Tjl USDA Recommends Class 808 YONKERS Assistant Professor Ag. Economics Penn State University STATE COLLEGE (Centre Co. The USDA recently announced a recommended decision to extend provisions for Class 111-A pricing for milk used to make nonfat dry milk to a total of 29 federal orders. This decision, which does not affect the other 11 federal orders which were not part of the original hearing to implement Class ni-A pricing, is the result of a hearing held last October. Currently, only three orders have Class 111-A pricing, includ ing the New England and Middle Atlantic orders, which went into effect last November. The new decision recommends that the Class 111-A pricing formula be the same for all orders, using a modi fied yield factor and the Western States nonfat dry milk price series published by the Agricultural Marketing Service of USDA. Ths is a slight change for the two northeastern federal orders which have used the Central Slates nonfat dry milk price series since the inception of Class 111-A pricing in November, 1992. According to testimony pre sented at USDA hearings held on the subject, this change is needed because the Class 111 price used in all federal orders is no longer related to prices nonfat dry milk plants can afford to pay. The Class 111 price is deter mined by the Minnesota- Wisconsin Price Series (M-W price), a survey of mostly cheese plants in the upper Midwest states. Proponents of Class 111-A con tend that competition for milk to be used for cheese sets the M-W price, pointing to the fact that no relationship exists between the M-W price and wholesale nonfat dry milk prices. An additional reason for the change cited by USDA from the hearing is that the costs of hand ling each market’s reserve milk supplies will be more equitably shared by all producers in each market Cheese plants in the 29 affected orders have been at capacity with no need for addi Quarterly Comparison Of Dairy Products STATE COLLEGE (Centre Co.) Four times per year —in January, April, July and October it’s possible to review the relationship between farm milk prices and dairy product whole sale and retail prices and tract recent changes. That relationship can be charted for a comparison of those prices at all three levels (see table below). Note that for the most recent four quarters (one-year period) for which data is available, U.S. average Grade A and B milk prices have increased 3.2 and 4.2 percent, respectively, over the same period a year ago. The wholesale and retail prices indexes reported (representing actual price levels, relative to the base period indicated) have also increased, except for wholesale butter prices. However, these dairy product price increases have been in line with, and in most cases, less that, changes in farm milk prices. The bad news is that, at the retail level, both cheese and fluid milk and cream prices increased more than the index of all food prices, meaning dial these two dairy products lost some ground (being competi tive) for the consumer’s food dollar. Quarterly U.S. Average Dairy Price Data Grade B milk price ($/cwt) 11.40 10.97 -3.8% 11.32 11.80 +4.2% Grade A milk price ($/cwt) 13.03 12.36 -5.1% 12.63 13.03 +3.2% Cheese Butter Fluid milk Price 1m Cheese Fluid Milk and Cream All Food * 1982 = 100.0 iugui tional milk, so nonfat dry milk production is the market of last resort for excess milk in those markets. If incorporated into a final deci sion and voted on by a referendum of producers, Class 111-A pricing will impact blend prices in federal orders here in the Northeast. The effect on blend prices of Class ffl-A pricing since its start in November, 1992 in Federal Order 4 (the Middle Atlantic Marketing Area) appear in the table provided. The last column compares the blend price with what would have been had Class 111-A pricing not been in effect. Producers in the New England and Middle Atlantic Marketing Areas should also note that the new decision to use the Western States nonfat dry milk price series will be a change. During the period covered by data presented at the hearing, this price was lower than the Central States used since last November. This change recognizes that the West Coast produces about 60 percent of U.S. nonfat dry milk, and use of another price series could over value milk used in Class 111-A. Remember, no change will occur until a final decision is announced and a referendum held, which are not likely to take place before yearend. Component Pricing Decision in F.O. A final decision was announced which will change milk pricing in three Midwest federal orders: Eastern Ohio-Western Pennsylva nia (Order 36), Ohio Valley (Order 33), and Indiana (Order 49) Marketing Areas. This decision adopts a plan for pricing milk on the basis of its protein, as well as butterfat content. This "plan also includes, for the first time in a federal order, adjust ments to the protein price based on the somatic cell count (SCC) of producer milk. This change will eliminate the use of differentials in determining a producer’s minimum blend. Pro ducers will be paid for milk based on the pound of protein and butter- ROBERT YONKERS Assistant Professor, Ag Economics Penn State University Q 1 92 Q 1 93 jxes* 108.4 107.2 -1.1% 108.9 110.8 +1.7% 63.1 53.9 -14.6% 68.5 56.9 -16.9% 120.0 120.9 +0.8% 122.1 122.7 +0.5% 135.4 135.7 +0.2% 133.6 135.6 +1.5% 126.1 127.5 +1.1% 123.3 127.4 +3.3% 137.6 139.9 +1.7% 136.7 138.5 +1.3% »• 1982-84 = 100.0 lIIA Month November December January February March April May June Source: Calculated from data supplied by the Middle Atlantic Marketing Area Market Administrator. fat shipped, using prices per pound for these two components. In addition, producers will receive a weighted average class differential per 100 pound of milk produced, reflecting the use of milk in Class I and II in the order. Results of producer voting in the referendum held in late June and early July have not yet been announced. If approved, these changes should take effect soon. Dairy Price Relationships Recent issues of this newsletter have contained articles about the relationship between farm milk prices and dairy product whole sale and retail prices. Four times each year (in January, April, July, and October issues), readers of this newsletter can track recent changes in prices at all three levels (see table below). Note that for the most recent four quarters (one year period) for which data is available, U.S. aver age Grade A and B milk prices have increased 3.2 and 4.2 per cent, respectively, over the same period a year ago. The wholesale and retail price indexes reported (representing actual price levels relative to-the base period indi cated) have also increased, excepted for wholesale butter prices. However, these dairy pro duct price increases have been in line with, and in most cases less than, changes infarm milk prices. The bad news is that, at the retail level, both cheese and fluid milk and cream prices increased more than the index of all food prices, meaning that these two dairy products lost some ground relatively good values for the con sumer’s food dollar. Change, Most Recent 4 Quarters Change, 92-93 One year ago This year 92-93 ' Source; Economic Research Service, USDA. Pricing on Blend Prices in Federal Order 4 November 1992 - June 1993. Class m-A Effect Minimum Prices 0 3.5% BF Class in Class IDA s/cwt 11.92 11.42 10.94 10.78 10.99 12.08 12.42 11.94 For Most Federal Orders 11.08 11.02 11.05 11.33 11.18 11.08 11.13 11.04 Walton Gets NICE Sch l hr SOUTHAMPTON (Bucks Co.) Elizabeth L. Walton of Carlisle was awarded a scholarship by At lantic Dairy Cooperative to attend the 1993 National Institute on Co operative Education (NICE), July 26-29 in Cincinnati, Ohio. Elizabeth was among five stu dents selected to attend the NICE' program. The students, sons or daughters of Atlantic members, were awarded scholarships based on their participation in the Penn sylvania Council of Cooperative’s 1993 Summer Institute. The pro gram, held June 27-30 at Ship pensburg University, leaches high school students about cooperative business in a fun and educational setting. Elizabeth, 16, is the daughter of David and Kathleen Walton. She is a junior at Carlisle High School, where she is an Honor Roll stu dent and a photographer for the Yearbook staff. She is an eight year 4-H member, completing projects in dairy, cooking, sewing, quilting and computers. She is president of the county-wide 4-H Dairy Club, recording secretary of the 4-H County Council and is a member of the 4-H State Days food and nutrition team. She also is a member of the Cumberland County Junior Hol stein Club and was the 1992 Cum berland County Junior Dairy rep resentative. At the Summer Institute, Eliza- Entries Sought For ‘lce Cream Chum-Off ROCKSPRING (Centre Co.) — For a fifth consecutive year, Penn sylvania'a Dairy Promotion Part ners will be sponsoring an “Ice Cream Churn-Off” contest at Penn State’s Ag Progress Days. The contest will be held on Wednesday, August 18. at 1 p.m., at the dairy promotion booth at the comer of Main and West Eighth Streets on the Ag Progress Days grounds, at Rockspring, just west of Statp College, on Route 4S. Contestants will be creating and making their own flavors of homemade ice cream for the con test. Cash prizes are awarded in the contest to the entries with the most original ingredients and the best flavor and appearance. Points are awarded for entries that use many a variety of dairy products and offer simple preparation tech niques. The first eight eligible* entries will be selected to compete in the contest for the grand prize of $3OO. Additional prizes of SISO and $lOO will be awarded to the second and third place entries, re spectively. People attending the Class IDA Class IHA Utilization Blend Effect - - $/cwt - - - percent - -0.05 -0.05 +O.Ol +O.OB +0.02 -0.18 -0.29 -0.20 Elizabeth Walton beth was a member of the stage crew and the wake up/good night team. She was a session chairper son and a member of MINICO, a cooperative operated by the stu dents during the four-day pro gram. The Atlantic scholarship win ners furthered their cooperative experience at NICE, which is sponsored annually by the Nation al Council of Farmer Coopera tives. They attended workshops featuring national cooperative leaders and motivational speakers. contest will also be able to sample the eight recipes to determine their own winners. Recipe brochures listing all of the entered recipes will also be available for distribu tion. The contest is jointly sponsored by Pennsylvania’s Dairy Promo tion Partners the American Dairy Association and Dairy Council, Mid East United Dairy Industry Association/F.O. 36 Ad vertising Agency, and the Penn sylvania Dairy Promotion Pro gram. To enter the contest, individuals must print their name, address, telephone number, and complete written copy of their recipe on a piece of paper and mail it to “Ag Progress Days. Ice Cream Chum- Off,” Pennsylvania Dairy Promo tion Program, 2301 North Cam eron Street, Harrisburg, PA 17110. Recipes should include all ingredients, preparation instruc tions, and the amount of ice cream made by the recipe. For more information about the contest, call the Pennsylvania Dairy Promotion Program, at (717) 787-6903.