ihcakter Brockets Ag Advice H|k> M By John E. Brockett Farm Management Agent Hi frj& Lewistown Extension Office I have a very brief time left to write about financial management. Once grass starts to “green up” and leaves start to pop, you will no longer be interested in this topic. Planting time is a tonic. It is also an opiate that can cause even the most destitute farmer to be optimistic. The next two years will be hard on farmers in general. Meat prices will probably move up later this year, but the initial feed costs are high and so will reduce profits. High grain prices now will cause excess plantings and probably depressed prices by June. The only way out ot the milk surplus problem is for a rather large number of dairymen to go out of business. The number who will have to go under to correct the situation will depend on the suc cess of the suggested promotion hnd product development plan. Now that I have laid out the rationale for a discussion on • financial management let us begin. The biggest single problem for farmers is cost-return control. Agriculture is not the only business that has this problem. This was the reason for Chrysler’s and In ternational Harvester’s financial trouble. It is the reason banks fail. It is the reason why so many small businesses fail in their first 2 years. It is why individuals fail financially. As my wife used to tell me, “we each have our job - yours REEL BAR TEDDERS Popular 7 ft wide ground driven and pto driven models Also Bft wide pto model covers 2 windrows from haybme. SUPER 16 MODEL 4 Rotary Heads flex to float over un even ground 16 ft wide Covers 13 acres/hr at 7 mph Pto driven Forks sweep hay sideways, lift, turn & spread uniformly in back for fast drying SHAKE W RAKE Model is two machines in one Teds Bft wide Rakes a fluffy windrow with basket down Write or phone for full details and nearest dealer's name Phones; (802) 775-5411 or (802) 773-9519 G.H. GRIMM Co., Inc. P.O. Box 130-HL, Rutland. VT 05701 *B4 hKfli 3, is to make money and mine is to spend it. The only problem is that I do a better job than you”. We use that as a family joke, but too often in the case of a farm business there is no joke, because when spending exceeds making, the result is a business failure. Some farmers say “if I could get $X for my product, I could make it”. I remember when $lO milk and $2 corn were the dreams. It seemed that we could weather any storm at those levels. The sad truth is that very few farmers really know where their breakeven price is For most farmers the breakeven price they use is one they heard or read. If every farmer in Penn sylvania were given a guarantee that they would get at least their breakeven price plus 10%, what range of figures would be get? If a stipulation was made that to get that return, you had to prove it, could you qualify? Cost of production is a very evasive figure. I can give you the average cost of producing most farm products. Unfortunately that average figure is virtually wor thless to you. I can tell you the cost of production for the most efficient operators as well as the least ef ficient operators. Either one would be as to you as knowing where you stand in the DHIA RANCH For hi yet pai Ideal f trees Optioi listings. (that one should rile someone). The only cost figure that is worth anything is yours. And its major value is to help you set soem goals and make some management decisions. Even cost of production ranges are indadequate. for example: in the 1982 farm enterprise analyses that I ran, the cost of producing milk ranged from under $lO per cwt to nearly $lB per cvvt. Or look at this, the range of costs of producing corn in 1983 ranged from a little over $2 to nearly $4 per bushel according to my first 20 enterprise analyses. If you don’t know what it cost you to produce a product, how do you ► CLIFF ~ E LUNGER A CITIES 1 Chain Saw Sharpening Days! Bring your saw in for Sharp Savings. DRYDENE OILS •Gap S ; a, s ft' “SINCE 1967 BETTER BUILDINGS BY BOLLINGER” COMMERCIAL •INDUSTRIAL DESIGN « ERECT METAL BUILDINGS POLE BUILDINGS BARNS-GARAGES FARM BUILDINGS WAREHOUSES fr'^MITED^ [/ tU IOING NC lit Progressive Ideas in Pre-Engmeered Structures RD2, DENVER 215-267-6046 ONDA UMPS & GINES HOUSTON RUN SALES & SERVICE AMOS L. STOLTZFUS HUSQVARNA & POULAN CHAIN SAWS HONDA MOTORS Box 67 - Hensel Rd. Kinzers, PA 17535 know what price you need to be use records and learn your profitable? Do you want to prosper production costs. as a farmer? If so, then keep and want profits must strive to that end. Chester plans meeting on bay WEST CHESTER - The Chester Co. Conservation District will host a meeting March 19 on “The Chester County Farmer and the Chesapeake Bay” at the Russellville Grande Hall on Rte. 10 A r *' oulcm ham Saws i* Rough & \ Tumble A Museum .fy\ ?A« HOUSTOI from 7 p.m. to 9 p.m. All farmers, landowners and township officials in the Octoraro and Elks Creeks watersheds are urged to attend. WEED EATER MAYTAG WRINGER WASHER SALES & SERVICE 30 ta s V--- Lancaster W 1 —■ ’ Kinzer Amish Road RUN SALES & SERVICE RCWMV INSUfUMCt CROUP /^N FARM H F HEALTH HOME AUTO HEATMATE HEATERS