VOL. 32 No. 44 _ ™. e i° up,es named t 0 Cooperative leadership are Charles and Beckv Castle; Bill and Linda Compton; Stan and Janice Burkholder; Gordon and ole Hoover; Dan and and David and Barbara Kehr. BY JACK J. KIRKLAND Assistant Professor, Ag Economics, PSU Editor’s Note: Jack J. Kirkland, Assistant Professor of Ag Economics and Rural Sociology, Penn State Uni versity here discusses the dairy outlook for the remainder of 1987 for the US, the Northwest and Pennsylvania. Kirkland looks at the number of milk cows, milk production and how they have been affected by the Dairy Termination pro gram and the impact of the national dairy situation, as well Pennfield & Weaver Issue Statement On LANCASTER Victor F. Weaver Inc. and Pennfield Corpo ration, two of the county’s largest poultry industries, initiated a joint study with other related govern ment agencies to investigate ideas leading to efficient use of poultry manure. During the past year, the Kuljian Company of Philadelphia, con ducted a feasibility study propos ing the use of poultry manure as a fuel source for a cogeneration pro ect. This study was underwritten >y the Lancaster County Conser vation District, the Governor’s Energy Council, Pennfield Corpo Shorthorn Wins Supreme At Allentown BY PAT PURCELL ALLENTOWN (LEHIGH CO.) -A Pinesedge Farm 10-year-old hiking Shorthorn walked into the 'ow ring at the end of the two-day H, Vo-Ag, and Open Dairy hows to walk out of the show ring Kirkland Gives 1987 Dairy Outlook as the effects of local conditions,, on milk prices received by Penn sylvania dairy farmers. The forecasts of the number of cows, production per cow, and milk production in the U.S. as well as CCC purchases and the M-W milk price are given, for 1987. In addition, the number of cows, production per cow and total milk production for 1987 is given for the Northeast as well as the number of cows, production per cow, total milk production, and milk piices id Pennsylvania, OUTLOOK FOR 1987 Number of Cows, ration, and Victor F. Weaver Inc. The Kuljian Company identi fied cogeneration - the process of burning the fuel, generating electri city, and utilizing the waste heat, oi steam - as a potential process wh ch could provide beneficial results. The study evaluated five com bustion methods. Of the five, the fluidized bed gasification process was identified as the best available technology. This combustion pro cess coupled with the appropriate steam generation, electric power generation, and emission control equipment was the recommended with the 135th Allentown Fair 1987 Supreme Champion Dairy Cow banner as selected by Dairy Judge Dick Packard, Holstein breeder from the Pack-Herd farm in Troy. (Turn to Page A 24) Lancaster Farming, Saturday, September 5, 1987 Production per Cow, and Milk Production The DTP program will continue to have a significant impact on the number of cows and milk produc tion throughout the last half of 1987. Although the incentive for expansion is still favorable with relatively high milk-feed ratios that will continue throughout the year, it has decreased from that in the early 1980’5," The continued sales of cows by farmers partici pating in the DTP should continue to more than offset any expansion. As a result, the number of cows in the U.S. should be from 3% to 4% option. The implementation of this option, however, is not without significant questions and potential limitations. These include the following: • The economics of utilizing poultry waste to develop energy is not as productive as anticipated. • Electric power produced by the plant could be used by a partici pating company or resold to a utili ty company. However, any com pany has limited use for such ener gy sources, namely the amount required by its processing facili ties. More energy would be gener- NOTICE Because of the Labor Day holi day the Lancaster Fanning office will be closed on Monday, Sept 7. Public sale and Mailbox Market advertising deadlines will be Tues day, Sept. 8 at 5 p.m. Sec. B classified ad deadline will be Wednesday, Sept. 9 at 5 p.m. Sec. C classified ad deadline will be Thursday, Sept. 10 at 9 a.m. Couples Named To Cooperative Leadership DANVILLE (Luzerne Co.) — Five Pennsylvania couples were named to leadership positions for the 1988 PAFC Young Coopera tive Leaders Conference at the 14th annual conference held here recently. Dan and Laureen Naylor, Fac toryville, were selected from the pool of four 1987 region leaders to serve as conference hosts and chair for the 1988 conference, spon sored by the Pennsylvania Associ ation of Farmer Cooperatives. PAFC Region Leaders for 1988 include the following: Northern Region, Charles and Becky Castle, sponsored by Eastern Milk Pro ducers Cooperative; South Central Region, Stan and Janice Burkhol der, Chambersburg, sponsored by York Farm Credit; Southeast Reg ion, Gordon and Carole Hoover, Gap, sponsored by Atlantic Dairy Cooperative; and Western Region, Bill and Linda Compton, Clarks- lower than 1986 levels. The num ber of cows m the Northeast is expected to be from 1 % to 2% low er than in 1986. Pennsylvania cow numbers are expected to decline from 0.5% to 1% m 1987. Production per cow is expected to continue increasing throughout 1987. U.S. average milk produc tion per cow in 1987 is expected to average from 1.5% to 2.0% higher than 1986 levels. The average pro duction per cow for the Northeast is expected to average from 1 % to 1.5% higher than in 1986. Average production per cow in Pennsylva- Poultry Manure ated then needed by either Penn field or Weaver. • A source for disposal of the ash from the combustion process needs to be obtained. • The concern by the participat ing companies for unproven tech nology and the risk in successfully operating such a significant sized investment. In evaluating these and many other questions, the management of the Pennfield Corporation and Victor F. Weaver Inc. are disap pointed in the final results of the project which do not appear feasi- Both companies will continue to seek other alternatives which Keystone International Livestock Expo Opens The 31st Keystone International Livestock Exposition (KILE) will open its doors to the nation’s top livestock breeders and exhibitors October 1-5 at the Farm'Show Complex in Harrisburg. KILE is Four Sections burg, sponsored by Coba-Select Sires. In addition, David and Barbara Kehr, Littlestown, are the Young Cooperative Leaders representa tives on the 1987-88 PAFC Board of Directors. They served as 1987 Conference hosts. The annual conference focuses on agricultural cooperatives and today’s economic climate as well as how cooperatives function. It is the only one of several educational efforts sponsored by the trade association. The 1988 Conference will be held in conjunction with the National Institute on Cooperative Education in Rochester, NY, July 26-29. The Pennsylvania Association of Farmer Cooperatives is a trade association representing about 40 agricultural and rural cooperatives that contribute more than $3 bil lion to the economy of the Com monwealth each year. nia for 1987 should range from 1.5% to 2.5% higher than in 1986. The continued increase in pro duction per cow will offset part of the effects of the decline in cows numbers in 1987. Total milk pro duction in the U.S. in 1987 is expected to be between 141 to 143 billion pounds. The total milk pro duction in the Northeast in 1987 will probably be from 1% to 3% lower than in 1986. Pennsylvania milk production will not be greatly affected by the DTP and should be from 1% to 2% higher than in 15&S. would provide balanced solutions loathe overall concerns. Thcr Kuljian feasibility study has resulted in better understand ing of a potential technological solution to the management of livestock waste. Weaver and Penn field’s involvement in this study demonstrates their concern for environmentally sound methods to utilize this waste. We will continue our commitment to seek ways to diminish the stress the overabun dance of manure places on our county’s farmland, and hope that other segments of the agriculture industry will join us in these efforts. the official showcase for Pennsyl vania’s $l.l billion livestock industry. Exhibitors from 25 states will compete for nearly $95,000 in pre f Turn to P-n. $8.50 Per Year (Turn to Page A 32)