A3O-Lanca»ter Farming, Saturday, January 1, 2000
Past Year
(ContiniMd from Pag* A2fl)
noted the new preservation
program proposal commits $5OO
million to Pennsylvania's 67 coun
ties during a period of 20 years to
meet pressing environmental
concerns.
In mid-December, Lancaster
County commissioners approved a
$25 million bond issue to preserve
166 working farms from a six-year
waiting list
“This is an invest
ment in Lancaster
County’s future, and I
don’t think you can
make a better invest
ment at this time,” noted
Gene Garber, chairman
of the county’s Agricul
tural Preserve Board
and West Donegal
Township farmer.
Farm Commodities
According to H.
Louis Moore, Penn
State ag economics pro
fessor, the drought
affected only the north
eastern states, which
planted only about S
percent of the 1999 com
acreage. The national
crops look good
which is keeping prices
low.
While Pennsylvania
com crop is rated nearly
60 percent poor to vety
poor, the national crop
is rated 60 percent good
to excellent, Moore
noted. The 1999 com
crop is forecast at 9.56
billion bushels, down 2
percent from last year
but "still the third
largest crop ever pro
duced in the U. 5.,” he
noted in his Market Out
look. “The soybean crop
is forecast at 2.87 billion
bushels, up 4 percent
from last year’s record
crop.”
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Moore noted that big crops com
bined with disappointing exports
and growing carryover “practical
ly guarantee that feed prices will
continue to be low during the feed
ing season ahead.” Carryover of
com on Sept. 1 1997 was 883 mil
lion bushels. On Sept. 1, 1999, it
reached 1.7 billion bushels and
will be “near 2 billion bushels next
September,” he noted.
“Soybeans are an even greater
horror story,” noted the Penn State
ag economist. “On Sept 1, 1997,
the carryover was 132 million
bushels. Last year it nearly
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doubled to 200 million bushels. It
nearly doubled again to 395 mil
lion bushels this September and is
expected to grow to 590 million
bushels on Slept. 1, 2000."
For the pork industry, “there is
no recovery in sight," Moore
noted. Pork output in the first
seven months of 1999 was 3 per
cent greater than a year ago. Dur
ing the same period a year ago, out
put was up about 10 percent from
the previous year. Pork output fell
about 3 percent in July from the
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extremely high levels of a year
ago.
"Output will continue heavy and
third quarter prices may drop back
to about $33-$34 and then fall sev
eral more cents in the fourth quar
ter. Prices are expected to continue
well below the cost of production
well into 2000.”
Low-priced feed because of the
abundance of grain normally
means mote livestock on farms
and more meat for consumers. So
far in 1999, Moore noted, this has
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been true, in the January-July per
iod, beef production was up 3 per
cent from the same period a year
ago, despite the earlier projections
that beef output would finally
decline in 1999. Beef output may
actually increase 200 million
pounds from 1998.
Beef prices ate expected to
} n Ap»nse this fall from the current
price of $65 per hundredweight.
There should be periods in 2000,
he noted, when fed beef prices
(rum to Pago A9l)
m
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