A3t-Lanc«st«r Farming, Saturday, Dacambar 14,1985 The Farm Credit dilemma What is the current agricultural credit situation faced by Penn sylvania agricultural producers and what effect has it had and is it having on the agricultural credit availability for the short-term and future? It is obvious to everyone associated with agriculture that the industry is suffering through poor economic times. Current prices for most com modities are at low levels with most near loan level. These cmv ditions are likely to continue until the world economy recovers and the U.S. resolves its large budget deficits. Favorable actions affecting these values are needed to have a more normal currency value relationship and in effect “weaken” the U.S. dollar. This, of course, would have a positive effect on ag exports. Also a major factor affecting the ag economy has been the rewriting of national farm program legislation in 1985. The depressed agricultural economic condition has had a direct effect on the cost and availability of ag credit. It has also had an effect on the source of credit. Table 1 provides a U. S. % Pennsylvania H (Million Dollar*) (Rounded to (Thouaand (Rounded Nairait H) Dollar*) to Naaraat Source Non-Reel Estate Bank* RCA FmHA CCC 0,710 Individual* A Other* 11,000 TOTAL Baal Eatat* Banka FLB Ufa Inauranc* Co. FmHA Individual* A Other* TOTAL GRAND TOTAL 212.541 Large Quantities of Sawdust Available 10 cents per cubic foot loaded on your truck KONDOR LUMBER CO. York, PA 717-755-6841 breakdown of farm loans by source for real estate and non-real estate for the U.S. and Pennsylvania. The information was obtained from Farm Credit Reports compiled by the Economic Research Service, USDA, as of January 1,1985. The alarming figure in Table 1 is that nearly one-third of the crop operating loans in Pennsylvania are financed by individuals and others. This indicates that a large number of Pennsylvania crop loans are an open account with suppliers. This situation is not unique to Pennsylvania. As the chart indicates, nationwide 18 percent of the non-real estate debt is held by this category. The main credit burden facing ag producers in Pennsylvania and the U.S. is the large number who are highly leveraged. According to Neil Harl, Professor of Economics at lowa State University, farmers with a debt to asset ratio of greater than 70 percent are in the most trouble. In other words, for every $lO of assets, these farmers owe more than $7.00 in debts. At this level it would take an 8 percent return on all assets just to pay the interest bill. Table 2 gives an overview of the debt to asset ratio. TABLE 1 30,742 17,025 15,051 100,012 10,177 40,103 12,444 10,013 20,000 111,837 362.000 20 333.000 25 17.000 1 171.000 13 14.000 1' 415.000 32 1,312,000 3*5,000 22 004.000 40 31,000 2 170.000 10 420.000 20 1,887,000 2,878.000 I Coming... | ai CUSTOMER 5 APPRECIATION i |«E DAYS » IS at i || KEY-AID | | DISTRIBUTORS | IS 225 Wood Corner Rd. v V Litltz, Pa. 17543 § Watch Next Week's K S Issue For Details 2 Professor Harl states that farms with ratios greater than 40 percent are facing financial problems and most are losing net worth. With a 40 percent ratio, it takes a return of 4.5 percent to pay interest costs. As ag producers become more highly leveraged they face the problem of higher interest costs and also the problem of where they will be able to obtain credit. More and more producers are failing to meet financial standards and collateral requirements to remain customers of private lenders. At one time, Production Credit Association (PCA) was the major ag production loan lender in Pennsylvania. As Table 1 shows, now they account for only 25 percent of all non-real estate farm loans. Since PCA is a cooperative, it must balance its losses with adjusted income from interest rates and collateral requirements of existing borrowers who are members of the cooperative. PCA identifies the majority of their problem loans as customers who did not own any land, and whose collateral was based on depreciated and devalued farm machinery. 'KEN CLUGSTON VERNON SEIBEL 665-6775 665-2782| CRAFT-BILT I CONSTRUCTION iNC. | FARM-HOME BUILDING R.DJ2 MANHEIM, PA. PH: 665-4372 , BUILDING & REMODELING FOR t DAIRY RESIDENTAL SWINE POLE BUILDINGS i BEEF STORAGE BANK FARM CUSTOMER'S DEBT TO ASSET RATIO Dtbt to Aottt North* Com Ratio oaat Salt Under 40H 4140 H II4OH 3* 42 31 37 37 33 M 30 23 27 30 34 23 13 13 13 20 13 13 13 7 •1H and Over ■aaad on American iankara Aaaoeiatlon Survay In Mld*lM4. • Baaad on PFA Farm Managamant tarvlcaa Anatyala of Ita eltanta aa of January 1, IMS. Federal Land Bank (FLB) has 8,293 borrowers in this state and has 40 percent of the ag real estate in this area mortgaged. As of September 1, 1985 it had acquired 21 properties by foreclosure at a value of $2.4 million dollars. FLB officials state that the number of part-time and dairy farmers in Pennsylvania adds to the stability of their loan portfolio. The new programs offered by FmHA do not appear to be providing much relief for existing borrowers in easing their debt loads. National statistics released as of August 31 by FmHA show that only 14,138 farmers have qualified for the set aside program. They also state that over 100,000 borrowers who are presently with FmHA have applied. TABLE 2 REGION South Plaint Waal U.t. *7148*8 (H of Sank Guatemala) FmHA had approved only 342 applicants for the set aside program in Pennsylvania. Apparently the program requirements are such that is requirements are such that it is applicable to only a very limited number of FmHA officials say that many producers have such a large or long-term debt load that even the setaside will not show a positive cash flow over a period of time. Also most private lenders ap pear reluctant to participate in the 10 percent writeoff loan guarantee program. As of the end of the year, no one had made use of this guarantee program. Overall it appears that private lenders are reluctant to use any of the loan A39]