Al6-Lancaster Farming, Saturday, December 15,2001 GRAIN, CATTLE. HOG. &MILKBFP FUTURES MARKETS Markets Courtesy of Chicago Board and Mercantile Exchange Closing Bids: Thursday, Dec. 13,2001 Corn _ Happening ~ [Mm 2063/4 207 1/2J204 1/4 207 1/2 j 207 (207 l/4f +4 2OB 2b9 1/2|207i/4(268 3/4i (208 3/4f +4 216121613/4(213 3/4(2161/4 l/2 +4| l/2 223 1/2(220 1/2(223 1/4 |223 1/2 [223 1/4 +6i [fljjfyt.,' 228; 229(225 3/41 228 1/2 [ 229J228 3/4 +6| 02Sep 232 1/2 232 3/4 230 1/2; 232 (232 1/2 |232 1/4 -il 02Dec 239 3/4 240! 237 239 1/2 240 (239 3/4 Unch| ;CtejMjar 247 1/4,247 1/4(244 1/4 247 1/4 | 247 1/4 +2! jO|Jll|- 1 253 1/4,253 1/4(2493/41252 1/4 j 252 l/4( Unch 1 joUbbC 254! 254, 251} 254 | | 254 +lO (Month Opening 1 High ; Soybeans ip . >-\ r >'-c|oslhaP-j. ' _ Ise^" 3 1 14 l/41433 1/2[4 i/4_ +1 1/. 38 | 437 ' l/2f7 +1 72 441?/ ' 2 L Month Opening High ;Low s'\ r ' _ 02Jan 433 1/2 436 431 1/2| 434 1/4 1433 1/2 [433 3/4 _ + 12| 02Mar 436 1/2 439 1/2 435 438 I 437 [437 1/2[J +10 ; 02May 441 1/2 443 439 1/2; 441 1/4 1441 3/4 1441 l/2[~ Vs! 02Jul 446 448 1/4 444 3/4 446 3/4 447 446 3/4 +l4, 02Aug[ 446 449 445 1/2,446 1/2 1 446 1/21 +l2 02Sepl 448 448 446 447 1 i 447) +l4| 02NOV 450 1/4 453 449 1/2 452 1451 3/4 [451 3/4| +^2; 033 an [ 1 458 nl 458 [” + 141 03Mar 463 1/2 n| 463 l/2[ +l4| 03Nov J I _ j 481 nj 481] Unch MorithjOpemngHigh Low U -'k Soybean Meal Month Opening Chg 150.3 153.0 150.2 152. OlDec 023 an . 02Mar 148.7 150.5| 146.8 147.8 02May 145.71146.51 02Jul ' 146.6 147.5| 02Aug| 147.2 147.6 147.0 147.91 02Sep 02Oct 147.0 148.01 02Dec 148.7 150.0 03Jan MdnthOpeningHigh Lqw Weekly Dairy Market Outlook Ken Bailey Penn State Dec. 7,2001 Butter, Cheese Markets Remain Weak Despite Holiday Sales • Cheese prices weaken. • Grade AA butter prices de- dine. • Butter and cheese produc- tion up. • International prices weaker. USDA reports that holiday sales of dairy products are good, but not enough to boost sagging prices. At the Chicago Mercan tile Exchange olock cheese fell from $1.30 per pound earlier in the week to $1.26 per pound by Friday. Likewise, barrel cheese prices fell from $1.2650 per pound on Monday to $1.2150 per pound by week’s end. Even butter wasn’t spared. Grade AA butter prices slipped from $1.26 per pound on Monday to $1.2325 by Friday. Western powder prices re mained steady. Prices for West ern nonfat dry milk ranged from $0.90-$0.9375 per pound, just above the support price level. The October dairy products .5 [ 153.0 152.?! .0 I 150.5 148.4 150 .7 { 147.2 i 147.4 j 146.3 147 145.3 146.:» 146.2, 147.5 [ 147.3 1147.4 f 146.8 147.1 b|147.2 aj147.1| 147.0 147.3 b 147.5 a 147.4 147.0 147.3 b 147.8 a 147.5 j 148.4 150.0 i 150.01 , 149.5 bj 150.0 aj 149.7: Clos^ig report provided a mixed bag. Despite milk production falling below year-ago levels, October butter production was up 6.9 percent and American cheese production was up 3.2 percent. The growth in butter production probably had more to do with availability of excess cream sup plies. Total cheese production actually fell 1.1 percent as other cheese varieties dropped in pro duction. Cream cheese and Other Italian cheese production fell 9.5 and 13.8 percent, respec tively, in October relative to a year ago. The Dairy Products report also indicated that manufactur ers’ stocks of dry dairy products such a$ dry whey, lactose, and nonfat dry milk were all down about 30 percent relative to a year ago. That’s because demand for these products has been very strong. A lot of nonfat dry milk is probably being used in the cheese vat now that do mestic prices have declined be cause of a reduced support price. USDA reported this week in Dairy Market News that world prices for nonfat dry milk are also falling due to slow interna- + 30' 150.2 + 15, + 7i j 146.5 i +9 +9; +6| +4| + ll| + 13. +9| fiettle[§§P<|g| tional demand. Prices for skim milk powder in Oceania are re ported to be $0.77-$0.83 per pound. International buyers are shopping around now that the U.S. has announced the DEIP program So what does this mean for U.S. milk prices? The Class 111 futures at the Chicago Mercan tile Exchange today averaged $12.31 per CWT for 2002. The historical two-year average Class 111 price (January 2000 November 2001) was $11.40 per CWT with a high of $15.90 and a low of $8.57. The five-year av erage Class 111 price (January 1997-November 2001) was $12.31 per CWT, with a high of $17.34 and a low of $8.57. Thus the current futures price ol $12.31 per CWT for 2002 looks fairly attractive, especially if you think the milk supply will grow more than 2 percent in 2002. As for the Class IV price, the 2002 average from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange as of today was $12.58 per CWT. This price does not have a very good histor ical comparison since the Class IV price is now just two years old. For the last 23 months, the Lean Hogs Date 12/13/01 Dec 01 4530 457543254570 +5B 12/13/01 Feb 02 5160 528251605262 +127 12/13/01 Apr 02 5595 5675 5595 5660 +B5 12/13/01 May 02 6225 631062256310 +BO 12/13/01 Jun 02 6340 640063406400 +75 12/13/01 Jul 02 6155 620061506180 +55 12/13/01 Aug 02 5975 6030 5975 6030 +45 12/13/01 Oct 02 5240 526052405250 +2O 12/13/01 Dec 02 5020 50605015 5060 +4O Composite Volume Open_lnt 12/12/01 5851 28282 Live Cattle Date 12/13/01 Dec 01 6425 642563526370 12/13/01 Feb 02 6770 67876715 6720 12/13/01 Apr 02 7080 7085 7005 7010 12/13/01 Jun 02 6757 6770 6700 6702 12/13/01 Aug 02 6787 678767356737 12/13/01 Oct 02 6995 7000 6970 6977 12/13/01 Dec 02 7060 706070207020 Composite Volume Open_lnt 12/12/01 18535 95161 Pork Bellies Date 12/13/01 Feb 02 7370 756773707540 +l7O 12/13/01 Mar 02 7440 7545 73807522 +lB2 12/13/01 May 02 7525 769075257690 +135 12/13/01 Jul 02 7725 772577257725 +l6O 12/13/01 Aug 02 7700 770077007700 +135 Composite Volume Open lnt 12/12/01 498 2383 Oats warn ‘ 240 IftgfPP 201 3/4 MHB[~ 150 1501147 1/2 147 1/2J ' 147 1/2 M 1501150 l/2f 150 150 f 150 mmmmmmmmmmmr „ ... , . . . Previous Previous Open H.gh Lo» Last Chge Vo|ume open|nt 1798 4518 2988 15335 512 4320 57 1115 339 1513 98 615 8 315 28 419 23 131 _ ..... . A Previous Previous Open High Low Last Chge Vo , ume open Int 4246 9867 8556 43941 3552 19333 1323 13532 478 6033 105 1706 274 749 r\ . , ¥ ~,, Previous Previous Open High Low Last Chge Volume Qpen Jnt 455 1890 24 290 16 153 1 41 2 9 v. -.3 ■« __ __ 243 +321 1201 3/4 j 203 3/4 j 203 1/2 |203 1/2 +26 1 jlB6 1/2 187 1/4 1 87 187 j +l2 2401 243 2061 189 169 1/2 173 Class IV price averaged $12.84 per CWT with a high of $15.59 and a low of $10.73. Given the outlook for lower nonfat dry milk prices and continued op portunities for butter imports in 2002, this also looks like a rea sonable price for Class IV milk. Average Farm Feed Costs for Handy Reference To help farmers across the state to have handy reference of commodity input costs in their feeding operations for DHIA record sheets or to develop livestock feed cost data, here’s last week’s average costs of various ingred ients as compiled from regional reports across the state of Pennsylvania. Remember, these are averages, so you will need to adjust your figures up or 4°wn according to your location and the quality of your crop. Corn, No.2y 2.27 bu., 4.06 cwt. Wheat, N 0.2 2.56 bu., 4.28 cwt. Barley, N 0.3 —1.56 bu., 3.34 cwt. Oats, N 0.2 —1.56 bu., 3.34 cwt. Soybeans, No.l 3.02 bu., 5.04 cwt. Ear Corn 62.13 ton, 3.11 cwt. Alfalfa Hay —126.25 ton, 6.31 cwt. Mixed Hay —124.25 ton, 6.21 cwt. Timothy Hay —126.75 ton, 6.34 cwt. 243 r 172 National Sheep Summary San Angelo, Texas December 11, 2001 Report Supplied By USDA At midwest market centers all classes steady. At New Holland, PA slaughter lambs steady; slaughter ewes steady to 5.00 higher. At Faith, SD slaughter ewes and feeder lambs steady. At San Angelo, TX slaughter lambs 5.00-9.00 higher; slaughter ewes steady; feeder lambs firm to as much as 8.00 higher. Estimated re ceipts 9300 head for today. No report at McMinnville, TN. SLAUGHTER LAMBS; Choice and Prime 2-3 90-150 lbs: San Angelo; shorn and wooled 90-110 lbs 72.00-84.00; 110- 145 lbs 64.00-70.00. Midwest: shorn 58.00- wooled 51.00-58.00. New Holland: wooled 80-110 lbs 70.00-85.00. Virginia: no test. McMinnville: 80-110 lbs no test; 100-120 lbs no test. SLAUGHTER EWES: San Angelo: Good and Choice 2-4 30.00-38.00; Good 2-3 38.00-50.00; Utility and Good 1-3 45.00- Utility 1-2 35.00- 45.00; Cull and Utility 1-2 28.00-35.00. Mid west: Utility and Good 1-3 25.00-30.00; Cull 1-2 20.00-25.00. New Holland: Good and Choice 2-4 45.00-60.00; Utility and Good 1-3 25.00-50.00. Billings: Good 2-3 no test; Utility 1-2 no test; Cull 1 no test. McMinnville; Utility and Good 1-3 no test. Faith, SD: Cull and Utility 1- 2 32.00-33.25. REPLACEMENT EWES; Medium and Large 1-2: San Angelo: no test. Bill ings: no test. ■ 1 - ' + 28 + 14 172 +4 ■'i -’."-M - . ( S- '• I• i■ ~