810-Lancaster Farming, Saturday, July 18; 1887 Shore Mlets' Fears Continue To Rise As Great Lakes Fill, Me Shoreline WASHINGTON Shell Lulk n once could see beach behind her Chicago condo. But now it’s gone, a victim of Lake Michigan waves that sometimes slap her building’s fifth floor. “We are no longer on the shoreline, we are the shore line,” she says. Other residents along the Great Lakes are paying a heavy price for the delights of lakeside living. Beaches, back yards, roads, sea walls, and homes are disappearing. “Do you know what’s down in the lake?” asks Donna Asselm of St. Joseph, Mich. “The roof of my house, sinks, a stove, beds. I’d nev er go back on the lake. I don T think people belong on the shoreline any more.” Record Water Levels North America’s fresh-water seas are filled to the brim. Four of them Superior, Michigan, Huron and Erie recently reach ed their highest recorded levels in this century. Ontario is close behind. “All told the lakes cover almost 95,000 square miles,” writes Char les E. Cobb Jr. in a recent issue of National Geographic. “Together they hold some six quadrillion gal lons of fresh water. That is one fifth of all the surface fresh water on earth and 95 percent of all the surface fresh water in the United States. Pour that over the conti guous United States and we’d all be in water 10 feet deep. “Today there are waves and surf 1 . black 2 . P/M< 3 . YeuovV BLUE 5. BfcOWM tiger CRTs: rueytitt tree cumbers w/tv comgbop/esmd short LEGS W!P EES TTWT GR/PBRRhf. THEiRLSo OCCUR OHTHE GPOU/UP. T/66R CRTS PRE Mfiftity HOcTuPNRL, ff£P/H6 OH SmAU RMMWSmOS66S, TH/S CRT/S OH£ Of m //OS TBERUTfFUL Of TPS fovf fOOTeOf/U/MRL9. more akin to oceans than lakes,” Cobb writes. “On these huge expanses of water, even after a storm has passed, the waves con tinue to crash. Erosion occurs everywhere.” Why are lake levels at their highest? For two decades, more rain than usual has fallen, and cooler temperatures have slowed evaporation. “You can’t predict climate; it’s like the stock market,” says Frank Quinn, head of the Lake Hydrology Group of the Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory. One way to think of the lakes, Quinn suggests, is as a senes of bathtubs filling with precipitation, ground-water inflow, and surface drainage from surrounding water sheds. Each bathtub, from Super ior to Ontario, is lower than the next. Channels connect the lakes, but they are so narrow that outflow is slow. For instance, a complete exchange of water in Superior would lake 200 years. This means that when the lakes arc full and little evaporation occurs, the water is not going anywhere anytime soon. “Everybody thinks there’s a plug you can pull, but there’s not,” says Quinn. Another reason for the changing lakes is something called “isostatic rebound.” The earth’s crust still is rebounding from the weight of the last ice age’s glaciers. Although this upward thrust is only a few inches a century, it has the effect of 6. PEACH 7. GPEEM 8. LT BPOWnI 9 . LT BLUE 10. LIGREENI 0 tilting a pan of water downward toward the south as the outlet channels of Michigan, Eric, and Ontario arc tilted upward more rapidly than their southern shores. Diversions Change Levels Man-made structures modify lake levels somewhat. For instance, the Long Lac and Ogoki diversions bring water from Cana da’s James Bay watershed into Lake Superior, while the Chicago diversion removes water from Lake Michigan via the Illinois River. A 1985 study by the Internation al Joint Commission a U.S.-Canadian body created by a 1909 treaty concluded that changes in existing diversions would lower the upper Great Lakes less than a foot. Enc would drop nearly half a fool. Last November, a preliminary report by the commission said high water levels post a threat of a'“pos sible emergency.” The report called for improving warning programs and greater coordination of flood-control efforts. But some along the Great Lakes say they find little comfort m read ing commission reports while wailing for the next storm to strike. Two years ago, homeowners, con vinced that more could be done and rejecting blame for building near shore, organized a coalition to persuade officials to pull the plugs that let water out and turn off the faucets that let it in. o a & . Tlii \ \\ \ I \ A\\ \ V \ NO COLORS <7 juse :ven,. >h., let ,rs on a storm eroded bluff over Lake Michigan. Some geologists, believing the Great Lakes have been at long-term lows and are returning to more normal water levels, wonder whether humans can do much to reduce further dam age along the 8,000 miles of coastline. Coalition co-founder Cliff Sas fy wants officials to turn off the Long Lac and Ogoki diversions, which pour an average of 5,600 cubic feet of water a second into o - ° o Superior. He also wants outflow through the Chicago diversion increased. But there are other political con (Turn to Page B 12) * 7- /6 S 7