Possible (Continued from Page At) normal for the year.) Singel said some counties are about six inches below normal. According to Peter Ahnert, meteorologist in charge at the Har risburg office of the National Weather Service, “The long term Palmer Index a drought index indicates a moderate drought over basically all of Pennsylvania. “On the short term, the crop moisture index —an index that shows the crop need verses avail able water is a ‘minus one’ in the lower Susquehanna Valley, and that’s the worst area. A ‘minus one’ means abnormally dry and prospects deteriorating,” Ahnert said. “As far as the forcast goes, here in the lower Susquehanna Valley, the next chance of rain is a 30 per cent chance of a shower or thun derstorm on Saturday (today). But again, that’s going to be probably scattered... we might not get any rain at all,” he said. Through the weekend, Ahnert said chances for precipitation were not good as well as slight for the rest of the week. Drought Statewide, with all the dryness, most crops are stressed; particular ly com, soybeans, alfalfa, and tobacco. The vegetable crops, including snap beans, have been brought to a virtual halt in many places for the lack of rain. Early this week, a cold front remained stationary through the Southeast through the Mid- Atlantic states, dumping some excessive rain amounts along the coastline and in the southeast states. But.agriculture areas in Pen nsylvania and surrounding states, including Maryland, Ohio, West Virginia, and New York, only received a sprinkling at best. Areas in northern Lancaster Co. received about 2/10 of an inch. Other areas in Lancaster received about 1 inch. And this is when the crops need moisture the most “All we can hope for is for a few showers to tide us through until a front stays around and it rains for at least a couple of days,” said John Yocum of the Penn State southeast research laboratory in Landisville. Yocum said that com, alfalfa, and particularly soybean farmers are concerned that not enough rain will cause yield losses. In com, expected yields, if the drought per sists, could total 10 to 20 percent. If a drought occurs later on, such as it did in 1988 during tassling and pollination of com, huge losses can occur. “If we don’t get substantial rain within two weeks,” Yocum said, “com stands will be in big trouble.” The rain early in the week was widely scattered and variable some areas, such as southern Lan caster Co., received up to 2 inches. Eastern Lancaster Co., around New Holland, said Yocum, received up to about an inch. But according to Mel Brown, Centre Co. agent, fanners will need about 1 inch of water a week to obtain a good stand for any of their crops. ‘The farmers who got the first alfalfa cutting early in May got a good cutting,” Brown said. But he is recommending to fanners to wait, during the drought condi tions, until blossom in order for the plant to build up enough root ener gy for further cutting. According to Yocum, alfalfa hay losses have amounted so far to about 1 ton per acre. But the hay crop, if the drought persists, will not dry, it just will not produce enough for a cutting. Lancaster Fanning, Saturday, June 22, 1991-A2l And for farmers who haven’t planted the soybeans yet, exten sion agents are asking that farmers avoid planting until substantial rain arrives. Those who transplanted tobacco late are also seeing their crops wither and die. For vegetable fanners, most plants, because of their shallow root systems, are under stress, said Yocum. Snap beans cannot root without enough water. The pro duction crops, including com, can establish themselves under stress because of their deep root systems. But so can some weeds, accord ing to Brown. “Farmers put on her bicides after an appreciable rain fall,” he said. But many of the her bicides have not had time, using moisture, to attack weeds and are still active on the soil. If a substantial rainfall doesn’t come, then “timely showers” will at least hold off a potential drought, said Paul Craig, Dauphin Co. agent. “Overall, the upper part of the county, theLykens Valley, is OK,” he said. “Armstrong Valley looks OK. Dauphin Co. is in good shape up to this point” Those who planted early, according to Craig, were spared the effects of a drought ‘Timeli- ness was critical and people who delayed planting, they suffered,” he said. Craig said that the crops need about 1 inch of rain every week to sustain production. But he predicts a 10-15 percent yield reduction in com. In York Co., most areas need 5 inches of rain or more to make up the lack of rain. According to John Rowehl, York extension agent, farmers | who want to sidedrcss nitrogen on; the com should use a dribble appli cation rather than broadcast if they believe they have to. Because of the drought, the sidedressing will do little to coun teract the already expected 15-20 percent drop in yield potential. “We really don’t know what to say to them that I will be confident will be right because of the lack of rain,” said Rowehl. The northern section of the county received little relief from the rain the past week. Lewisburg, for instance, recorded only about 1/10 of an inch of rain. Western York received about the same amount and only the southern sec tions “got a little reprieve,” said Rowehl. This year, at planting, condi tions were dry fra - com, which has little effect on the standability. But in 1988, the drought came later, at the silking and pollinating stages (when the crop needs it the most) and created a 20 to 30 percent yield loss. Extension agents are recom mending that farmers, if they want to help their com during the drought, cultivate lightly (about 1 inch) to loosen up the soil, help the drier soil act as a mulch, and pro vide better root aeration. But far mers should be careful not to prune the com roots. Other than that, farmers must be patient and hope that rain comes. “It’s on everybody’s mind,” said Craig. “What me need more than anything is for a two- to three day front to get here and stay.” There apparently is no area in the state that has been spared some setback in crop production because of the unusual weather. In Bradford County, with the second highest number of dairy farms in the slate, behind Lancas ter, the scenario is repealed. A 1 Homan, extension agent in Bradford, said Thursday evening that, “Depending on what crops you’re looking at, we have a varie ty of conditions ” He said that, in general, com planted prior to May 15 has been looking good, until this past week when signs ol drought stress began appearing. Com planted alter May 15 hasn’t fared as well. He said he saw similar conditions near Bloomsburg about two weeks prior. “The plant populations arc quite low in some fields The first crop of hay looks good, but the second growth on established has holds looks very bad. It’s not making much regrowth,” he said Also, first year fields aren’t gel ling too far. “Hay crops planted this spring got oil to a good start and made 9 to 12 inches, but now has just stopped growing. “The oat crop and other forage crops arc almost a total loss. It’s very poor this spring, because temperatures were quite high early in the year.” He said a few farmers have resorted to irrigation for the first lime. Some arc watering orchards, others are trying to get water to their hay or com. In the south western part of the (Turn to Page A 22)