Al6-Lancaster Farming, Saturday, September 8,2001 GRAIN. CATTLE. HOG, &MILKBFP FUTURES MARKETS Markets Courtesy of Chicago Board and Mercantile Exchange Closing Bids: Thursday, September 6,2001 Soybeans fomg; j 469 469 1 7 fqjiiyVl _ 6isaJ|4Bo 1/2 [4Bl 1 474 02Mar 487 OZMayi 487 02Jul 488 m* M l%hfcfc 484 Oppnlrig Soybean Meal |o2Aug 157.0 02Sep 156.0 020 ct 155.0 02Dec 154.5 155.0 152.8 152.5 b 152.8 a [Month -Ofiening H^oi"pLow| Ken Bailey Penn State Aug. 31,2001 Butter Prices Head Higher • CME Grade AA butter reaches $2.23/pound. • Block cheese prices weaken. • USD A announces August class prices. Grade AA butter prices at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange jumped from $2.1750 per pound on Monday, Aug. 27 to $2.2250 by Wednesday, Aug. 29. Butter prices remained unchanged on Friday, Aug. 31. Cash butter prices are $1 above year ago levels. Some in dustry insiders are expecting Grade AA butter prices will reach $2.50 per pound sometime this fall. Others, however, are expecting prices to ease once milk production rebounds later this fall. While it is very hard to pre- 475 1 156.0 b 156.2 157.5 154.3 156.0 {154.3 155.0[152.5 153.0 Weekly Dairy Market Outlook diet, U.S. butter prices will likely ease sometime this fall. Retail butter prices are now over $3 per pound. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that U.S. city average retail prices for July were $3,549 per pound, 31 per cent higher than a year ago. USDA also reported this week that butter consumption for January through June of this year was down 3.7 percent rela tive to the same period a year ago. This was likely due to the higher retail prices. Another factor to consider is that butter imports have been growing this year, particularly from New Zealand. Milk pro duction will seasonally peak in New Zealand in October- November. Thus even more butter imports will be available to U.S. markets. Butter imports into the U.S. market are attrac tive whenever domestic butter prices on the West Coast exceed $1.64 per pound. That is based on a high-tier tariff rate of $0.70 per pound, world butter prices of $0.65 per pound, and import 156.2 156.2 a 154.3 152.8 152.5 152.8 Oats -14 -14 -13 -12 costs of about $0.09 per pound. Butter imports reportedly are selling $0.20 per pound below Grade AA domestically pro duced butter. Cheese prices at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange were mixed this week. Barrel prices held at $1.68 per pound all week. Block cheese prices, how ever, declined from $1.78 per pound on Monday to $1.72 per pound Wednesday through Friday. Prices have generally been high for cheese because of reduced milk supplies and lower solids levels this summer. Cheese consumption has been relatively steady the Erst half of the year. There are two factors that could cause lower cheese and butter prices the last quarter of the year. First is a return to normal milk production levels. Cow numbers appear to be sta bilizing. An increase in produc tivity this fall because of cooler weather and improved forage could bring on more milk. The other factor is the economy. The Lean Hogs Daily Prices As ofThursday, 6 September Date 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 Oct 01 5985 6050 5965 6035 +3O Dec 01 5637 5650 5585 5637 unch Feb 02 5667 5685 5645 5667 -18 Apr 02 5780 5800 5770 5782 -3 May 02 6250 6300 6250 6275 -5 Jun 02 6537 6560 6510 6547 -5 Jul 02 6315 6315 6280 6315 +2O Aug 02 6040 6080 6020 6080 +5 Oct 02 5405 5465 5405 5452 -3 Composite Volume Open_lnt 09/05/01 9278 41005 Live Cattle Daily Prices As of Date 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 Oct 01 7300 7300 7230 7237 Dec 01 7440 7450 7400 7405 Feb 02 7610 7615 7567 7570 Apr 02 7770 7770 7735 7760 Jun 02 7390 7410 7380 7400 Aug 02 7455 7460 7430 7447 Oct 02 7577 7577 7540 7550 Composite VolumeOpenjnt 09/05/01 10601 110085 Pork Bellies Daily Prices As ofThursday, 6 September Date 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 09/06/01 Feb 02 Mar 02 May 02 Jul 02 Aug 02 Composite Volume Openjnt 09/05/01 663 2776 real gross domestic product, or GDP, increased at an annual rate of 0.2 percent during the second quarter of 2001. That means the economy is barely growing. Economists are still trying to figure out whether we are in the middle of an economic recession. A slow growing U.S. economy will likely translate into slower sales of dairy prod ucts. USDA reported August 2001 class and component prices. The August federal order class prices with changes from the month before are Class II $15.98 per CWT (+50.02), Class 111 $15.55 (+50.09), and Class IV $15.06 (+50.25). The product price av erages used in computing the class prices were butter $1.9990, nonfat dry milk $0.9473, cheese $1.6693, and dry whey $0.2886. See Lancaster Farming Cow Cam Visit our Website at www.lancasterfarming.com Open High Low Last Chge f rev " Volume 4401 3930 429 401 17 62 14 Thursday, 6 September Open High Low Last Chge , 7 f rev * 6 Volume 5153 2987 1115 636 582 109 17 Open High Low Last Chge „ f rev * 6 Volume 645 14 8460 8460 8325 8382 -88 8430 8430 8305 8385 -85 8640 8640 8640 8640 -60 $712 8712 8712 8T712 -18 8485 8485 8485 8485 unch Prev. Open_lnt 42509 26329 21676 8779 10072 694 11 Prev. Openjnt 2724 41 ' 2 Average Farm Feed Costs for Handy Reference To help farmers across the state to have bandy reference of commodity input costs in their feeding operations for DHIA record sheets or to develop livestock feed cost data, here’s last week’s average costs of various ingred ients as compiled from regional reports across the state of Pennsylvania. Remember, these are averages, so you will need to adjust your figures up or down according to your location and the quality of your crop. Corn, No.2y 2.28 bu., 4.08 cwt. Wheat, N 0.2 2.45 bu., 4.09 cwt. Barley, N 0.3 —1.37 bu., 2.94 cwt. Oat*, N 0.2 —1.40 bu., 4.36 cwt. Soybeans, No.l —4.40 bu., 7.34 cwt. Ear Com 61.87 ton, 3.09 cwt. Alfalfa Hay —112.50 ton, 5.63 cwt. Mixed Hay —108.75 ton, 5.44 cwt. Timothy Hay—ll7.so ton, 5.88 cwt. Prev. Open_lnt 21780 11995 4468 1787 371 363 116 52 71