Al6-Lancaster Fuming, Saturday, August 19, 2000 GRAIN. CATTLE, HOG, &MILKBFP FUTURES MARKETS Markets Courtesy of Chicago Board and Mercantile Exchange Closing Bids: Thursday, Aug. 17,2000 Com Daily Prices As of Symbol:C Open High 00 1784 1804 00 1880 1890 00 1910 1930 01 1960 1960 01 2026 2050 01 2102 2122 01 2180 2192 01 2246 2250 01 2332 2350 02 2520 2520 02 2490 2496 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 Total 08/16/00 Soybeans Daily Prices As of Symbol:SM 08/17/00 SEP 00 08/17/00 OCT 00 08/17/00 DEC 00 08/17/00 JAN 01 08/17/00 MAR 01 08/17/00 MAY 01 08/17/00 JUL 01 08/17/00 AUG 01 08/17/00 SEP 01 08/17/00 OCT 01 08/17/00 DEC 01 Total 08/16/00 Oats Daily Prices As ofThursday, 17 August Symbol:O 08/17/00 SEP 00 08/17/00 DEC 00 08/17/00 MAR 01 08/17/00 MAY 01 08/17/00 JUL 01 08/17/00 SEP 01 Total 08/16/00 Soybean Meal Daily Prices As of Symbol;S Open High 00 4650 4664 00 4750 4764 01 4850 4864 01 4940 4964 01 5020 5050 01 5100 5130 01 5070 5070 01 5104 5104 01 5220 5230 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 Total 08/16/00 By Ken Bailey Penn State University August 11,2000 Block Prices Surge! • CME block prices rise to $ 1 2750/lb • Barrel prices remain weak • Butter prices steady New Penn State study released The dairy industry has just set a record for weirdness The ‘93spread’94 between block and barrel prices is usually $0.03- -Thursday, 17 August Volume Open_lnt 53946 396706 - Thursday, 17 August High 1571 1567 1587 1595 1610 1625 1640 1637 1636 1650 1650 Open 1566 1555 1577 1585 1605 1615 1635 1637 1636 1650 1650 Volume Open_lnt 20009 90675 High 1014 1120 1210 1262 1316 1360 Open 1006 1120 1204 1256 1316 1360 Volume 2221 Open_lnt 15329 - Thursday, 17 August Volume 33918 Open_lnt 125510 Weekly Dairy Market Outlook $0 05 per pound. This spread normally reflects lower packaging costs for barrel cheese than for blocks. But this spread can change each week due to supply and demand conditions. This week things got really strange! Barrel cheese prices at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange fluctuated between $1.0450 per pound and $1.06 during the week of August 7-11. This is below the support price of $1.07 per pound for barrel cheese. No barrel cheese entered the Commodity Credit Corporation this week Chge unch -2 unch -2 unch unch + 2 Low 1546 1539 1553 1565 1578 1592 1612 1610 1610 1610 1620 Chge Low 1000 1100 1196 1256 1316 1352 Last 1000 1102 1196 1256 1316 1352 -2 unch -4 unch unch -2 Lean Hogs Daily Prices As ofThursday, 17 August Date 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 Composite VolumeOpenjnt 08/16/00 6857 38874 Live Cattle Daily Prices As ofThursday, 17 August +2 + 10 Date 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 Composite Volume Openjnt 08/16/00 10754 119402 Lumber Daily Prices As ofThursday, 17 August 08/17/00 Sep 00 23700 23900 22990 23130 -520 08/17/00 Nov 00 24800 24880 24400 24530 -170 08/17/00 Jan 01 25850 25850 25510 25510 -200 08/17/00 Mar Of 26230 26250 26050 26050 -140 08/17/00 May 01 26550 26580 26460 26460 -40 08/17/00 Jul 01 26960 26970 26920 26920 -30 08/17/00 Sep 01 27200 27200 27100 27100 unch Composite Volume Openjnt 08/16/00 610 3650 Pork Bellies Daily Prices As of Date 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 08/17/00 under the dairy price support program. Block cheese prices, however, surged from $1 1875 per pound on Monday, August 7 to $1.2750 per pound by Friday, August 11. The spread thus ended the week at $0.2150 per pound. This is a very unusual situation since barrels and blocks normally move up and down together Weak demand for barrel cheese over the past few weeks has sent barrel prices below support levels. That would normally send block (Turn to Pago A 24) Open High Low Last Chge y 0p 3612 18776 2455 10693 562 3328 199 1641 15 585 0 138 12 69 Oct 00 5275 5340 5275 5307 Dec 00 5015 5085 5015 5065 Feb 01 5125 5180 5125 5165 Apr 01 5002 5050 4990 5027 Jun 01 5680 5690 5680 5682 Jul 01 0 5620 5620 5620 Aug 01 0 5470 5470 5470 Aug 00 6640 6647 6620 6632 Oct 00 6835 6845 6810 6822 Dec 00 6972 7000 6960 6982 Feb 01 7150 7170 7140 7155 Apr 01 7360 7370 7345 7362 JunOl 7142 7160 7142 7155 Aug 01 7130 7130 7125 7125 Date Aug 00 6860 7130 6860 7115 +243 Feb 01 6510 6677 6502 6667 +137 Mar 01 0 6600 6600 6600 +45 May 01 0 6625 6625 6625 +lOO Jul 01 0 6750 6750 6750 +B5 Composite Volume Openjnt 08/16/00 531 1581 Table 1. Chicago Mercantile Exchange Prices, Weekly Ave 11-Aug-00 4-Aug-00 28-Jul-00 21-Jul-OO 14-Jul-00 Cheese 500 lb. barrels 40-lb. blocks Nonfat dry milk Extra Grade Grade A Butter; Grade AA 1.1950 1.1833 Source: Dairy Market News, AMS,USDA (http://www.ams.usda.gov/dairy/mncs/weekly.htm). Table 2. NASS Weekly US Average Survey Prices Cheese: 500 lb. Barrels 1/ 40-lb. blocks Butter 1.1739 1.1843 1.2192 1.2212 1.2144 1.2280 1.1290 1.1274 1.1422 Nonfat dry milk 1.0049 1.0098 1.0124 Dry whey 0.1952 0.1965 0.1935 Source: Dairy Product Prices, NASS, USDA (http://usda.mannlib.coniell.edu/reports/nassr/pnce/dairy/1999/) 1/ Adjusted to 39% moisture. Open High Low Last Chge Prev ' „ Pr f V ; 6 Volume Open_lnt 2509 5438 4401 58636 2731 28087 526. 13445 442 7801 128 3459 16 2535 Open High Low Last Chge Prev * Pr ¥ eV ; 6 Volume Openjnt 336 1904 196 1173 30 290 27 211 17 47 4 21 0 3 Thursday, 17 August Open High Low Last Chge y 151 265 372 1286 5 18 0 5 3 7 1.0520 1.2215 1.0300 10300 1.0300 1.0300 1.0300 1.0300 1.0300 1.0300 1.0300 1.0300 5-Aug-00 29-Jul-00 22-Jul-00 15-Jul-00 8-Jul-00 1 1730 1.2635 1.0580 1 1450 1.1550 1.1965 1.2190 1 1720 1.2115 1.1858 1.1483 1.2300 1.2030 1.2181 1-1841 1.1775 1.1685 1.0118 1 0066 0.1906 0.1884