AlH.anc*ttef Farming, Saturday, January 1, mqq GRAIN, CATTLE, HOG, & MILK BFP FUTURES MARKETS Markets Courtesy Of Chicago Board and Mercantile Exchange Corn Daily Prices As ofTuesday, 28 December Symbol:C 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 Total 12/27/99 Soybeans Daily Prices As of Symbol:S 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 Total 12/27/99 Daily Prices As of Tuesday, 28 December Symbol:o Open High Low 12/28/99 MAR 00 1100 1100 1086 12/28/99 MAY 00 1150 1150 1140 12/28/99 JUL 00 1130 1130 1122 12/28/99 SEP 00 1164 1164 1164 12/28/99 DEC 00 1240 1240 1240 Total 12/27/99 Daily Prices As of Symbol:SM 12/28/99 JAN 12/28/99 MAR 12/28/99 MAY 12/28/99 JUL 12/28/99 AUG 12/28/99 SEP 12/28/99 OCT 12/28/99 DEC 12/28/99 JAN Total 12/27/99 Weekly Dairy Ken Bailey Penn State University December 26,1999 Cheese Stocks Steady American cheese stocks for November up 17 percent Cheese prices will likely remain weak Butter stocks down 5.8 percent I'm supposed to be on vacation, but I can’t stay away from the dairy markets. Here's a brief update. USDA icleased a Cold Storage report last week and the numbers are interesting Butter stocks at (Closing bids: Wednesday, December 29, 1999 Volume Open_lnt 37570 385302 - Tuesday, 28 December High 4602 4684 4754 4824 4824 4844 4894 5120 Open 4590 4672 4742 4810 4814 4844 4880 5120 Volume Open_lnt 47626 147082 Volume Open_lnt 402 12648 - Tuesday, 28 December Open 1455 1460 1460 1473 1470 1475 1475 1503 Volume Qpen_lnt 16160 99134 Market Outlook the end of November were 5.8 percent below a year ago. With butter production about even with year ago levels, that would indicate that butter demand has been fairly good so far. Look for December butter stocks to be even lower, assuming Holiday demand has been good. That should result in a slight rise in butter prices for January. Cheese stocks were disappointing. Stocks for American cheese fell a little over 3 million pounds between October and November. November stocks were up 17.1 percent over a year ago. Production for cheese so far this Low 2030 2096 2164 2234 2296 2322 2350 2406 2492 2540 Chgo + 6 + 4 +2 unch unch unch unch unch +4 Low 4564 4650 4724 4792 4814 4814 4880 5120 Chge -2 Last 4582 4666 4740 4810 4814 4814 4880 5120 -2 unch +4 -4 unch Chge Last 1090 1142 1122 1164 1240 -2 unch unch unch -4 year has been up around 6 percent. What does this mean? The strong Holiday demand for cheese consumption I had been expecting has not yet materialized. With cheese stocks so far ahead of year ago levels, it appears that cheese prices will remain in the doldrums through January. For more details and graphs, check out my website: http://www.aers.psu.edu/dairyoutl ook/ Lean Hogs Daily Prices As of •- Tuesday, 28 December Date 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 Composite Volume 12/27/99 Live Cattle Daily Prices As ofTuesday, 28 December Date 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 Composite Volume Open_!nt 12/27/99 8241 113342 Lumber Daily Prices As ofTuesday, 28 December Date 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 Composite Volume Open_lnt 12/27/99 885 2832 BFP Milk Daily Prices As ofTuesday, 28 December Date 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 12/28/99 Composite Volume 12/27/99 48 Wf**t Open High 5550 5550 5695 5700 6445 6445 6320 6320 6125 6130 5662 5675 5490 5565 5745 5795 0 5617 Feb 00 Apr 00 Jun 00 JulOO Aug 00 Oct 00 Dec 00 Feb 01 Apr 01 Open_lnt 44280 2209 Open High 6960 6950 7150 6930 6955 7160 7270 6952 6915 7120 6907 6937 7135 7257 Dec 99 Feb 00 Apr 00 Jun 00 Aug 00 Oct 00 Dec 00 Open High 34440 34100 33120 34350 34100 33070 Jan 00 Mar 00 May 00 Jul 00 Sep 00 Nov 00 Jan 01 32870 0 3263© 32050 32050 32010 32020 High Open Dec 99 Jan 00 Feb 00 Mar 00 Apr 00 May 00 Jun 00 JulOO Aug 00 Sep 00 Oct 00 Nov 00 Open_lnt 5289 Table 1. Dairy Stocks in Cold Storage Dairy Products Butter, total (Government owned) Natural Cheese American, total (Government owned) Swiss Other natural cheese Total natural cheese Source: USDA, Cold Storage Report. Ken Bailey Updated 12/26/99 Prev. Ch!sc Volume 1067 338 471 178 54 58 30 II Last Low -122 -88 -93 -91 -78 -23 -25 -10 +7 Last Chge Low 6942 -20 6937 unch 7145 +lB 6920 +8 6952 +l2 7150 +23 7270 +l3 6940 6907 7105 6905 6935 7120 7250 Last Chge Low 34150 unch 33840 +lO 32860 -80 32870 -90 32630 *l2O 31700 -350 32020 -30 33810 33640 32860 32870 *32620 31700 32010 Last Chge Low 971 +3 1035 -5 1051 unch 1060 -10 1105 -5 1120 -7 1167 -8 1251 -2 1280 -1 1296 -4 1292 +2 1276 -3 Nov 30 Oct 31 Nov 30 % chng 1998 1999 1999 year ago 1000 Pounds 28,698 64,449 27,032 -5.8% 8 391 319 3887.5% 388,529 458,569 26 11,911 9,372 153,072 621,013 94,029 494,469 Prev. Open_lnt 24725 9367 6104 1956 1154 ■741 218 14 Prev. Open_lnt 4840 52471 29472 13346 7255 3141 . 2817 Prev. Volume 1692 4715 907 606 252 39 30 Prev. Open_lnt 1401 914 375 95 x 45 Prev. Volume 524 288 58 * r i 3 Prev. Openjnt 991 774 619 589 448 394 324 353 281 263 177 76 Prev. Volume 455,014 17.1% 80.8% -23.2% 42.3% 20.9% 9,145 133,819 597,978