Lancaster farming. (Lancaster, Pa., etc.) 1955-current, July 05, 1986, Image 39
Seminar Explains (Continued from Page Al) f or $2,000 per acre. An option your neighbor is executed an op- contract gives you a right to tion contract,” he said. “What benefit if prices go in your favor your neighbor has done is given and gives you protection if they go you an option to buy the land at a against you. For hedgers it’s like particular price over a price an insurance policy. You really particular period of time and you don’t want to need to use in had to pay your neighbor a fee up surance. You don’t say I wish I front for that privilege. If you would wreck my car so I get some decide not to buy the land, your me ou t 0 f the premium I paid for $lOO is gone. If you decide to buy (be policy to the insurance com the land your neighbor’s net selling pany. No, you’re glad to give up the price is $2,100 ($2,000 per acre plus cost of the premium for the sloooptlonfee).” protection, always hoping you To further illustrate how an don’t need it. You always want an option works, Barclay said, “let’s insurance policy to expire wor say that some time before the end thless. That’s really the way of the six months you decide to sell hedgers should look at the option your rights to buy that land (you markets,” Barclay said, sell your option) for $l5O, in that To help understand the option case you pass the option to your market better, Barclay listed some friend and then he has the right to terminology that must be un buy the land from your neighbor derstood. “The names for options PUBLIC AUCTION BUSINESS ESTATE LIQUIDATION “KRICK TOWING” Of Lancaster, Pa. Automobiles, Antique Trucks, Late Model Heavy & Light Duty Wreckers FRIDAY, JULY 18,1986 9:30 A.M. Vehicles at ll:OOA.M. Located at 1136 Marshall Avenue, Lancaster, Pa. VEHICLES 1976 Peterbilt Tandem axel, GVWR 55,280,5R#77545N wrecker with cat engine and 750 Holmes Boom, 1976 Peterbilt Tandem axel also with cat engine and 750 Holmes Boom, 1980 Chev. Scottsdale 30 wrecker SR JCKM33A1167536 4 wheel drive with Holms Commander model 1200 boom 26,000 miles, 1980 Chev. Scottsdale 30 wrecker, SRJCKM33AII6 4750 with Holms Commander model 1200 boom, 4 wheel drive and snow plow, 41,000 miles, both have twin cable hydraulic booms, 1970 In ternational Loadstar model COlBOO 5RJ4268006048536 moving van, 1967 Mack Stub Nose Tractor Chassis #H67T 5RJ2795 (rough) 1977 Chrysler Cordoba 8 auto., 1978 Chev. pick up 8 auto., 1974 Dodge Swinger 6 auto., 1973 Chev. Mai. 8 auto., 1976 Chrysler Cordoba 8 auto., 1972 Monte CarloS auto.. ANTIQUES 7-chain driven Mack Bull Dog tractors (restoration projects) 1928? Reo Speed wagon wrecker good condition, Fruehauf short flatbed trailer, Fruehauf equipment trailer on hard rubber, old model tow motor. OFFICE EQUIPMENT To be sold following the vehicles. Sanyo 800 copy machine, Silver Reed 800 elec, typewriter, 4 drawer filing cabinets, Cimatron 208 S adding machine, desk, swival and straight chairs. SHOP EQUIPMENT Motorola Compa Station radio office-mobile system, gas buggy automatic siphoning machine, Kellog American model 331 TU SR. #463921 industrial size air compressor, Coats 30-40 A tire changer and other tire changers, Atlas model 1080 drill press, gas operated chop saw, high pressure washer, Lincoln welder, farm heater model 105 P, Marquette battery charger and other chargers, acetylene torches, disc harrow storage trailer, gas tanks with pumps, chain saws, buffers, elec, and air sanders, elec, drills, air wrenches, parts bins, tarps, creepers, cables, air hose, grease pumps, hand trucks, tire and tow chains galore, hooks and pulleys, binders, Bear Cat 210 scanner, loads of Craftsman and Snap On hand tools, Snap On tool chest, belts and straps, C clamps, floor jacks, 2-Hahn Eclipse 200 riding mowers, 2-Hahn Eclipse self propelled power mowers, new and used tires, scaffolding and junk pile and many items not mentioned. Auction For FARMERS FIRST BANK EXECUTORS CARL E.KRICK ESTATE Jhtodah) 10 S. Broad St Lititz, PA 17543 Elmer Murry 626-5244 - 626-2636 Richard Murry 626-8175 • 949-2280 Ken Miller 665-2073 Professional Auctioneers, Appraisers and Advisors Since 1953 AU-00648-L are puts and calls,” he said. “A put is the option to sell, a call is the option to buy. You can remember the difference because put is to put away from you or to sell, call is to bring to yourself or buy. If I have a put option I have the right to sell, if I have a call option I have the right to buy. Don’t confuse puts and calls, they are not the opposite side of the same transaction. In the land illustration I bought a call option, the right to buy and my neighbor sold me a call option. When you watch the option markets in the pits of the com modity exchanges, there are really two option markets going on at the same time. The put market and the call market and there’s buyers and sellers in both markets. That makes understanding options a bit more complicated to understand than the futures market,” Barclay said. “In an option contract the buyer can do one of three things: he can offset the option or sell it to someone else; he can exercise the option, actually use the option; or he can let it expire. The strike price is the price at which the transaction will occur. In the land example the strike price was $2,000.” Once hedgers understand the use of options the next question is usually: what strike price should I buy? For option hedgers, the choice of strike price is a trade off between the level of price protection offered versus the opportunity to benefit from a favorable price movement. At-the-money options offer the most balanced trade off between protection against downward price moves and the chance to gain from a favorable price move after op tion purchase. A hedger could choose greater protection against adverse price moves by pur chasing an in-the-money option or a lower amount of price protection by purchasing an out-of-the-money option. Out-of-the-money options are the cheapest because they offer the ' | I COMPLETE DISPERSAL i I THOMAS AND KELLY MIUN ! I Cazenovia, New York jj I Discontinuing farming Mr. & Mrs. Milin J | will sell there cattle and machinery at X I their farm located just off Rt. 13 on the I | East Road midway between Cazenovia | I and New Woodstock on the former i f Washbon Farm. Watch for arrows. V | THURSDAY EVENING, JULY 10,1986 | V 7:00P.M. I | 79-HEAD REGISTERED AND I ( HI-GRADE HOLSTEINS-79 I r Herd consists of 55 Mature Cows, 4 Bagging | I Heifers, 4 Shortbreds, 15 Calves and 1 Purebred I I BuU - 1 t Sires Represented- Jewel Maker, Valiant, X I Mars. Bootnick, etc. I x Service Sires- Elmer Chief, Valiant, Lone f i Ranger, etc. jj I You’ll find several top cows in this herd. Most I 5 are classified. DHIA records available with * A‘ records up to 25,000 lbs. milk. i I Cataloges will be available at ring side. I ! MACHINERY ! IH 1086 Diesel Tractor; Farmall 806 Diesel I Tractor; IH 2001 loader; IH 710 5B plow drag;' f Ontario grain drill; cultipacker; Gehl 600 Z chopper with 2 row com head, picker head and I - hopper w/screen for Hi-Moisture com; JD s i blower; IH 990 haybine; NH #282 baler; kicker ■ f rack wagons with JD running gears; elevator; I X backblade; feed cart; NH manure spreader; x I bedding chopper; 3 DeLaval milkers (60 lb. I V pails); dumping station and misc. farm tools. ( jj Also selling: 1980 4 wheel drive Chevy C-10 X I truck; 16’x40’ silo of com (will furnish auger); I s 16’x50’ silo on new Alfalfa seeding. x i Terms-Cash or good check. | f Owners, I I THOMAS AND KELLY MILIN | | Wm. A. Stradling & Son, Aucts. I r Sale conducted by x I Lazy S. Livestock Market, I s Norwich, N.Y. x I 607-334-8014 or 315-837-4457 | f Lunch served least protection against an un favorable price move. In-the money options, on the other hand, are the most expensive because they offer greater protection. Out of-the-money options provide the greatest leverage in the case of a favorable price move after option purchase; in-the-money options provide the least amount of leverage. At-the-money options offer an intermediate level of price protection, leverage as well as costs. In determining the actual cost of the insurance offered by an option, you should look at the time value of the option premium. The time value is the amount the option seller charges to write the option, and it should be allocated over the option’s life. Deep-in-the-money and deep-out-of-the-money options will have the lowest monthly cost because of their minimal time value. Of course, the amount of price protection provided and the total cost of deep-in and deep-out options are quite different. Deciding whether to buy an at the-money, in-the-money or out-of the-money option for price protection depends upon how much protection you need; your assessment of how prices are likely to move; and your risk: reward preferences. Here are some of the factors you may want to consider when choosing a strike price: 1. What is your breakeven point? When selecting an option strike price, keep in mind your cost of production, the option premium and expected basis. As an example, suppose you expect the wheat harvest basis to be 15 cents under the July contract. If July wheat is trading at $2.70 and the July $2.70 put is 7 cents, you will set a floor selling price of $2.48. (Strike price ($2.70) - basis (.15) - premium (.07).) If your cost of production is above this level, this strike may not be your best choice. What is your financial situation? Suppose your financial condition is sound and you can afford to purchase insurance with a large deductible, in the hopes of benefiting from a favorable price move. Then, a put with a lower strike price may provide adequate protection. On the other hand, if you’re highly leveraged you (and your lender) may want the additional protection provided by a higher put strike price. A lender may be willing to advance the additional funds needed to purchase a higher strike in return for the assurance of a lower risk exposure. 3. What direction do you expect prices to move and how sure are you of this? Choosing a put strike price on this basis requires considerable self-discipline. Pat Option Time Strike Premium Value $2 60 04 .04 $2 80 12 12 $3 00 .24 04 If July wheat is at or below $2 60 at option expiration the floor selling prices will be the actual net selling prices, assuming the expected basis of 12 under is accurate Assume July wheat declines to $2 72 at option expiration and the basis is 12 under for a cash price of $2.60 Cash Strike Price $2.60 $2.60 $2.80 $2.60 $260 $3 00 Assume July wheat is unchanged at $2 00 at option expiration and the basis is 12 under for a cash price of $2 60 Cash Strike Price $2 60 $260 $2 00 $2.60 $3.00 $2.60 JULY SAT. JULY 12 ■ 10AM, Public Benefit Auction at the Manheim Farm Show Building, Manheim, PA. Quilts, Household Goods, Baked Goods, Assorted Items. Auction by Singing Servants Chorus. John H. Fry, Auct. Lancaster Farming, Saturday, July 5,195&A39 The question is not: wnai direction do you wish prices to go? But: give the best supply-and demand information available for the current crop year, what direction are prices likely to go? If the chances of an upward price move greatly outweigh the chances of a downward price move (but you do not want to be vulnerable to the latter) the put with the lower strike price may be your best choice. However, if demand is weak, the dollar is strong, and yields look good, a higher strike price may serve your marketing needs best. In comparing options, remember, if futures go above the higher (lower) strike less (plus) the difference in the premiums, the higher strike put (lower strike call) will provide a higher selling (lower buying) price. 4. How much additional premium are you willing to spend for each additional cent of price protection? Each successively higher (lower) put (call) strike raises (lowers) the floor selling (ceiling buying) price. However, as you choose successively higher strike puts (lower strike calls), the ratio of additional premium cost to the increased (decreased) floor selling (ceiling buying) price becomes progressively unfavorable. For example, if you are unwilling to buy additional price protection at more than a 1:1 ratio, you will find at-the-money options your best choice. Let’s review some specific examples: Assume it is April and July wheat futures are at $2.80. The $2.60 July put is 4 cents, the $2.80 July put is 12 cents, and the $3.00 July put is 24 cents. Expected harvest basis is -12 N. TABLE 1 Monthly Time Floor Selling Value Cost Price 02 $244 06 $2 56 02 $2 64 TABLE 2 Premium Option Paid + Value .04 .00 .12 .06 TABLEI Premium Option Paid + Value .04 .00 12 .00 .24 .20 SAT. JULY 12 -1.30 PM, Silos, Farm Equip. Located in Juniata Co. at the farm of Robert Swartz, 2 mi. south of East Salem |ust off Rt. 235 and 6 mi. north of Rt. 322 at Thompsontown. Follow direction signs Robert & Delbert Swartz, owners. Bryan D. Imes, Auct. William Barclay Net Selling Price $2.96 $2.56 $2 64 Net Selling Price $2.64 $2.56 $2 64