A2»Unctster Firming, Saturday, June 17, 1995
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DAIRY SITUATION
AND OUTLOOK
Bob Cropp
Dairy Marketing
And Policy
Specialist
University of
Wisconsin
Cooperative Extension
Milk production continues to
increase over year ago levels. Milk
production across the country
ranges from near-peak levels in the
South to seasonally increasing in
For literature and the name of your local dealer, contact:
J.S. Woodhouse Co.. Inc.
572 Industrial Dr., Lewisberry, PA 17339 • Tel: (717) 938-5100
DAIRY ISSUE
SPECIAL
RT
most other regions.
However, April milk production
numbers for 22 reporting states
clearly show that the increase in
milk production has slowed. April
milk production was only 2.2 per
cent more than a year ago. This
compares to increases for the pre
vious three months (January,
February, and March) of 3 to 5
percent.
The difference is explained by
increases in milk per cow. Com
pared to year ago levels, milk per
cow has been up 3.1 to 4.4 percent
■A lie HOIK NIIOW
compared to an increase for April
of only 1.9 percent. April milk cow
numbers were .2 percent higher
than a year ago.
What has brought down the rela
tive increase in milk production
per cow? The answer lies in the
West and Southwest It is quite
evident that California floods have
impacted on herd health. Com
pared to a year ago. California’s
milk per cow for April was down
I. percent. With 2.1 percentmore
milk cows, California still pro
duced .9 percent more milk, but a
far cry from earlier increases of S
to 8 percent.
Milk per cow was even for
Washington and down .7 percent
for Idaho. Texas and New Mexico
also experienced lower milk per
cow 4.8 percent and 4.9 per
cent, respectively. Since each of
these states, except Texas, had
more milk cows than a year ago
(Washington 1.9 percent Idaho
11. percent and New Mexico
17.1 percent), each still had more
total milk production (Washington
1.8 percent Idaho 11.4 percent
and New Mexico 11.4 percent).
The exception was Texas with .5
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percent fewer milk cows and 5.2
percent less total milk.
Cows continue to milk much
better than a year ago in the Mid
west April milk per cow was up
4.4 percent for Wisconsin and 2.6
percent for Minnesota. Wisconsin
had .7 percent more milk cows
while cow numbers were down 2.S
percent for Minnespta. Total milk
production was up S.l percent for
Wisconsin.
Milk production per cow has
also improved in the Northeast.
Compared to a year ago. milk pa
cow as up 3.7 percent for New
York and 4.4 percent for Pennsyl
vania. While New York had 2.6
percent fewer milk cows, Pennsyl
vania had .6 percent more milk
cows. Total milk production was
up .9 percent for New York and 5
percent for Pennsylvania.
This increase in milk produc
tion, although at lower levels than
previous months, has put down
ward pressure on farm level prices.
RTi
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But farm level prices could be
approaching their low point this
spring, especially if the West and
Southwest continue to experience
a slowdown in milk expansion.
The Minnesota-Wisconsin price
(M-W) declined $.73 in April to
$11.16 per hundredweight This
was $1.83 per hundredweight low
er than a year ago. The decline
reflects weakening cheese prices
since mid-March. As of May 12,
on the National Cheese Exchange,
Cheddar barrels had declined 9.7 S
cents per pound and Cheddar 40
pound blocks 12 cents per pound.
Cheese prices could decline furth
er, but many are of the opinion that
prices are near the low.
Buyers will once again feel
more comfortable in building or
maintaining inventories. Although
nonfat dry milk prices are steady,
there is some concern over increas
ing inventories. Butter supplies
remain close in balance and prices
have been firm.
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