Optimistic Future MIDDLETOWN (Dauphin Co.) - Increased consumption plus emerging technologies plus increased exports plus product innovation equal an optimistic future for Pennsylvania dairy men. The clear message at the Pennsylvania Dairy Futures Conference held in December in State College was that there is tremendous opportunity for the dairy industry, and Pennsylva nia can remain a key player in the picture. Monte Hemenover, director of industry affairs for Protiva, brought the clearest message of unlimited potential, and empha sized the need to keep milk pro duction in the northeast to pro vide for the demand throughout the eastern United States. Hemenover challenged the farmers present to use their pro fessional service providers (bankers, nutritionists, veteri narians, feed dealers) as a "board of directors," giving them the responsibility to help in meeting the goals of the farm. He encouraged entering into contracts to ensure delivery of service. With cheese driving the price of milk, Hemenover noted that cheese consumption doubled in the last 20 years, with 68 per cent of that consumed away from home. A modest increase in per capita consumption would reap enormous gains in demand for milk to fill that consumption. He stressed that the industry needs to provide consumers with what they want, adapting products to meet demands, and packaging them creatively to compete. Dr. John Lord, professor and chairman of the food marketing department of Saint Joseph's University, Philadelphia, echoed the theme of providing innovative prod ucts. He noted that dairy products have many features which should be exploited to meet consumers' demands for healthy, flavorful products. Its calcium content is a natural for the health conscious, but doing seasonal flavorings creates demand. He noted some of the emerging beverages which offer attractive flavors and conve nient containers. Lord said that "value added" and "attention to consumer prefer ences" will be the keys to success for the dairy industry Bill Eby, editor of the Kiplmger Agriculture Letter, emphasized the impor tance of the shrinking world in providing opportunities for the dairy industry. "We must- think in global terms." he said, adding that the trend to fewer farms but larger herds will continue. "The surviving producers will be better operations." He noted that the largest 20 co-ops market 60 percent of all the milk sold in the U.S., and said that the newly proposed Dairy Farmers of America will market 25 percent of the nation's milk. He added that the larger co-ops will become more diversified. Dr. Robert Yonkers, dairy economist for Penn State, said, "We do have a vibrant dairy industry," citing Pennsylvania's con tinuing dairy producing strength relative to the other traditional northeast and upper midwest states, he noted the large differences in production per cow from farm to farm, and challenged dairymen to apply current production technology and increase their production per cow. Jonas Kauffman, Pennsylva-nia Farm Credit, noted that there is no one way to operate a profitable dairy business. "Different management styles can be suc cessful, but managers should be good at what they do. Find your way, get good at it, and manage like crazy." He encouraged producers to find the right mix of capital and labor, and to strike a balance between milk production per cow and cost of pro duction. He emphasized that it is impor- John Ligo, dairyman from Mercer County, and Dan Ulmer, dairyman from Centre County, both shared personal experi ences. Ulmer stressed his under standing of the need to find quality family time while man aging the operation effectively. Ligo noted the importance of dealing with people who want to provide excellent service along with the product. Both of these successful Pennsylvania dairy men shared their optimism for the future of the Pennsylvania dairy industry. Dairyman Ligo captured the positive outlook for the industry in his "Thirteen reasons why dairy is good in Pennsylvania." 1. Milk prices are higher now than they were in 1995 and 1996. And they are rising! 2. Milk production per cow is up in Pennsylvania over the last year. 3. Feed is relatively inexpen sive and currently relatively available. 4. Infrastructure and University support are still very good in Pennsylvania. for Pennsylvania Dairy Industry 5. There are new mechanisms available for hedging prices (BFP futures and cooperative contracts.) 6. Genetics are the best ever offered - and they will be better in six months. 7. Industry enjoys consumer goodwill and positive public image. 8. There is more dairy prod uct advertising in place than there has ever been and it is more effective than it has ever been. 9. There are exciting new products and new packaging. 10. New fractioning processes for milk will provide specific new products for food and indus trial uses. 11. Foreign demand will soon outstrip what other dairy export countries can supply. 12. There is less government regulation now. 13. It is significant that the market price of U.S. cheese is finally on a par with the world price. The Pennsylvania Dairy Futures Conference was spon- and Liberty Warranted Hybrids A STRONG START FOR OPTIMUM YIELDS. N ow with a new lower price,.see for yourself how Liberty" Herbicide provides a strong head start to optimize the yields of AgrEvo warranted NK® Brand Bt hybrids with YieldGard”' dis- liberty Liberty' Liberty® Herbicide 1-888-GO LIB LINK www.liberty-link.com sored by the Pennsylvania Dairy Stockholders in conjunction with Penn State's Department of Dairy and Animal Science and the Pennsylvania Department of Agriculture. For additional information concerning the con ference of the Pennsylvania Number Of Farms Unchanged In State There were 50,000 farms in the Commonwealth of Pennsyl vania as of June 1, 1997, with 7.7 million acres. The good news is that this is the same as last year. The average farm size was also unchanged at 154 acres. In the 1997 data, there were 24,000 farms with 1.8 million acres of land producing $l,OOO up to $lO,OOO in gross sales annually. For sales between $lO,OOO and $lOO,OOO there were 17,700 farms with 3 mil lion acres of land. And there H ERBICIDr m risk mi Lanc “ t *r Faming, Friday, January 8, IIM-A27 Dairy Stakeholders, contact N. Alan Bair at 777 West Harrisburg Pike, Middletown, PA 17057 or by calling 717-948- 6328. were only 8,300 farms with 2.9 million acres of land that pro duced gross sales over $lOO,OOO annually. On the national scene, the number of farms in 1997 is esti mated at 2.06 million and this number is less than one percent lower than the 1996 figure. Across the country, we have 968 million acres in farmland, also relatively unchanged. Average farm size at the national level is 470 acres. tubutod In' Hodman Seeds Liberty kills over 100 grass and broadleaf weeds, fast, with no crop injury, no yield dam- aging carryover, and no change in hybrid performance