Lancaster farming. (Lancaster, Pa., etc.) 1955-current, April 06, 1985, Image 17

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    End of price supports could disrupt dairy economy
ITHACA, NY - President
Reagan’s plan to eliminate the
dairy price-support program
would cause severe disruption to
the nation’s dairy industry, says a
Cornell University agricultural
economist.
“It would set in motion a barrage
of new free-market forces in an
industry which has been largely
protected from such things,” says
Andrew Novakovic, an assistant
professor of agricultural
economics in the New York State
College of Agriculture and Life
Sciences at Cornell.
The Reagan administration
proposes ending the government’s
current practice of buying surplus
dairy products by October 1987 and
replacing the traditional support
program with a direct payments
program. Reagan’s plan has been
received cooly by ’ both
congressional agricultural policy
leaders and dairy farmers.
Currently, surplus milk can be
processed into cheese, butter, and
nonfat dry milk - products which
the government stands ready to
buy at preset prices if they are not
sold otherwise. In turn, these
government purchase prices
support farmers’ milk prices. In
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1987, under Reagan’s plan, the
government would cease being a
buyer.
“Long before October 1987
arrives, cheese and butter
manufacturers would begin
scrambling, trying to line up new
buyers for their products, because
the federal government would no
longer be a buyer,” Novakovic
says. “Some would find new
markets, but at lower prices since
other processors would try to do
the same thing. It would become a
buyer’s market.”
“If dairy product manufacturers
earn less for their products,
naturally the milk price would fall,
too,” Novakovic notes.
This decline in farm milk prices,
however, would be somewhat
offset or limited by a new gover
nment program of direct payments
based on a target price. Under this
new program, dairy farmers
would receive a direct subsidy if
farm prices fell below the target
price.
The Reagan plan calls for target
prices substantially lower than
current support levels. So, farm
prices might have to fall from the
current $l3 per hundredweight to
won’t
would be made. In addition, total
payments to each farmer would be
limited to $20,000 per year in the
first year and wouiu decline to
$lO,OOO per year on October 1,1989.
This target-price program would
begin on October 1,1987.
“Critics of this proposal have
charged that the proposed target
prices and payment limits would
be so low as to be meaningless and
ineffective,” Novakovic says.
“The administration defends the
aproach by arguing that a farm
economy without heavy in
tervention will be a healthier in
dustry in the long run.”
Established by the U.S.
Department of Agriculture, the
milk support price places a floor
price under the farm price for 100
pounds of milk (approximately
11.6 gallons). Recently farm prices
have been supported at levels that
have resulted m more milk being
produced than can be consumed
commercially. The government
has purchased the excess in the
form of manufactured dairy
products, thus holding farm prices
up.
The milk diversion program,
which had no effect on the support
price itself, was instituted in
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Jain the (jfii) revolution
Lancaster Farming, Saturday, April 6,1985-AI7
January 1984. It pays farmers $lO
per hundredweight for decreasing
the amount of milk they market
relative to what they had marketed
in an earlier base period. In ad
dition, the government collects a 50
cents assessment per hun
dredweight of all milk sold;
assessments of one form or
another began in April 1983.
In April 1985, the milk diversion
program will end; farmers will no
longer be paid for reducing milk
sales. The 50 cent assessment is
also ending at that time, and with it
a reduction by USDA of the milk
support price from $12.60 to $12.10
per hundredweight is expected.
For dairy farmers, the dropping
of the assessment on their milk will
balance the decrease in the sup
Broiler chicks need more
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COLLEGE PARK, MD - How
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port price. But come this summer,
another 50 cent decrease in the
support price is almost a certainty,
according to Novakovic.
Further price cuts are likely,
even if the Reagan plan is not
adopted, Novakovic predicts. At
this point, Congress will more
likely be receptive to revising the
traditional price support and
product purchase program.
Nonetheless, getting production
back in line with consumption may
necessitate further price cuts.
“Any new method of settmg
dairy price supports should be
flexible, perhaps equipped with
upper and lower limits, and it
should reflect changes in supply
and demand conditions,"
Novakovic emphasizes.
they should get twice the amount
recommended by the National
Research Council.
“Our data show that feeding the
current NRC recommendation of
200 IU of vitamin D 3 per kilogram
of diet results in lower overall
performance of newly-hatched to
eight-week-old broiler chicks,”
says Jimmy T. Lofton, the prin
cipal researcher in the study.
Lofton and his graduate advisor,
Dr. Joseph ff. Soares, Jr.,
recommend instead a dose of 400
IU per kilogram of diet to produce
optimal results in young broiler
chicks.
Some commercial producers
feed their young chicks five to 10
times the NRC requirements,
anticipating greater than optimal
results.
While the practice does not seem
to cause adverse effects, Lofton
and Soares’ data show that such
“overdosing” of vitamin Da
produces no beneficial effects in
young broilers.
Broilers fed less than 200 IU of
vitamin Da per kilogram of diet
may suffer from lower body
weight, take in less food, and lose
strength in the bones in their legs,
according to the study.
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