. Only one car load of barrel cheese and six car loads of 40-pound block cheese traded hands this week. The market is taking a “wait-and see” approach to market uncer tainty. USDA’s Cold Storage report may be adding more mystery to the outlook. As of July 31, 2003, butter inventories were up 12 percent over a year ago to 275.3 million pounds. American cheese inventories were down 4 percent to 550.4 million pounds. Total cheese was down 3 percent to 809.1 million pounds. Recall that milk production u- u i w Previous Previous Open High Low Last Cnee ~ . ~ , b Volume Open_lnt 0 0 3327 23133 1637 9612 466 3255 222 1458 18 307 70 494 32 214 29 74 22 28 .. ..... . Previous Previous Open H.gh Low Last Chge Vo|ume Open In. 0 0 762 941 63 619 5430 57728 0 16 6127 30901 2760 17651 1973 11568 271 2646 1 73 ~ , ¥ T Previous Previous Open High Low Last Chge Volume ope „ 0 0 225 1538 1 30 0 11 1 21 0 0 iLow and cheese production were very strong last year. So these slight drops may not represent much of a shortfall. Put another way, it may not suggest we have been selling lots and lots of cheese. The futures market is still con vinced that cheese prices will rise through the fall months. As of Aug. 22, 2003, Class 111 futures are expected to be $13.77 per CWT for August, $14.20 per CWT for September, $13.95 per CWT for October, $12.80 per CWT for November, and $12.23 per CWT in December. While the futures prices have dropped a bit, they are still aver aging $0.95 per CWT above the 5-year average prices for August- December. It is always a good idea to consider locking in milk prices when they rise above the 's*-year average. .* • •... . . unch -98 -100 unch unch -3 i Closing 134 ( 135 3/4 I 150 n 149 n 150 n Unch Closing {Settle Net Chg Average Farm Feed Costs for Handy Reference To help farmers across the state to have handy reference of commodity input costs in their feeding operations for DHIA re cord sheets or to develop livestock feed cost data, here’s last week’s average costs of various ingredients as compiled from regional reports across the state of Penn sylvania. Remember, these are averages, so you will need to adjust your figures up or down according to your location and the quality of your crop. Com, No.2y 2.71 bu., 4.85 cwt. Wheat, N 0.2 3.37 bu., 5.62 cwt. Barley, N 0.3 1.88 bu., 4.02 cwt. Oats, N 0.2 1.81 bu., 5.64 cwt. Soybeans, No.l 5.44 bu., 9.08 cwt Ear Corn 87.69 ton, 4 39 cwt Alfalfa Hay 114.25 ton, 5.71 cwt. Mixed Hay 112.50 ton, 5.63 cwt. Timothy Hay 132.50 ton, 6.63 cwt. Settle iNet Chg 135 3/4 +4 140 +l2 + 10 146 1/4 ! 151 +34 150 Unch +4O 149 150 - *.t * , t