AlB-Lancaster Farming,, Saturday, March 4,1995 Industry Trends, What Can We Do? DAVID SLUSSER Pa.DHIA Manager UNIVERSITY PARK (Centre Co.) The dairy industry in Pen nsylvania is facing rapid changes. We can react to these changes and live with what happens, or we can plan for the future. Let’s Erst look at the “big pic ture” of world milk production, the trends of United States milk pro duction, and trends in Northeast ern dairy production. Wenced to project what we feel will occur over the next 10 years in the Northeast, and how we can positively affect these trends for the benefit of the dairy fanner in the region. World Markets As the nations of the world How Does Your STATE COLLEGE (Centre Co.) —These data are calculated using information pulled from Pennsylvania DHIA’s mainframe computer each week. It is a one-week summary representing approximately one fourth of the herds on test, as they are tested monthly. These data are valuable from a business management standpoint and can be used for comparing your operations to the averages from about one-fourth of the herds across the state. DHIA Averages for all herds processed between 2/11/95 and 2/18/9S Number of Herds Processed Number of Cows Processed Number of Cows Per Herd Milk Per Cow (Lbs) %-Fat Fat Per Cow (Lbs) %-Protein Protein Per Cow (Lbs) Avenge Days in Milk Per Cow ♦Value for CWT Milk(s) ♦Value for CWT Grain(s) ♦Value for CWT Hay(s) ♦Value for CWT Silage(s) ♦Value for Pasture Per Day(s) ♦Value for Milk Per Cow Per Ycar(s) ♦Feed Consumed Per Cow Per Year(Lbs) A: Grain B: Hay C: Silage D; Day Pasture ♦Feed Cost Per Cow Per Ycar(s) A: Grain B: Hay C: Silage D: Pasture ♦Total Feed Cost Per Cow Per Year(s) ♦lncome Over Feed Costs Per Year(s) ♦Grain to Milk Ratio ♦Feed Cost Per CWT Milk(s) Avg Level For 907 SCC Herds ♦Membcr-gcncraM flgura* Average Farm Feed Costs For Handy Reference To help farmers across the state to have handy reference of commodity input costs in their feeding operations for DHIA record sheets or to develop livestock feed cost data, here’s last week’s average costs of various ingredients as compiled from regional reports across the state of Pennsylvania. Remember these are averages so you will need to adjust your figures up or down according to your loca tion and the quality of your crop. Com, No. 2y - 2.36 bu. 4.22 cwt Wheat, No. 2 - 3.54 bu. 5.91 cwt. Barley, No. 3 - 1.87 bu, 4.00 cwt Oats. No. 2 - 1.57 bu. 4.88 cwt. Soybeans, No. 1 - 5.27 bu. 8.79 cwt. Ear Com 60.68 ton 3.03 cwt. Alfalfa Hay • 98.75 ton 4.94 cwt Mixed Hay - 94.00 ton 4.7 cwt Timothy Hay • 94.00 ton 4.7 cwt. develop their economic systems, consumption of milk and other dairy products will increase. Milk is high in nutrition, espe cially proteins and calcium, and, because of new technology and management skills, is very effi ciently produced. The dairy cow is a very efficient source of complete protein, both from milk and beef, and is very adaptable to many different cli mates and geographic conditions. Dairy cows can play a major role in soil erosion control, because of their ruminative nature they can digest a wide variety of forages, which include grasses. These forages blend well in crop rotation programs, and grow well on land not suited for row crop and Herd Compare? 1,006 61,482 61.1 18,726 3.72 697 3.21 602 318 13.08 8.18 4.28 1.56 .27 2.450 6,989 2,084 15,067 74 572 89 235 20 916 1,533 1:2.6 4.90 329,596 food crop production. Animal waste can be recycled to the benefit of the soil. Presently, the United States holds the leadership position in dairy farm management skills, and in dairy cattle genetics. New Zealand can produce milk cheaper than the United States, but only because of the climate they can pasture dairy cattle year round. However, die island is small and can only produce a lim ited portion of the dairy products needed by the world. The next most abundant source of economically produced milk is the United States. The adoption of GATT (General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) hopefully will change the protec tionist policies of Europe and Asia over the next 10 years. The United States government and the dairy industry need to work as partners to develop world markets for dairy products and dairy cattle genetics. Our DHIA cooperatives must do their part to make sure our mem bers will maintain this world lead ership position in management skills and superior genetics. National Trends The dairy industry in the United Synchrony and STS States has changed over the last 10 years. Wisconsin is no longer the number one dairy state. California Dairy cow numbers are growing the most in the Western and South western states, while in the upper Midwest and in the Northeast they are declining. Western dairy farmers can grow or purchase top quality forage from irrigated land, and their man agement skills are outstanding. Cow numbers continue to decline nationwide, while milk production continues to increase. Improving management skills, improving genetics and new tech nology (such as BST) will con tinue this change at an ever increasing rate. ‘the Du Pont Company Dixie L. Burris, Membership Development Call ISOO-DHI-TEST for information Penniylvania Dairy Herd Improvement Amodation DHIA Service Center, Orchard Road, Unlvenity Path, PA 16802 For top yields plus the benefits of Synchrony STS, there's just no better bean than A 4045. The move from government support programs to the free mark et economy will add speed and fuel to these changes. Northeastern Trends The Northeastern United States dairy industry appears to be faring better that the upper Midwest, however it is still losing ground to the West and Southwest The top five dairy states are California, Wisconsin, New York, Pennsylvania and Minnesota. As you see, two of those states are in the Northeast. Cow numbers will continue to drop, however total milk produc tion will probably continue to grow. There's )ust No Better Seed/Heibidde System. Your seed/heibidde system is only as good as your seed, lb get the full benefits of Synchrony STS herbicide, your seed should be AsgrowA4o4s. A 4045 is a new variety that has shown high yields. It delivers excellent emergence and standability for maximum harvest potential. A 4045 also offers enhanced tolerance to sulfonylurea herbicides like Synchrony STS. Synchrony STS controls die broadest spectrum of btoadleaf weeds and also offers the widest window of application. One rate, one adjuvant with no crop stress to A 4045 and no carryover to rotational crops. Call DuPont 1-800-GROW-SIS (476- 9787) for a FREE information kit on Synchrony STS herbicide and the en tire Synchrony STS seed/herblclde ayatem. Synchrony and STS ara trademark* of tha DuPont company Call Saadway For Aagrow STS Soybean Information: Saadway 1-800-836-3720 980 Loucka Mill Road York, PA ■ 17402 ASGROW. (Turn to Pag* A2S)