Al6-Lanca»ter Farming, Saturday. March 4, 2000 GRAIN, CATTLE, HOG, & MILK BFP FUTURES MARKETS Markets Courtesy of Chicago Board and Mercantile Exchange Closing Bids: Thursday, March 2,2000 Com Daily Prices As ofThursday, 2 March Symbol:C 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 MAR 00 MAY 00 JUL 00 SEP 00 NOV 00 DEC 00 JAN 01 MAR 01 MAY 01 JUL 01 DEC 01 DEC 02 Total 03/01/00 Soybeans Daily Prices As of Symbol:S Open High 00 4964 5024 00 5056 5114 00 5152 5194 00 5144 5204 00 5160 5210 00 5246 5280 01 5290 5330 01 5340 5394 01 5450 5480 01 5410 5454 03/02/00 MAR 03/02/00 MAY 03/02/00 JUL 03/02/00 AUG 03/02/00 SEP 03/02/00 NOV 03/02/00 JAN 03/02/00 MAR 03/02/00 JUL 03/02/00 NOV Total 03/01/00 Oats Daily Prices As of Symbol:o 03/02/00 MAR 00 03/02/00 MAY 00 03/02/00 JUL 00 03/02/00 SEP 00 03/02/00 DEC 00 03/02/00 MAR 01 Total 03/01/00 Weekly Dairy Market Outlook By Ken Bailey Penn State University February 25,2000 -Butter Prices Strengthed -Butter closes Friday $0.95/lb -January pool data available -March Class I prices out Butter prices showed surprising strength this week at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Grade AA price rose to $0.9225 per pound on Wednesday, February 23 to $0.95 per pound by Friday, February 25. USDA reports that stocks are now more than double December levels and well ahead of year ago levels. In addition, demand for butter is reported to be fair at best. Higher butter prices at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange will result m higher NASS survey prices. That in turn will result in a higher advance butterfat pricing factor and will raise the Class I mover. Also, a higher monthly average NASS butter price will raise Class 11, 111 and IV prices. Cheese prices at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange did not budge much this week. Block prices fluctuated between $l.lO and $l.ll per pound. Barrell Volume Open_lnt 82138 453451 - Thursday, 2 March Volume Open_lnt 54666 160318 - Thursday, 2 March High 1120 1182 1164 1194 1262 1326 Open 1114 1172 1160 1190 1256 Volume Open_lnt 2070 17597 prices were $l.lO per pound. It is unusual to have such a tight margin between blocks and barrels. USDA announced some interesting numbers on milk production for 1999. There were 111,200 dairy operations in business in 1999, 5.1 percent less than the year before. Dairy operations with 1-29 cows represented 29.8 percent of all operations, but only 2.0 percent of all milk produced. On the other hand, milk operations with over 2000 head represented just 0.2 percent of the number of operations, but accounted for 9.3 percent of all milk produced. USDA also reported milk production for 50 states in 1999. The top 5 states for growth in 1999 were Idaho (11.9 percent), California (10.2 percent), Arizona (9.4 percent), Nebraska and New Mexico (8.5 percent each). States with the largest declines (excluding Hawaii) in 1999 were Missouri (-6.2 percent). Road Island (-6.1 percent), Tennessee (- 5.6 percent), Louisiana (-5.3 percent), and Arkansas (-5.2 percent). (Turn to Pago A 32) Chge + 14 + 10 + 6 +4 +4 -2 unch Chge +2 +4 +2 +2 +4 + 2 Last 1120 1182 1162 1192 1262 1326 Low 1114 1172 1154 1190 1256 1326 Lean Hogs Daily Prices As ofThursday, 2 March Date 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 Composite Volume Opcn_lnt 03/01/00 7816 49095 Live Cattle +4 +2 +4 Daily Prices As ofThursday, 2 March Date 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 Composite Volume Open_lnt 03/01/00 20514 113802 Lumber Daily Prices As ofThursday, 2 March Date 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 03/02/00 Composite Volume Openjnt 03/01/00 1553 2860 Daily Prices As of Symbol:SM 03/02/00 MAR 03/02/00 MAY 03/02/00 JUL 03/02/00 AUG 03/02/00 SEP 03/02/00 OCT 03/02/00 DEC 03/02/00 JAN 03/02/00 MAR Total 03/01/00 Table 1. Chicago Mercantile Exchange Prices, Weekly Averages 25-Feb-OO 18-Feb-00 11-Feb-00 Cheese: 500 lb. barrels 40-lb. blocks Nonfat dry milk; Extra Grade Grade A Butter: Grade AA 0.9363 Source: Dairy Market News. AMS, USDA (http://www.ams.usda.gov/dairy/mncsAveekly.htm). Table 2. NASS Weekly U.S. Average Survey Prices 19-Feb-OO 12-Feb-00 Cheese 500 lb. Barrels 1/ 1.0758 40-lb. blocks 1 1070 Butter 0.8764 Nonfat dry milk 1.0117 Dry whey 0.1778 Source: Dairy Product Prices, NASS. USDA (http://usda. mannlib. Cornell, edu/reports/nassr/price/dairy/1999/) 1/ Adjusted to 39% moisture. Open High 5850 6750 6575 6355 5760 5560 5585 Apr 00 Jun 00 JulOO Aug 00 Oct 00 Dec 00 Feb 01 Apr 01 Jun 01 6250 Open High 7245 6940 7000 .#240 7340 7422 7575 Apr 00 Jun 00 Aug 00 Oct 00 Dec 00 Feb 01 Apr 01 Open High Low 34270 34600 34400 33690 33070 33350 34150 34550 34390 33610 32900 Mar 00 May 00 JulOO Sep 00 Nov 00 Jan 01 - Thursday, 2 March Open High 00 1620 1652 00 1638 1665 00 1645 1675 00 1650 1680 00 1655 1683 00 1650 1677 00 1675 1694 01 1700 01 1700 1710 Volume Qpen_lnt 29985 116059 1.1000 1.1063 1.0300 1.0300 1.0300 10300 1.0300 1.0300 Last Low Last Chge Low 7252 6925 6997 7247 7357 7435 7592 7282 6957 7025 7267 7362 7440 7592 7225 6910 6982 7237 7340 7422 7575 Last Chge 33780 34190 34240 33690 33070 33350 33770 34170 34180 33550 32900 33350 1.0960 1.1080 0.8933 0.9050 1.0769 1.1005 0.9119 1.0100 0.1806 Prev. Chge Volume 3977 2857 545 303 114 19 +27 +55 -20 +8 -7 +35 +2B +2O Prev. Volume Open_lnt Prev. 12184 +55 5640 1572 592 163 125 215 Prev. Prev. Volume Openjnt 617 1115 835 1216 91 , 394 8 107 2 28 0 0 -240 -130 -60 -80 + 170 +5O 4-Feb-00 1.0800 1.1100 1.0300 1.0300 0.9575 5-Feb-OO 29-Jan-OO 22-Jan-00 1.0842 1.1106 0.9096 1.0112 0.1809 1.0989 1.1152 0.8810 1.0084 0.1840 Prev. Openjnt 21868 14227 4644 4799 2299 1039 172 44 51409 30001 1,6479 8706 4158 2715 201 28-Jan-00 1.0855 1.1100 1.0900 1.1100 1.0300 1.0300 0.9000 1.1156 1.1366 0.9054 1.0125 0.1802