C22—Lancaster Farming, Saturday, April 11,1981
World oilseed supply predicted to be adequate
WASHINGTON, D.C. - Global
availability of both protein meals,
fats and oils is expected to be
adequate to cover foreseeable 1980-
81 needs despite a drop in
production, according to the U.S.
Department of Agriculture’s
World Oilseed Outlook and
Situation Circular released last
week.
The report says there are
adequate supplies because of
larger than normal carryover of
the 1979-80 crops in the U.S. and
Brazil soybeans and softening
demand.
According to the report, world
oilseed output for 1980-81 is now
estimated at 160.5 million metric
tons-8 percent less than in 1979-80.
This production level represents
an equivalent of 86.4 million tons of
44 percent protein meal and 56.1
million tons of oils and fats (after
adding in expected output of
fishmeal and related
miscellaneous oils and fats).
Highlights of the report include ■
—U.S. soybean and product
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prices tumbled in December in
response to exploding interest
rates After starting the month at
$8.68 per bushel, spot Decatur
prices dropped below $7 per bushel
before beginning a recovery in
mid-December.
—A combination of a much
smaller world crop and large
carry-m stocks results in world
1980-81 supplies four percent below
the 1979-80 level As a result, world
soybean supply and use will be
about in balance in 1980-81 with a
modest reduction expected in
ending stocks.
—World peanut production is
estimated at 17.4 million tons-two
percent less than in 197980-as
drought damage to the U.S crop
was nearly offset by better crops
elsewhere.
—World copra and coconut oil
trade in 1980 was highlighted by
the re-emergence of Indonesia as a
coconut oil exporter and the in
creasing tendency of exporters to
ship products rather than raw
copra. Indonesian 1980 coconut oil
exports are estimated at 75,000 troduction into Canada and Europe
tons, whereas, in 1978, Indonesia of new varieties that are
imported 92,000 tons. characterized by low levels of both
—Production of rapeseed is 'erucic acid and toxic
estimated at 111 million tons, glucosmolates, resulting in much
900,000 more than in 1979-80 Im- more desirable rapeseed products,
proved European harvests more —World 1980 fishmeal produc
than offset lower Canadian output tion was 5 percent less than in 1979,
A major development in recent according to estimates By the
''cars has been the rapid in- Foreign Agricultural Service.
Ultrasonic pregnancy
goes up with days after breeding
YORK With today’s hog
market, producers have to
determine as soon as possible
whether a sow is pregnant, says
Anthony G Dobrosky, County
Agricultural Agent
In recent years, ultrasonic echo
devices have been used, especially
with sows confined to gestation
crates where they may not exhibit
behavonal signs of estrus
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Research at Penn State indicates
such devices are most accurate
when sows are tested from 45 to 60
days after conception The most
commop error found in the study
was falsely identifying sows as not
being pregnant when they actually
hadconceived.
Accuracy was about 88 percent
in those animals at least 30 days
into pregnancy and those not
<r4lenssa
Peruvian output dropped sharply,
more than offsetting increases
elsewhere.
—U.S. October-November trade
in oilseeds and products was
sharply below the comparable
period in 1979. Exports-at $l7
bdhon-were off by 25 percent and
imports-at $lOB million-dropped 20
percent.
check accuracy
pregnant The rate was as high as
95 percent on sows that had been
pregnant 45 to 60 days
Managers with herds of ex
cellent conception rates (88 per
cent or greater) at first breeding
may not need to invest in
ultrasonic instruments, concludes
Dobrosky. Those having herds
with conception rates less than this
figure may find the instruments
have some value. He suggests sows
not be tested until at least the 45th
day after breeding
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