Al(H.anca*ter Farming, Saturday, April 1, 2000 GRAIN, CATTLE, HOG, &MILKBFP FUTURES MARKETS Markets Courtesy of Chicago Board and Mercantile Exchange Closing Bids: Thursday, March 30,2000 Daily Prices As ofThursday, 30 March Corn 03/30/00 MAY 00 03/30/00 JUL 00 03/30/00 SEP 00 03/30/00 NOV 00 03/30/00 DEC 00 03/30/00 JAN 01 03/30/00 MAR 01 03/30/00 MAY 01 03/30/00 JUL 01 03/30/00 SEP 01 03/30/00 DEC 01 03/30/00 DEC 02 Total 03/29/00 Daily Prices As of Oats 03/30/00 MAY 00 03/30/00 JUL 00 03/30/00 SEP 00 03/30/00 DEC 00 03/30/00 MAR 01 03/30/00 MAY 01 Total 03/29/00 Daily Prices As of Soybeans 03/30/00 MAY 00 03/30/00 JUL 00 03/30/00 AUG 00 03/*3O/00 SEP 00 03/30/00 NOV 00 03/30/00 JAN 01 03/30/00 MAR 01 03/30/00 MAY 01 03/30/00 JUL 01 03/30/00 NOV 01 Total 03/29/00 Weekly Dairy Market Outlook By Ken Bailey Penn State University March 24, 2000 U.S. Imports of Dairy Products up in 1999 Dollar value of dairy imports exceeds exports in 1999 Quota and non-quota cheese imports up US. cheese puces stable, blitter prices higher USDA just released numbers for imports and exports for 1997- 99 this week. The numbers show that higher U.S. prices for butter and cheese attracted more imports of dairy products, U.S. trade agreements allow imports into this country above certain levels if higher tariffs are paid. Record high prices for butter in 1998 and cheese in 1999 allowed that to happen. Cheese prices at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange this week were relatively flat. Blocks traded between $ 1.1050 and $l.ll per pound; barrels were stuck at $1.0925 per pound. NASS prices for cheese were more interesting. For the week ending March 18, prices for 40-pound block cheese in Minnesota and Wisconsin averaged $1.1457 per High 2334 2420 2494 2544 2584 2624 2664 2704 2750 2764 2704 2676 Open 2270 2354 2430 2534 2524 2624 2632 2690 2720 2750 2674 2676 Volume Open_lnt 67993 496074 Thursday, 30 March High 1212 1190 1214 1280 1342 1372 Open 1180 1164 1200 1260 Volume Open_lnt 1193 17639 Thursday, 30 March Volume Open_lnt 36123 182547 pound, whereas cheese prices everywhere else (mainly the West) were $1.0861 per pound. The average for the U.S.= was $1.1004 per pound, just at the support price level. Butter prices were trending higher this week at the Chicago Mercantile= Exchange. Grade AA butter was $0.9850 per pound on Monday, March 20, and= was $l.ll per pound by Friday, March 24. The NASS survey price of butter for the week ending March 18 was $0.9520 per pound, reflecting week-to-week increases in butter prices. According to USDA, cream availability is tightening, butter production is lower, and buyer interest is seasonally good. USDA also released cold storage numbers this week Butter stocks at the end of February 2000 were 92.4 million pounds, 2.7 percent lower than a year ago but 26.8 percent higher than January 2000. Natural American cheese holdings were 515.8 million pounds, 11.0 Last 2332 2416 2490 2542 2580 2624 2662 2704 2746 2764 2700 2676 Last 1210 1190 1210 1280 1342 1372 Low 1180 1164 1200 1260 1342 1372 (Turn to Page A 33) Lean Hogs Daily Prices As ofThursday, 30 March Date 03/30/00 03/30/00 03/30/00 03/30/00 03/30/00 03/30/00 03/30/00 03/30/00 03/30/00 Chge + 62 + 62 + 60 + 52 + 52 +54 + 52 + 50 + 50 +3O +4O + 16 Composite Volume Openjnt 03/29/00 Live Cattle Daily Prices As ofThursday, 30 March Date 03/30/00 03/30/00 03/30/00 03/30/00 03/30/00 03/30/00 03/30/00 Chge +24 + 22 + 14 + 22 +2O +26 Composite Volume Open_lnt 03/29/00 32745 128326 Table 1. Chicago Mercantile Exchange Prices, Weekly Averages Cheese 5001 b barrels 40-lb. blocks Nonfat dry milk Extra Grade Grade A Butter: Grade AA 1 -0392 Source: Dairy Market News, AMS, USDA (.http://www.ams.usda.gov/dairy/mncs/weekly.htm). Table 2. NASS Weekly U.S. Average Survey Prices 18-Mar-OO 11-Mar-00 Cheese 500 lb. Barrels 1/ 1.0892 40-lb. blocks 1.1004 Butter 0.9520 Nonfat dry milk 1 0072 Dry whey 0 1767 Sourceā€¢ Dairy Product Prices, NASS, USDA (http://usda. mannhb cornell edu/reports/nassr/pnce/datry/1999/). 1/ Adjusted to 39% moisture. Table 3. U.S. Imports of Dairy Products 1/ Commodity Milk and Cream 2/ Other Fluid Products 2/3/ Dried Dairy Products Cheese, Quota Cheese, Nonquota Butter Casein Milk Protein Concentrate Other, Dairy Products Total 4/ 1/ Data may differ from U.S. Customs Service data, 2/ Quantity shown in kiloliters. 3/ Includes ice cream and yogurt. 41 Total volume not shown due to the use of mixed units. Table 4. U.S. Exports of Dairy Products 1/ Quantity (in Metric Tons) 1/ Value (In $ 1,000) Jan.- Dec. Jan.- Dec. Jan.- Dec. Jan.- Dec. Jan.- Dec. Jan.- Dec 1997 1998 1999 1997 1998 1999 Butter AMilkfat 14,989 8,951 3,208 25,904 14,221 4,511 Cheese & Curd 37,559 36,848 38,304 123,617 116,982 130,075 Casein 3,929 6,455 5,145 '20,450 24,862 25,450 Dry Whole Milk & Cream 48,607 51,294 17,605 76,181 72,340 21^419 Condensed & Evaporated Milk 9,347 8,026 4,821 6,417 7,326 3^646 Nonfat Dry Milk 62,134 72,916 120,858 109,348 120,601 167J09 Ice Cream - 36,902 38,206 39,701 83,313 82,167 84,692 Whey 124,229 119,728 126^236 Yogurt & Other Fermented Milk 7,404 7,024 7 798 Other Dairy Products 292,911 292,642 299^431 Total 1/ 869,774 857,893 870^967 Fluid Milk & Cream 2/ 43,658 32,352 18,280 34,288 26,625 16,228 Total Milk & Products 904,062 884,518 887^195 1/ Volume information for whey, yogurt and other fermented milk, other dairy products, and total milk and products is n available as these commodities are reported in mixed units. 2/ Quantity shown in kiloliters. Commodity Open High Apr 00 Jun 00 JulOO Aug 00 Oct 00 Dec 00 Feb 01 Apr 01 Jun 01 10677 62384 Open 7182 6885 6945 7225 7390 7475 7680 Apr 00 Jun 00 Aug 00 Oct 00 Dec 00 Feb 01 Apr 01 24-Mar-00 17-Mar-OO 10-Mar-00 3-Mar-00 1.0925 1.1075 1.0300 1.0300 Quantity (in Metric Tons) Jan.- Dec. Jan.- Dec. 1997 1998 9,024 12,950 998 1,548 10,311 15,646 98,213 121,354 40,732 44,872 10,956 31,919 65,025 70,394 28,392 39,848 20,735 30,694 Chge Last Low Chge Last Low 7185 6880 6955 7235 7397 7470 7665 7135 6855 6937 7225 7387 7470 7660 1.0915 1 0970 1 1020 1.1150 1.1180 1 H6O 1.0300 10300 1.0300 1.0300 1.0300 1.0300 0.9800 0.9817 0 9733 1.0845 1.0949 0 9431 1.0106 0.1773 Value (In $1,000) Jan.- Dec. Jan,- Dee. 1997 1998 8,499 13,264 5,106 8,936 15,947 20,819 352,682 429,781 188,348 199,592 19,292 61,332 280,952 295,579 104.649 137,170 50,838 72,888 1,026,313 1,239,361 Jan.- Dec. 1999 16,816 172 16,911 147,642 52,373 17,977 65,960 54.725 43,763 Prev. Openjnt 14003 27216 7158 6826 3766 2752 505 147 10 Prev. Volume 2575 5095 1471 875 311 337 13 Prev. Open_lnt 34016 46496 23120 13311 5200 2995 3188 Prev. Volume 13480 14638 2623 1466 341 85 112 4-Mar-00 26-Feb-OO 1.0837 1 0958 0.9264 1 0090 0 1799 1.0799 1.0978 0.8962 1.0087 0 1771 Jan.- Dec. 1999 16,972 28,884 21,926 491,074 224,088 32,680 238,774 151,197 86,483 1,292,078