OPINION Signs Of Recovery? Late last month the Equipment Manufacturers Institute (EMI) re leased its “State of the Ag Industry Mid-Year Outlook,” a forecast for retail sales of farm equipment. EMI paints a positive picture for 2002, which, according to the in stitute, looks “promising in most of the farm equipment categories.” According to the outlook, U.S. retail sales forecast for all two- and four-wheel-drive farm tractors in 2001 will show a slight increase in sales of 0.9 percent compared to actual sales for 2000. Sales predic tions for 2002 show a 3.9 percent increase compared to the 2001 fore cast. . Leading the way in tractor sales for 2001 are four-wheel-drive trac tors (all sizes), which forecast an 11.6 percent increase over 2000. However, the forecast for 2002 is not as favorable, according to EMI, as manufacturers predict a 2 percent decease in sales. Leading the two-wheel-dive farm tractors in sales for 2001 are those ranging from 40-100 hp with a 1 percent increase over 2000, followed by an even stronger sales prediction for the next year of S.S percent. We find that economic times can be improving, apparently, for smaller tractor manufacturers, garden tractors, with a huge horticul tural and landscaping industry demand. Small landscaping firms are sprouting up all over the place, and business seems brisk (despite a nagging drought here in southeast Pennsylvania). And for the general farm economy, EMl’s report is good news. Additional good news comes from EMI regarding self-propelled combines, round balers, planters, mower-conditioners, windrowers/ swathers, farm loaders, and air seeders/air drills. However, EMI ex pects demand for rectangular balers, disk harrows, forage harvesters, and manure spreaders to be down into next year. Demand is expected to improve for chisel plows and field cultiva tors for 2002. Data were collected from 47 farm field and farmstead type equip ment EMI member companies. For more information, contact EMI at (312) 321-1470 or through the Internet at www.emi.org. Bii'll'liTlii I'l I'llllWP ingion County Ag ¥?■ thru Aug. 18. Pa. Angus Summer Field Day, ErReR Hill Farms, Friedens, 9 a.m.-3 p.m. Lebanon County Master Gar deners Select Annuals Class, 10 a. m.-noon, Lebanon County Ag Center. Southcentral Pa. Holstein Show, Shippensburg Fairgrounds, 9:30 a.m. Tioga County Holstein Show, Fairgrounds, Whitneyville, 9 a.m. Ohio Farm Profitability Tour, Yoder Family Farm, Apple Editor. Maryland poultry growers and poultry companies continue their fight against “co permitting” by fding requests with the Maryland Department of the Environment for con tested case hearings. By meeting the Aug. 8 filing deadline, growers and compa nies are seeking a review of co permitting by the Maryland Office of Administrative Hear ings. ❖ Farm Calendar *:* Creek, 2 p.m. Kids’ Days On The Farm, Pa. German Heritage Center, Kutztown University, 10 a.m.-5 p.m. ation Annual Picnic, Wind- air, song Farm, Burdett, N.Y., (607)546-2825. Garret County, Md. Fair, McHenry, thru Aug. 18, (301) 746-8285. Bullskin Township Community Fair. Huntingdon Countv Fair. (Turn to Page A 34) ❖ Farm Forum ❖ This is the first step in a legal challenge to the new poultry company wastewater discharge permits that make Maryland’s three poultry companies respon sible for some of the environ mental practices of farm families that grow their chick ens. As proposed by the Maryland Department of the Environ ment, the three poultry compa nies, through their wastewater (Turn to Page A 34) To Care For Next Year’s Strawberry Crop Late August and Early September is when strawberries set their fruit buds for next year’s crop. In the con ventional production system, they also produce additional runners dur ing this period as well. There are sev eral steps you can take to maximize the potential of next year’s crop. First, you need be irrigating to re lieve the drought stress on the plants. If water is short through this dry weather, you may be tempted to skip the strawberries, since there is no fruit in the field at this time. This would be a serious mistake and will reduce the potential of next year’s crop. Irrigation will relieve the water stress, which will put the plants in a good condition to produce fruit buds. The other step you should take now is the second application of ni trogen. You should have fertilized with around 40 pounds of actual ni trogen per acre in early July at reno vation. If you did that, you should now add an additional 20 pounds of GOOD NEWS AND BAD NEWS Background Scripture: Isaiah 7; 2 Kings 16; 2 Chronicles 28. Devotional Reading; Psalms 33:4-12. This passage from Isaiah needs a cast of characters and some textual notes. Remember that on the death of King Solomon, the nation of Saul, David, and Solomon broke into two: Israel, the larger kingdom in the north, and Judah, the smaller king dom in the south. In the times de scribed in Isaiah 7, 2 Kings 16 and 2 Chronicles 28, Aha? (not to be con fused with Ahab) is King of Judah and Remaliah is king of Israel. Ahaz is the grandson of King Uzziah who reigned in Judah at the time when Isaiah received his prophetic call (Is. 6). The ruling house of Judah is called “the House of David” and “Ephraim” is a name that is some times used for Israel. Now that we have that sorted, let’s see what is happening. ' Israel, under the leadership of Pekah, son of King Remaliah, and Syria, under the leadership of Syrian King Rezin, have attacked Jerusa lem, the capital of Judah ,and have been repulsed. We must assume that the leaders of Judah did not at first realize that the Israelites (Ephraim) were in league with the powerful Syr ians, for when that has become com mon knowledge, even though Judah Lancaster Farming An Award-Winning Farm Newspaper • Keystone Awards 1993,1995 • PennAg Industries 1992 • PACD Media Award 1996 • Berks Ag-Busmess Council 2000 • Recognized for photo excellence throughout the years by the Northeast Farm Communicators nitrogen per acre to give the plants another boost. If you did not fertilize at renovation, then add 40 pounds of nitrogen per acre now. If the current dry weather persists, continue to irrigate through Septem ber. When the temperatures drop in the fall, strawberries resume vigorous growth and it is important to remove the water stress to enable the plants to produce next year’s buds and run ners. To Visit The Pasto Agricultural Museum At Ag Progress Days “Six Thousand Years of Small Grains" will be the featured theme at the Pasto Agricultural Museum dur ing Penn State’s Ag Progress Days Aug. 14-16. Visitors can see historic grain pro duction items used for soil prepara tion, sowing, harvesting/handling, threshing, power, cleaning and grain handling. The collection begins with a 6,000-year-old clay sickle and con cludes with a horse-drawn binder and photographs of horse-drawn combines, according to Darwin Braund, museum curator. The latter items are representative of those that closed the human- and animal-power era in most of the U.S. by the 19405. “For centuries, the harvesting and threshing of small grains required more labor than growing them," said Braund. “Thus, much attention was paid to improving the harvest. It was the most important event on Earth every year.” In the earliest days, the heads of grain were handpicked from each stalk, and then threshed by rubbing them between the hands, explained Braund. A flint stone with a sharp edge was the earliest mechanized cutter. Clay sickles were made in areas with no stones. Sickles made of bronze, an alloy of copper and tin, followed the clay models. They in turn were replaced when the Iron Age made sharper blades possible. New designs of the tools improved efficiency in their use. “A large timeline on the museum wall will cover the 6,000 years and describe the concurrent develop ments in harvesting and threshing small grains,” said Braund. “Visitors will see a self-raking reaper (1830 s) has successfully repulsed their at tack, both King Ahaz and his people are paralyzed with fear! That’s amazing, isn’t it? After they were successful in defending them selves, then they became afraid. But it happens sometimes, like Peter obeying Christ’s commands to walk on the waters of the Sea of Galilee. But when he looks down and realizes what he is doing, then he becomes afraid and begins to sink! I have also read historical accounts in which, while in battle, soldiers seemed to perform without fear, but, when it was all over, suddenly fell apart. In a somewhat less dramatic manner we know there are times in our lives when, after God has demonstrated his love for us, we are strangely sus ceptible to fear. Do Not Fear So God sends the Prophet Isaiah to King Ahaz to reassure him that God will not let Rezin and Pekah and the allied armies of Syria and Is rael prevail of Judah; “Take heed, be quiet, do not fear, and do not let your heart be faint because of these two smoldering stumps of firebrand s... It shall not stand, and it shall not come to pass” (7:7). You can’t get a much better guar antee from the Lord that what you fear will absolutely not happen. I know that, if I were facing some tragedy in my life and I got a mes sage from God, saying “... it shall not come to pass,” I would definitely believe it no matter how fearful I might be. King Ahaz, however, cannot bring himself to believe it, so Isaiah says to him, “Ask a sign of th£ Lord your God; let it be deep as Sheol or high as heaven.” In other words, don’t hesi tate to ask for something tremen dous. “But Ahaz said, ‘I will not ask, and I will not put the Lord to the test’” (7:10,11). The first time I read these words of Ahaz, 1 thought to myself, he said the right thing. We’re not supposed to put God to the test, to insist that he jump through hoops for us. Isn’t that what Jesus told “the tempter”? and grain binder (19305) operating in the museum, as well as a horse-tread powered threshing machine (1870 s).” To Support The Paste Agricultural Museum’s Silent Auction The second silent auction to sup-1 port Penn State’s Paste Agricultural! Museum will be conducted during Ag Progress Days, Aug. 14-15. The auction will help generate funds to preserve our rich heritage of agriculture and rural living. Proceeds will benefit the Penn State Ag Alum ni Endowment for the Paste Agricul tural Museum. More than 100 items, from a baby llama to a new John Deere lawn tractor, have been donat ed, according to Darwin Braund,) museum curator. “Buyers will find* items to meet practically any interest,| need, and checking account,” hei said. \ Items include antique hand tools* and furniture, newer and antique, model tractors, a year’s supply of Penn State Creamery ice cream, meats from the University Meats Lab, and gift certificates for tools, dinners, perennial plants, seed corn,' and shoes. * Farm production items include' bull semen, one ton of Agway calf feed, tires for a farm wagon and skid-steer loader, a galvanized farm' gate, fence wire, dry cow treatments for mastitis, a bam ventilation fan, a 6-foot diameter stock-watering tank, alfalfa and com seed, and a four-year subscription to Lancaster Farming. Donations for fun and recreation include Penn State football tickets, Nittany Valley Symphony tickets, a full day of fly fishing on the world famous Spruce Creek trout stream in Huntingdon County and a major league baseball and baseball card, both signed by Bellefonte native Eric Milton, starting pitcher for the Min nesota Twins. So you can see everyone should be able to find something of interest at the silent auction. While at Ag Pro gress Days, stop by the museum, enjoy the exhibits, and bid on an item of interest. 1 Quote of the Week: “Don’t be afraid to go out on a limb. That’s where the fruit Is. ” 1 Arthur Lenehaa “... it is written, ‘you shall Out tempt the Lord your God’” (Mt. 4:7jj It sounds as if Ahaz is responding with orthodox theology. Ahaz. however, although*he re plied to the challenge with sound theology, was probably just using it as an excuse to refrain from trustinf the Lord. "When we read more of Ahaz, as scholar R.B.Y. Scott puts it, we realize “his idolatry, fearmlness, unbelief, and disobedience to the di vine word.” His fine-sounding reason was simply a cover for his lack of faith and trust. This is why, then, Isaiah responds so vehemently, “Is it too little for you to weary men. that you weary my God also?” (7:13). Ahaz exhausts the patience of both God and men with his insipid faith. Take My Word For It That’s when Isaiah delivers both the good news and the bad news of God. The Good News; since Ahaz will not designate a sign, God will give him a very simple one a young woman bearing a son and call ing him Immanuel, a name that means “God with us.” This is the promise of the Lord, that he will be with Judah despite the disbelief of the king and some of his subjects. Both Syria and Israel will suffer: “For before the child knows how to refuse the evil and choose the good, the land before who two kings you are in dread will be deserted. Terrible consequences will fall upon these two evil rulers.” Now, the bad news: because Ahaz was so disbelieving, grave conse quences will be. suffered by Judah also. “In that day every place where there used to be a thousand vines, worth a thousand shekels of silver, will become briars and thorns” (7:23). Faithlessness has its conse quences, in the lives of nations and in our lives as well. Lancaster Farming Established 1955 Published Every Saturday Ephrata Review Building 1 E. Main St. Ephrata, PA 17522 —by— Lancaster Farming, Inc. A Steinman Enterprise William J. Burgess General Manager Andy Andrews, Editor Copyright 2001 by Lancaster Farming