Growing The Pennsylvania Dairy Industry Bradley J. Hilly Penn State Dairy Alliance UNIVERSITY PARK (Centre Co.) The projections for the fu ture of the Northeast dairy busi ness published in the May 10 issue of Hoard’s Dairyman are troubling. If those projections hold true, by 2020 cow numbers in the Northeast will have de clined to nearly 76 percent of cur rent numbers, while cow numbers in the western states are project ed to grow by more than 50 per cent. Although total milk produc tion is projected to grow slightly in the Northeast, our market share will have declined to about 14.5 percent, down from 20.4 per cent in 1980. Until 2001, milk production in Pennsylvania has grown slightly on an annual basis (an average of 1.69 percent or ap proximately ISO million pounds per year). In contrast, the Cali fornia dairy industry has grown an average of 4.41 percent, or ap proximately two billion pounds, per year. The progressive dairy states are aggressively pursuing growth opportunities to expand their in dustry. The leaders of the New York dairy industry have ac cepted the challenge to grow their industry. Yet in Pennsylva nia, the reaction to the word “growth” in reference to our dairy industry is often met with animosity. Why is this? Are we so attached to a way of life that we will let it be the downfall of our industry? Having grown up in western Pennsylvania, I saw what the loss of key industries does to local economies and so- Lancaster Farming Announces Family Farm Days Winners EPHRATA (Lancaster Co.) They are John Patterson, Mill- Lancaster Farming announces ersville; Ron James, Lancaster; the winners of a free one-year e T , . „ , . „ subscription during a drawing Suzanne Horst, Ronks; and Kar conducted last week at the Ore- ee Blantz, Lancaster. Congratu gon Dairy Family Farm Days. lations to all! Sylvia To Head Penn State Crop And Soil Sciences Department UNIVERSITY PARK (Centre Co.) David Sylvia, professor of soil microbiology at the Universi ty of Florida, has been appointed head of the crop and soil sciences department in Penn State’s Col lege of Agricultural Sciences. “Dr. Sylvia has demonstrated leadership and professionalism in his scholarship,” said Robert Steele, dean of the college. “His work on mycorrhizae is recog nized internationally, and he is an award-winning educator who has contributed strongly to the development of Web-based dis tance education. We are extreme ly gratified that someone of his stature will be joining us at the university.” Sylvia has been professor in the University of Florida’s soil and water science department since 1993. He served as adminis trative intern for academic pro grams in the university’s College of Agricultural and Life Sciences from 1996 through 1997, and was a visiting research fellow at the Biological Laboratory of the Uni versity of Kent at Canterbury, United Kingdom, in 1993. He was associate professor at the University" of Florida from 1989 to 1993, assistant professor at the university from 1984 to 1989, and research associate there from 1981 to 1984. Sylvia’s research examines the nicrobial ecology of the rhizos- Dhere particularly mycorrhizal cial structures. The loss of the mining and steel industries has still adversely affected many communities. Should the Penn sylvania dairy industry incur a similar fate, the impact on our rural communities could be dev astating. It is important that we grasp the challenge before us and proceed at a pace we have never imagined. Grow is not the four-letter word it is often perceived to be by some of our producers and indus try leaders. Growth can be achieved by a number of methods and all producers can benefit. This is not an issue of small ver sus large. Our dairy industry needs both the small and the large producers. However, if pro ducers choose to stay small, the challenges they will face in the future will tax their management skills like never before. The cost to raise a family con tinues to increase. Family living draws for our average dairy fami ly are approximately $35,000-$40,000 per year depend ing on tax liabilities. That re quires $5OO-$7OO per cow per year in net farm income, more than most average dairy busi nesses generate. Due to inflation, that number will continue to in crease. Within 10 years, assum ing an average inflation rate of 3 percent, $47,000 must be with drawn from the business to main tain the same standard of living that $35,000 provides today. At 4 percent inflation, the number is $52,000. It will be important for our smaller producers to maximize the profitability of their business es. They can achieve this by max fungi with the goal of incorpo rating mycorrhizal technology into sustainable agriculture prac tice. He had edited three books, contributed chapters for 16 oth ers, authored 57 refereed papers and abstracts and delivered in vited lectures at numerous state, national and international re search symposia. He has been elected fellow of the Soil Science Society of Ameri ca. He was honored as Graduate Teacher/Adviser of the Year in the University of Florida College of Agricultural and Life Sciences and was a 1997 Fulbright Distin guished Scholar. Sylvia received the University of Florida Out standing Faculty Achievement and Performance Award in 1990, and was a National Academy of Science Exchange Scholar to Czechoslovakia in 1988. Sylvia received his bachelor’s degree in forestry from the Uni versity of Massachusetts in 1975 and a master’s degree in plant pathology from the same institu tion in 1977. He earned his doc torate in plant pathology from Cornell University in 1981. He is a member of the American Socie ty of Agronomy, the American Society of Microbiology, the In ternational Society of Root Re search, the Soil Ecology Society and the Soil Science Society of America. imizing production and control ling their investments. This will require a different business model than small dairies have adopted in the past. Owning the equipment and land required to raise crops to feed the cows is an expensive lux ury. The returns on these invest ments cannot match the returns provided by a well-managed dairy cow, even at $2,000 per head. The general trends all indi cate that as production increases, so does profitability. Average production per cow topped 18,000 pounds for the first time in 2000. Yet many herds throughout the state are well below this figure, as are the coun ty averages for many counties in Pennsylvania. This presents a tremendous opportunity to grow our industry. Increases in production per cow have averaged 2.25 percent for the past 25 years. By establishing an industry-wide initiative to im prove production per cow, we could achieve a 5 to 7 percent growth rate per year. This in crease would go a long way in meeting the need for the addi tional production required to keep our processors satisfied. To accomplish this, we need to focus on cow comfort and forage quali ty issues in many areas of the state. Higher producing herds must focus on transition cow management and development of standard operating procedures. There is no reason Pennsylvania cannot be in the top five states in milk production per cow. Increasing production per cow is only one avenue for growing our dairy industry. Many Penn sylvania producers aspire to achieve the lifestyle only a larger dairy business can provide them. We need to provide opportunities for those producers who wish to expand to do so. We must also show other producers how ex panding can actually improve their lifestyle. Whether to attend professional meetings, take vaca PDA’s Mark Butcher Chosen Livestock Grader Of The Year MILLIE BUNTING Market Staff AUBURN, Ala. Mark Butcher, Pennsylvania Depart ment of Agriculture’s (PDA’s) livestock grading supervisor, received the Livestock Grader of the Year Award at the 42nd Annual National Livestock Grading and Marketing Associ ation (NLGMA) workshop and conference in May at Auburn University. Butcher was one of three Pennsylvanians attending the NLGMA’s annual summer con ference, whose main agenda in volves a grading workshop which has been designated as the largest, most intensive training session for individuals interested in livestock grading and evaluation. The other Pennsylvanians at the conference were Baldemar R. Ortiz, officer in charge of the USDA’s market news office in New Holland, and Kenneth Ketterer, a PDA livestock mar ket reporter. In addition to reviewing cur rent livestock situations in their various states, the 128 attend- tions or participate in outside ac tivities, larger producers have the luxury of spending more time away from the farm. They hire and train good employees to manage their business when they are away. Successful expansions require successful planning. In recent years, many of our dairies have expanded themselves into a no man’s land of dairy business. It is no secret that at 600-800 cows, dairy businesses begin to reach the economies of scale that many of our producers hope to achieve by expanding to smaller sizes. Careful well-planned expansions will provide an opportunity to grow to the next level within a relatively short period of time (three to five years). Over-investi ng in equipment and facilities can lengthen this time frame and will even keep some producers from achieving their ultimate goal. As an industry, we must practice sound investment strate gies, which often means short term sacrifice for long-term gain. To help provide ample oppor tunity for our dairies to grow, we must stop the flow of cattle out of our state. Why do our western competitors purchase animals in Pennsylvania and pay the truck ing to haul them long distances? Could it be that they realize that earning capacity of a well-man aged animal far exceeds that of most other investments required in a dairy business? Those pro ducers selling cattle to move west could make another SSO-$lOO per head by selling animals to local producers, who would still pur chase cows for less money than our western competitors are pay ing. As dairy businesses continue to grow, they will provide ample op portunities for support businesses such as custom heifer growers, custom harvest operators, and even custom crop growers. We need to establish these businesses throughout the state, as the smaller producers can benefit ees participated in correlating slaughter and feeder cattle grades of most species and classes of livestock. The association’s member ship consists of about 220 live stock reporters/graders from 30 states. Members can be federal, state, or county government employees actively engaged in livestock market reporting and/or grading according to the USDA grade standards. Butcher got his start in mar ket reporting years ago as an intern for John Zimmerman, retired head of the PDA live stock market division. After he was graduated from Delaware Valley College, Doylestown, with a degree in dairy science, Butcher worked at Em-Tran for two years before joining the PDA market news staff in July 1991. Butcher’s livestock grading work involves the grading of feeder pigs and retum-to-farm Holstein calves at the terminal markets whose reports are im portant to the buyers as well as sellers in trade. His responsibil ities also include covering the from them as well as larger pro ducers. In fact, smaller dairies will need to employ these serv ices, as it will be increasingly dif ficult to maintain the investments necessary to operate a traditional do-it-all dairy business model. As an industry we must forge new relationships and help those who no longer want to operate a dairy business to find and develop the opportunities available to them. The third avenue for stimulat ing the growth of our industry is to provide dairies with alterna tives to relocate. Many areas of Pennsylvania and surrounding states continue to be developed into suburban communities. Within the next five to ten years, many dairies from these areas will be forced to make a decision to discontinue or relocate their businesses. In addition to these businesses, dairy producers from other countries have been immi grating to the United States. There are numerous areas in Pennsylvania that could accom modate an expanding dairy in dustry. If we are serious about re vitalizing our state’s dairy industry, we must promote Penn sylvania as a viable alternative to the Midwestern states for relocat ing a dairy business. We are close to the markets, have affordable land prices (in many areas of the state), and can provide a labor force with strong work ethics. The challenge lies before us. We can continue on our current path and watch our industry de cline, or we can switch paths and aggressively work to prevent this from happening. Ultimately, the responsibility lies in the hands of you, our state’s producers, to de cide which path you will take. Many producers are in this busi ness because them with a way of life that they can’t find anywhere else. Now is the time to protect that way of life, by making tough business deci sions. We must grow our indus try, before it moves elsewhere, for once it is gone, your way of life just won’t be the same. regular livestock auctions out side of Lancaster County with the aid of other state reporters who work in conjunction with the USDA Market News Serv ice. A native of York County, Butcher resides with his wife Stacey in Newport (Perry County). He said his farm background consists of growing up near a farm. He and his wife Stacey farm about 18-20 acres of produce for their own farm ers market, growing everything from flowers in the spring to pumpkins for Hallowe’en. Called “Butcher’s Farm Market,” it is located on 4th Street in Newport. He said the market is mostly run by his wife, but he does do most of the planting and growing work. That is his sideline. Butcher considers his live stock grading and reporting work very important to the producers, the market owners, livestock buyers, and packers. In these days of more and more direct marketing, producers still look to the market reports for information.