A34-Lancaster Farming, Saturday, June 28, 2003 A FRAMEWORK FOR UNDERSTANDING INDUSTRIES John Berry Agricultural Marketing Agent Lehigh County Cooperative Extension Crop and livestock fanning are part of the food industry. As I give presentations and talk with farmers, it amazes me how many segments there are in the farming business despite less than two percent of the population being involved in producing the food we eat. Exploring business growth, cal culating the potential of a new enterprise, or planning to more effectively deploy resources often involves studying industry trends. As we examine the busi ness of farms, farming and food production, it is often helpful to put a framework around the food industry. There are three dimensions to the concept of an “industry” that might help the entrepreneur grasp the nature of an industry and a venture’s potential for suc cess in that industry: 1) carrying capacity, 2) uncertainty, and 3) complexity. Carrying Capacity Carrying capacity or degree of saturation is the extent to which the industry can support growth, from both the entry of new ven tures and the growth of existing ones. Entrepreneurs typically seek out an industry that can support expansion, thus allowing the new venture to grow and to obtain the resources it needs. Difficulty entering a specific industry because of many com petitors, major companies that control needed supply chains, or economies of scale, suggests that the industry may be approaching saturation that is, the produc tion capability of the existing firms may equal or exceed cus tomer demand for their products. The only way to enter such an in dustry is through the introduc tion of new technology or the dis covery of a niche where a need has not been met. The growth of organic food production and di rect-to-consumer marketing are examples of niche markets origi nating from a saturated industry. Uncertainty Uncertainty is the degree of stability or instability and ambi guity in an industry. A dynamic, uncertain environment is one that is difficult to predict because it is in constant flux. Industries that operate in vola tile environments, such as the pharmaceutical industry, contain higher degrees of uncertainty or risk. Consequently, the rewards are usually higher as well. Dy namic, even chaotic, environ ments also provide a fertile grow ing ground for new opportunities and have given birth to many successful companies. Office Closed July 4 On Friday, July 4, Lancaster Farming office is closed. The office will reopen Monday, July 7. For the July 5 issue, there are some deadline changes: Public Sale and Mailbox ads, 5 p.m., Friday, June 27. Classified, Section D ads 4 p.m., Tuesday, July 1. Classified, Section C, farm equipment ads, 4 p.m., Tuesday, July 1. General news noon, Wednesday, July 2. Complexity Complexity is the number and diversity of inputs and outputs facing an organization. Firms that operate in complex indus tries usually have to deal with more suppliers, customers, and competitors than firms in other industries, and they regularly produce a greater number of dis similar products. Industries with a high degree of complexity, such as the electronics industry are, by then very nature, difficult for new businesses to enter. They are also extremely competitive; therefore, new ventures often find a great deal of hostility rather than col laboration in those industries. Telecommunications and bio technology are both industries with a high degree of competition and government regulation and in which product life cycles are very short. Industry Evolution Industries do.not remain static or stable over time on any of the three aspects of this framework. In fact, they are in an almost con stant state of evolution. Like peo ple, industries move through a life cycle that includes birth, growth, maturity, and ultimately decline. The stages of the industry life cycle are identified by the differ ent kinds of activities occurring at each stage: I. Birth: A new industry emerges, often with the introduc tion of a disruptive technology such as the Internet. 2. Growth and adaptation: The new industry goes through a vol atile stage, and companies and their respective technologies jock ey for position and the right to determine the standards. Proprie tary rights give companies a brief “quiet” period to gain acceptance by customers. 3. Differentiation and competi tion: As more firms enter the in dustry, intense product differen tiation occurs as the industry established standards and propri etary rights no longer provide the exclusivity they once did. 4. Shakeout: When competi tion is the most intense, those companies that are unable to compete leave. 5. Maturity and decline: The industry reaches a mature state with several major players that dominate. If research and devel opment in the industry do not produce a resurgence of growth, the industry could face decline. Few worthwhile activities are easily accomplished. Developing, maintaining, and growing a busi ness within the food industry of fers many opportunities and challenges. The likelihood of finding fulfillment in our role as an entrepreneur can be increased by giving some consideration to the industry we are a part of and the business of farming. Penn State S UNIVERSITY PARK (Centre Co.) Two one-day field clinics at the Agronomy Research Farm at the Larson Agricultural Re search Center near Rockspring have been scheduled by Penn State’s Department of Crop and Soil Sciences. The clinics will be conducted Tuesday, July 29, and Thursday, July 31. The registration fee is $45 per person and includes lunch, refreshments, and support materials. The late registration fee of $65 will be charged after July 21. These one-day field clinics are designed to improve the agron omic management skills of indus try personnel, extension and pub lic agents, crop consultants, and producers. Specialists from Penn State and the agricultural community will provide hands-on diagnosis training in crop production, pest management, soil fertility and soil and water conservation. Participants will be able to choose from a variety of topics and have ample opportunity to diagnose, solve, and discuss crop management problems and situa tions. In addition to gaining agronomic knowledge, CCA and pesticide applicator license cred its can be obtained. Registration can be made by mailing or faxing the form repro duced here or e-mailing informa tion to LACB@psu.edu, fax (814) 863-7043, or standard mail to the address on the form. Farmers Group Suggests Common Sense Approach To COOL WASHINGTON, D.C. In his formal.comments to USDA’s Agricultural Marketing Service, NFU President Dave Frederick son addressed many of the recent concerns and myths about the new law, which was included in the 2002 farm bill. “It was clearly not the intent of Congress that the full burden of compliance and verification be placed upon the American pro ducer,” Frederickson said. “We believe the voluntary program guidelines should expand upon current programs without cre ating a costly new regulatory bur den on producers or other food product sectors. To the extent existing record-keeping systems and import information can be utilized and tailored to meet the COOL requirements for consum er notification, the less costly and more efficient the labeling system will be for all parties.” Frederickson explained that the vast majority of U.S. live stock and crop producers do not import any livestock or crop products that would subject their operations to foreign origin veri fication. “As long as these opera tions continue a ‘domestic only’ production system, they should be able to self-certify their com modities as United States coun try-of-origin when they market their products,” he said. For those fanners and ranch ers who do market imported products, Frederickson said they should have an. appropriate re cord-keeping system. Existing identification programs, such as health certificates from the USDA Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service or import in formation gathered by the U.S. Customs Service, can be coordi nated and used to identify the country-of-origin for imported commodities, he explained. hedules Two Field Clinics 10 th Animerstiry 2003 Penn State Agronomic- Field Diagnostic Clinic Please return this registration form by July 21 to Field Diagnostic Clinic Attn: Lisa Crytser Dept, of Crop and Soil Sciences Penn State University 116 ASI Building University Park, PA 16802 You are invited to attend one of the following programs Tuesday, July 29 or Thursday, July 31 Number attending Amount enclosed ($45.00 per person) (make check payable to Penn State University) (Late registration fee is $65 after July 21) Name, company, address, and phone number of primary registrant; Name Comi ian' .ddress Phone (please clip and return this registration form before July 21 to avoid a late fee) New Program Manager Joins Penn State Dairy Alliance UNIVERSITY PARK (Centre Co.) Michele C. Moyer has been named the new program manager of the Dairy Alliance, a statewide initiative in Penn State’s College of Agricultural Sciences. The Dairy Alliance partners with dairy producers and related service providers across the com monwealth to enhance the eco nomic development of Pennsyl vania’s dairy industry through leadership and focused educa tional efforts. “Since its launch in 2000, the Dairy Alliance program has strived to play an important role in increasing the profitability and sustainability of Pennsylvania’s dairy farms,” said Dr. Lisa Hold en, associate professor of dairy science at Penn State. “Michele’s addition to the staff will help us in our ongoing efforts to provide excellent quality programs to our progressive dairy producers.” Dairy Alliance staff collaborate with various segments of the diary industry to deliver educa tional programs focused on four subject areas to dairy producers: information management, human resource management, business management, and nutri ent management. Through work shops and conferences offered across the state, dairy producers are able to receive the most up to-date information available from Penn State agriculture fac ulty and researchers. In her new post, Moyer is re sponsible for coordinating the Dairy Alliance’s communication and marketing efforts. Her duties include promoting the education al programs of the Dairy Alli ance, maintaining a calendar of statewide dairy events on the worldwide web (www.dairyalli ance.com), and directing calls re ceived through the organization’s toll-free dairy resource line (1-888-373-PADA). Moyer joined Penn State in 1998 as the public information officer at Penn State Dußois. Prior to that, she was the editor of The Progress newspaper in Clearfield. She serves as the edit or of the Clearfield County Farm Bureau newsletter and volunteers as the dairy coordinator for the Clearfield 4-H Livestock Club.