Pork Expo Producers Program Centers On Market Outlook, Managing Risk ANDY ANDREWS Lancaster Fanning Staff NORTH CORNWALL (Leba non Co.) Pork may be the meat of choice worldwide about 42 percent of all meat con sumed is pork, with China and Japan the number-one con sumers. At a swine educators meeting conducted in Des Moines, lowa, last September, Ken Kephart, Penn State swine specialist, pointed out some joys and downfalls of packers and pro cessors. For more news about the in dustry, regional pork producers are invited to the 22nd annual Keystone Pork Expo Wednes day, Feb. 9, at the Lebanon Valley Expo Center on the Leba non Fairgrounds in North Cornwall. This year’s meeting will fea ture a trade show with more Smoker |SB company CERTIFIED PUBLIC ACCOUNTANTS AND BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT ADVISORS "Your local source for convenient, professional tax preparation" * Now accepting new clients for business & 1040 preparation f Walk-in's welcome at our Leola office Work-site interviews available for business owners & / Other Services... HtSSSI f Business Development I. f Human Resource Advisory y / Technology ESiSsShfc. 49 E. Main Street, Leola, PA 17540 717-656-7544 - 717-665-5979 24 S. Main Street, Manheim, PA 17545 Managing— Sponsored by National Farmers your ag marketing This risk management workshop will put you on the road to greater returns. Dairy ▲ Learn to capitalize on inventory management ▲ See how to earn extra dairy dollars with marketing-agencies-in-common. ▲ Learn why dairy risk management is now critical to your success. Speaker: Leonard Vandenburg, National Farmers Monday, February 14 10 a.m. Harvest Drive Restaurant Intercourse, Pennsylvania Tuesday, February 15 lOa.m 7pm Yoder's Restaurant gnc j Country Village Restaurant Mifflmburg, PA Allensville, PA than 35 exhibits and educational seminars for producers. As in the past, the Expo will sponsor a “Pork Bowl” for competing 4-H and FFA members throughout the state. Steve Meyer, director of eco nomics programs for the Na tional Pork Producers Council, will be providing advice on con trolling risk in swine enterprises. Laura Cheney, assistant pro fessor of agricultural economics at Michigan State University, will discuss marketing and pro duction contracts. Both speakers are known na tionally for their expertise and programs. Robert Mikesell, senior exten sion associate, and Leon Ressler, Lancaster County extension Where: Stover Farms, Carlisle Cumberland Co. When: Thursday, February 17 Saturday, February 19 Time: Directions: Upon exiting the Clarion Hotel and Convention Center, turn left on Rt. 11 south Travel one mile and turn left on South Middlesex Rd. Proceed across railroad tracks and turn right on Horners Rd. to the first farm on right. ' agent, will update the audience on results from an odor reduction field research project conducted on several swine op erations throughout Pennsylva nia. Lou Moore, ag economics spe cialist at Penn State, will pro vide his hog market outlook. A Legislative Activity Fund Auction is scheduled in the Cen tral Hall, with a live auction conducted by Col. Harry Bach man at 10:30 a.m. Silent bidding closes at 1 p.m. Programs are available in most county extension offices. At the meeting in Des Moines, it was pointed out that shortage of packing plant capacity will continue to be a problem. In 1998, the U.S. slaughtered about Barn Owl 2000 (Before and after the PA 9:30 am until 12:00 pm You're Lancaster Farming, Saturday, February 5, 2000-A2S 100 million head of swine. The swine industry reflects the changing face of agriculture, with more vertical integration, similar to poultry producers. Total hogs on finishing con tracts in 1997 amounted to 44 percent. Total hogs farrowed under contracts in 1997 was about 17 percent. Types and percentage use of finishing contracts were pay ment made for pig space (equiv alent to a building lease), 32 percent; payment per head, 53 percent; and payment per pound, 10 percent. In 1997, 10 percent of the hogs were owned by packing plants. In 1999,25 percent of the hogs were owned by packers. Percent of operations using lick, Stover Farms, showing the benefits of Barn Owl 2000. AI: 47 percent. The largest hog producer in the U.S.: Smithfield. Although profits are down, and expected to be tight for years to come, according to ex perts, the industry is producing twice as much pork today as it did in the 19605. The elasticity of demand should also be noted. Today a small change in supply creates a large shift in prices. In 1978- 1979, a 15.6 percent increase in supply resulted in a 23.7 percent decrease in prices. In 1997-1998, a 10.1 percent increase in supply resulted in a 39.7 percent de crease in prices. See schedule page A 33