Whither Goes Pennsylvania Agriculture? BY ALVI O. VOIGHT Penn State Professor Of Ag Economics Statistics are dull, uninter esting and fuzzy. Right? Wrong. If statistics are gen- erated by official reliable govern- ment agencies such as our Pennsylvania Agricul tural Statistics Service (formerly known as Crop Reporting) and our Census of Agriculture (the U.S. Department of Commerce), such statistics are the most reliable and trustworthy anywhere. Sure they’re not perfect but, then, you and I aren’t perfect either. Statistics help us understand what has happened, what is hap pening and they give us some good clues as to what might happen in the future. Statistics can even help us understand the why of what is going on, and, naturally, statistics help us in our farming and personal decision-making. Statistics help generate facts and knowledge that we hear about and read about and, consciously or not, sift in our minds along with our individual and collective experi ences and observations. It’s get ting more and more difficult to make correct decisions by relying mostly on our own (limited) and others (biased) experience and observations because we arc only a tiny part of what’s going on, and because quite a lot of the signific ant factors in decision-making are beyond our control and outside of our influence. Recent Pennsylvania Doings Looking at Pennsylvania from a big picture standpoint (no details Model 2910 Model 6005 With ThM* Participating or specifics within the crops and livestock subcategories) the fol lowing page was swiped from our PA Agricultural Statistics Service “1986 Crops and Livestock Annu al Summary.” It is page 57. (Get your copy from PASS, 2301 North Cameron Street, Harrisburg, PA 17110-9408 or phone 717-787-3904). First off, notice that all com modities increased in value from $3,012 billion cash receipts in 1983 to $3,090 billion cash receipts in 1984 to $3,150 billion cash receipts in 1985. Pennsylva nia’s cash receipts from agricultur al products increased a little each year. We emphasized the accom panying table’s value is not net income or is not total value but just the cash receipts value from agri cultural product sales. Further, notice a decline in cash receipts’ value of livestock pro ducts from 1983 to 1985, and, a decline in the share of livestock products (73.8 percent to 69.3 per cent). On the other side of the coin, crops’ cash receipts and share of the total increased from 1983 to 1985 (26.2 percent to 30.7 per cent). Where were the biggest crops’ cash receipts’ gains? Com topped the list (2.7 percent to 5.6 percent) and next was greenhouse/ nursery (7.2 percent to 8.8 percent) followed by apples (1.4 percent to 1.9 percent). All of the foregoing is merely a brief (three-year overview slice of goings- on, or, trends. Other statis tics and studies put the “meat on the bones” and help farmers and others decide what has been going on, is going on, and what the future might hold for them. HAiIMAH FENCE SYSTE/MS ' • More fence power 6 times more powerful than most units • Safety certified - CSA approved * 24 month guarantee including lightning • Solid state electronics delivers shock through damage heavy wet weeds * Effective control for all livestock • Battery and plug in models available * North America’s best fence energizer value 4 r (* i I \ CALDWELL SUPPLY CO., INC. Hazleton, PA 18201-0096 1-800-626-8139 PENNSYLVANIA: CASH RECEIPTS FROM SALE OR AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS FROM FARMS BY COMMODITIES. 1963-1965^ Cf nility ALL COMMODITIES LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS MEAT ANIMALS Cattle/Calves Hogs Sheep/Larabs DAIRY PRODUCTS Milk Wholesale Milk Retail POULTRY AND EGGS Eggs Broilers Turkeys Chickens, Farm MISCELLANEOUS LIVESTOCK 38,229 Wool Other Livestock CROPS FOOD GRAINS Wheat Rye FEED CROPS Corn Hay Oats Barley TOBACCO OIL CROPS VEGETABLES Potatoes Tomatoes Corn, Sweet Beans. Snap Miscellaneous Vegetables FRUITS AND NUTS Apples Peaches Grapes Strawberries Cherries Pears Miscellaneous Fruits ( Nuts ALL OTHER CROPS Greenhouse/Nursery Mushrooms Other Field Crops Percentages may not be accurate to 0.1 in last dig Less than 0.05 percent. KEN CLUGSTON VERNON 3EIBEL (717) 665-6775 (717) 665-2782 CRAFT-BELT CONSTRUCTION INC. FARM-HOME BUILDING- R.D. #2 MANHEIM, PA. PH: (717) 665-4372 BUILDING & REMODELING FOR dairy residential SWINE POLE BUILDINGS BEEF STORAGE 1983 Percent Of ■ w , Total : ya,ue Value Percent Thous. Do I s Thous. Pols 3,012,316 100.0 73.8 2,222,559 431,942 310,882 118,363 14.3 10.3 3.9 2,697 1,330,863 1,262,100 68,763 44.2 41.9 2.3 14.0 7.7 3.9 2.0 421,525 230,838 117,833 60,724 12,130 37,938 1.3 26.2 789,757 23,790 23,028 762 164,403 81,889 70,112 9,051 3,351 20,436 23,409 70,258 29,256 16,279 10,103 1,568 13,052 81,949 41,818 15,590 10,596 5,810 5,048 687 2,400 405,512 216,130 187,305 2,077 13.5 7.2 6.2 ,|*w Lancaster Farming Saturday, June 25, 1988*09 1984 • Percent Of ’ : Total : Percent Thous. Pols 100.0 ,090, 72.6 14.3 9.8 4.3 ,027 ,157 ,701 ,953 ,503 ,242, 441, 303, 133,' 42.3 40.5 1.8 1.305 1,250 14.5 8.3 3.9 2.1 448 255, 121 64 46 848 23 22 27.4 160.809 66,533 82,689 5,944 5,643 21,219 30,284 80,193 31,108 17,020 15,477 2,822 3.900 443,822 244,434 196,488 2.900 14.4 7.9 6.4 •cause of method of machine computation FRANK A. FILLIPPO, INC. - WANTED - DISABLED & CRIPPLED COWS, BULLS & STEERS Competitive Prices Paid Slaughtered under government inspection Cali: Frank Fillippo - Residence - 215-666-0725 Elam Cinder - 717-367-3824 C.L. King - 717-786-7229 Feeder Racks For Minimum Feed Waste Ail Steel Structure 6-8-10 Ft. Length - Sizes For Sheep - Wall Mount Racks Also... Gutter Grates With Recessed Bars Pleasant View Welding Honey Brook, R#4, Box 44, Pa. 19344 Phone (215) 273-2480. Call Between 7:00 & 8:00 AM 1965 Percent Of Total Value Percent 3,149,980 2,183,827 399,582 294,681 102.086 100.0 69.3 12.7 9.4 3.2 2.815 1,311,305 1,251,705 41.6 39.7 1.9 13.2 6.9 59,600 417.155 218,808 123.294 67,450 7,603 55,785 55,500 1.8 30.7 966,153 25,359 24,610 256.523 176,429 68,136 7.301 4,657 20,984 29,561 77,704 28,229 16,093 13,880 3,196 16,306 88,794 59,360 9,739 7,375 3,473 2,206 641 6,000 467,228 277,720 185,758 3,750 14.8 8.8 5.9