A3O-L*ncaster Farming, Saturday, June 22, 1996 RONALD D. KNUTSON Materially increased interest has developed in the potential useful ness of marketing boards as a means of expanding the exports of dairy products. In fact, the passage of the 1996 Farm Bill included a mandate for the USDA to assist the U.S. dairy industry in creating one or more export companies. According to the Farm Bill, “The secretary (of agriculture) shall, consistent with the World Trade Organization (which admi nisters the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade), provide neces sary advice and assistance to the U.S. dairy industry to establish and maintain one or more trading com panies for the purpose of facilitat ing international market develop ment and exports of dairy products.” But even without that, this increased interest in developing a New Zealand-type dairy board comes from several issues: * Reductions in support levels have made U.S. butter and nonfat dry milk prices more nearly com petitive in international markets. As a result, the potential for export has been enhanced. • Questions have arisen regard ing the legality under GATT of the proposed “self-help” plan, which called for the establishment of as sessments for producers who in creased production and the use of those assessments to dispose of products on the world market • Questions have also arisen re garding the potential for increased competition from foreign dairy products within U.S. domestic markets resulting from reductions in the effectiveness of Section 22 provisions under the GATT tariffi cation policy. The spirit of GATT indicates that the long-run level of tariff protection may be gradually reduced, forcing the U.S. dairy in dustry to operate in an internation al market environment • The effectiveness of DEEP as an export enhancement tool has demonstrated the effectiveness of market promotion in expanding markets. Yet, the GATT outcome mandates reductions in export sub sidies through programs such as DEIP. * Concern has arisen that the U.S. dairy industry, despite being the largest of any nation, has not been a significant factor in the world market except in periods when the CCC has been willing to subsidize exports through either direct sales, under programs such as DEIP, or during unusual periods such as 1988-1989 when world nonfat dry milk supplies became short This concern was high lighted in a recent GAO report ti tled Dairy Industry: Potential for and Barriers to Market Develop ment. • Philosophically, the United States’ policy has changed in the direction of favoring market solu tions to problems and more direct exposure of producers to market forces. The purpose of this article is to explore the potential consequences of utilizing a marketing board to export dairy products. This ap proach is employed by the New Zealand Dairy Board (NZDB). Therefore, the leaflet begins with a description of the NZBD. It then proceeds to describe alternate ways a comparable structure might fit into the U.S. dairy industry. It ends by pointing out areas of com patibility and conflict with -U.S. dairy policy, the impact on the The Use Of Marketing Boards To Expand Exports world dairy market, and the spirit of the GATT accord. New Zealand Dairy Board The NZDB is the exclusive ex porter for the New Zealand dairy industry. It markets the products manufactured from 85-90 percent of New Zealand’s milk produc tion. New Zealand generally is recog nized as being the lowest cost pro ducer of milk in the world. While producing only about 1.5 percent of the world’s milk supply (rough ly equivalent to California’s pro duction), New Zealand has an ex port share of approximately 25 percent of the world’s market. The New Zealand Dairy Board is a quasi-govemment corporation in that it is explicitly created under statutory law, giving it exclusive export authority. It is governed by 13 board members, 11 of whom are directors of New Zealand’s co operatives and two of whom are appoiinted by the government. The 11 cooperative NZDB members are elected by their ap proximately 17 cooperatives whose votes are based on the vol ume of their members’ production. As the sole exporter of 85-90 percent of the nation’s milk pro duction, the NZDB is in a unique position to guide the products manufactured by the cooperatives. It does this through a differential system of premiums and penalties designed to encourage the manu facture of products forecast to be in greatest export demand and dis courage those that are in surplus. In other words, it adjusts the quantity of manufactured products processed through its own internal pricing system. Payments are made to the cooperatives on the 20th day of the month following purchase in the form of an advance price which is adjusted regularly according to market conditions. Before the pool is closed, final payments are made to the coopera tive to reflect the differential prem iums and penalties for specific products during the course of the season. The NZDB places a high pri ority on exports of branded and specialty products which consti tute about 35 percent of its product mix. The development of this mar ket which has been a major goal, is dependent on integration of prod uct research, processing, quality control, transportation, packaging, and shipping. In other words, the NZDB has substantial influence on what when, and how the product is pro duced. The NZDB operates in the world dairy market through a net work of wholly-owned subsidiar ies, joint ventures, affiliated, and associated companies. These com panies deal in New Zealand dairy products as well as other New Zea land products, and the products of other countries. For example, the NZDB has imported European cheese into the United States. The NZDB is not without con troversy. Some New Zealand co operatives have, from time to time, desired to export on their own. Moreover, New Zealand govern ment officials have proposed re moving the board’s export mono poly in order that it might have a belter guide to its performance in a more competitive market context Application To The United States This section deals only with how an export marketing board (hereinafter USDB) might operate in the context of the U.S. dairy in dustry. Issues relating to how the USDB might operate in the context of U.S. dairy policy is not discussed in detail. Rather, the focus is on the concept of a producer-controlled export agency. Three operational alternatives for the USDB will be discussed: • Exclusive exporter. • Nonexclusive exporter. • Clearing house for exports. Each of these options will be discussed without the USDB hav ing the power to control produc tion. A broader array of marketing board and “self-help” concepts are discussed in leaflet P-15. Exclusive Exporter A USDB could be authorized as the exclusive exporter of U.S. dairy products by the U.S. Con gress. making the board a govern ment-sanctioned monopoly. This would mean that no other cooperative or proprietary firms would be allowed to make export sales without the approval or in volvement of the USDB. Opposition could be anticipated from companies that are currently involved in the dairy product ex port business, from companies an ticipating becoming involved, or from companies who see a dairy board as an undesirable prece dence for similar developments in other commodities. Some of this opposition from within the dairy industry might be stifled by the potential for current exporters becoming joint ventures, affiliates or associates with the dairy board. Opposition might also be curbed by limiting USDB ex clusive export authority to certain products such as manufactured hard products and their deriva tives. The USDB could be either an extension of the current dairy pro motion board or an entirely separ ate entity. It could contract with cooperatives (or potentially pro prietary processors) for the pro duction of specific .products con sidered to have market potential. Payment to the cooperative would be based upon the price the USDB could obtain in the world market The USDB could take over the functions currently per formed by the CCC and the acqui sition of products for domestic food assistance programs (school lunch, WIC, etc.). While DEIP is in existence, the USDB could handle export deci sions under it In the absence of price supports, the USDB would be the exclusive interface between domestic and international mar kets. An exclusive USDB would need to have the authority to establish marketing offices in other coun tries. Such offices may, like the NZDB, be wholly owned subsidi aries, joint ventures, or affiliates. Such agents would have exclu sive authority for handling export sales on behalf of the USDB in the country involved. Such a system would have the potential for being highly efficient in that it would be the sole U.S. operator in the export market. It could be more competitive than current U.S. exporters in that it would have pricing authority or latitude not enjoyed by current U.S. companies operating in the export market. Therefore, it would meet trad ers, such as the NZDB, on a one for-onc basis in markets such as Mexico or Japan. As the exclusive exporter, it should be in a better position to develop markets for all types of products. If the USDB agent was not per- forming in a particular country, the USDB would need to have the au thority to shut it down and/or switch affiliates. The USDB would have the pow er to set guidelines for the terms of sale and to determine the sourcing of supply for the product Therefore, even if a particular cooperative or proprietary firm was awarded the exclusive USDB agency for sales in a particular country, the source of the product sold would be determined by the USDB based on competitiveness, product quality, and performance criteria. To be effective and equitable, the USDB would have to have the authority to operate a pooling sys tem that spreads the receipts from exporting across the entire U.S. dairy industry. Such a mechanism could in volve either a system of assess ments or the operation of an export pool whereby all costs and returns from export operations would be shared equally. As a result, pro ducer returns would be directly af fected by the returns that the USDB achieves in the export mar ket. Nonexclusive Exporter Without exclusive export au- thority, cooperatives and proprie- tary firms could continue to oper ate in the export market but would do so in competition with the USDB. The terms of competition could be influenced by the board as a matter of policy by the board hav ing the power to influence raw milk costs. Once again, a system would need to exist for pooling to spread costs and receipts across all producers in all markets. In any particular country, the USDB could be selling U.S. dairy products as well as proprietary or cooperative concerns. The tradeoff would be between the influence and effectiveness of the sole exclu sive agent (previous option) and the value (positive or negative) of competition and product diversity in the international marketplace. Potentially,' the USDB could end up selling only commodities to the least advantageous markets. As indicated previously, the is sue of nonexclusivity has surfaced in New Zealand. The NZDB views this option as undermining their ef fectiveness and efficiency. The proponents of nonexclusivity be lieve that competition provides a yardstick by which efficiency and performance may be most effec tively judged. Clearing House The USDB could simply act as a clearing house for facilitating the movement of dairy products into the world market Such a clearing house would have promotional activities (much like the current Dairy Promotion Board). It would not be a direct sales agent. Instead, sales would be made through proprietary and coopera tive firms based on the prices paid for raw milk, their efficiency', and their performance in the export market The primary roles of the USDB under this option would be to pro mote the utilization of U.S. dairy products internationally and en sure equitable pooling arrange ments. The difference between this op tion and the current system is that U.S. dairy cooperatives and pro prietary companies would not have their hands tied in the export mar ket. That is, there would be a me- chanism for all producers sharing in the costs and benefits of export ing. Relationship To U.S. Dairy Policy The GAO, in its recent report on dairy exports, finds that the U.S. dairy industry is unable to compete in international markets for four primary reasons: • The milk price support pro gram maintains U.S. raw milk prices at sufficiently high levels so that manufactured products are priced out of the world market • The industry lacks an interna tional market-oriented mindset and strategy. There are many pos sible reasons* for this mindset or lack of strategy. For example, U.S. dairy firms have not had to be com petitive with a relatively high milk price support (which no longer ex ists). Additionally, the structure of major proprietary dairy companies which have plants in most major milk-producing countries with policies designed to encourage self-sufficiency inherently dis courages the development of ex port markets. • Moreover, GAO finds that the NZDB has been exceedingly ef fective at penetrating international markets not only because of its cost advantage in producing milk, butalsobecauseofits international marketing skill something it finds lacking in U.S. dairy co operatives and proprietary firms. Part of the NZDB’s success in in ternational marketing lies in its ability to sell internationally at competitive prices. Therefore, the NZDB is a very effective competi tor in Mexico in the face of the U.S. dairy export incentive subsid ies (DEIP) and EU export restitu tions, New Zealand is competitive in Mexico and in other markets be cause its costs are low and because it has marketing skill, but also be cause, as a marketing board, it has the pricing power to lower its price on sale to Mexico to meet the com petition. In lowering its price, there is no explicit subsidy paid but there is an implied subsidy in that mar kets are being cross-subsidized to maintain them. Such pricing pow er is also implied by the grain mar keting boards in Canada and Aus tralia. • The trend toward lower price supports and the developments in GATT designed to liberalize trade and guarantee market access has forced rethinking of current U.S. dairy policies and should cause U.S. dairy companies to rethink their international operational structure. U.S. Dairy Programs And GATT The Uruguay Round Agreement (LIRA) of GATT has significance for both existing U.S. dairy poli cies and for the operations of a USDS. The philosophy of the URA ex tended into the future implies that the burden for any export price concession falls directly on pro ducers in the form of lower product prices. Therefore, a marketing board selling in the export market at a lower price than in domestic iharkets is legal where producers bear the full impact of the lower price and there is no subsidy from the government. The issues from a U.S. dairy policy perspective is whether a USDB could accomplish the same discretionary pricing power in the presence of CCC purchases under the price support program and still not violate the trade liberalization regimen of GATT. (Turn to Pago A 33)