Drought to boost common market
Corn, barley, soybeans
and cake, fodder, and
potatoes are among the
products the European
Community will have to buy
on world markets as a result
of poor harvests following
the severe drought, ac
cording to the EC Com
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PIPERAZINE
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rv.mn.lnd from North Carolina Swine Parasite Control Program,
1975? Ext Folder No 259 and selected Shell data
mission’s latest estimates
for the 1976-77 marketing
year.
The Community will also
export less wheat and sugar
than usual because both
products will-be needed at
home. EC consumers should,
however, have enough food.
c “ '
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Stomach
Worms
Nodular
Worms
90-100%
95-100%
99-100
80-100
50 2
except potatoes, ■' at
reasonable prices, according
to estimates.
Rainfall from southern
England to the north-Bhine
area has been from 40 per
cent to 60 per cent below
normal, with varying effects
on crops, depending upon
when they were sown.
Common wheat (mainly
winter wheat) was less af
fected by the drought than
were spring wheat and other
grains. Durum wheat
production fell by 200,000
metric tons to about 4 million
tons.
/■ft' ■
Compared with the 1975
harvest, barley production
dropped about 2 million tons
to 30 million tons. The
harvest was below average
in quality mainly because of
the high percentage of small
grains, especially in
brewer’s barley.
It is too early to estimate
this year’s com crop, but the
Commission has tentatively
set the figure at about 11.5
million tons. The harvest,-
the Commission feels, will be
much lower than last year’s
as a result of a reduction in
acreage under cutivation
(especially in France) in
addition to damage done by
the drought.
Total production of cereals
this harvest year is
estimated at 93 million tons,
a drop of 4 per cent from last
year.
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Cereals
Consumption of cereals on
the farm has been in
creasing, especially com
mon wheat (7 million tons)
and barley (14.7 million
tons). To make up for the
shortage of other fodder,
commercial feed-grain
consumption will further
rise.
Import requirements for
both fodder and brewer’s
barley are high (more than 3
million tons), but the
Commission feels that
substitutes may have to be
used because of the limited
world market. Com imports,
however, should grow from
13 million tons last year to
between 16 million and 18
million tons this year.
Sugar
Community sugar
production is expected to
decline 14 per cent to 9.6
million tons. This estimate is
very tentative, however,
because samplings thus far
have shown that the weight
of beet per acre is low while
its sugar content is high.
Imports from countries
associated with the Com
munity by the Lome Con
vention will amount to 1.3
million tons of sugar and an
additional .12 million tons
will be imported in
processed products from
non-member countries.
With sugar consumption
expected to.equal produc
tion, the Community expects
SWINE
WORMER
Lancaster Farming, Saturday, Oct. 23,1976
(arm imports
a 1.42 million ton surplus this be only about half of the 6 per
year. cent originally forecast, but
Feeding stuffs
Usually, the Community
consumes 14 million tons of
oilcakes a ear. Of these,
600,000 tons are domestically
produced from colza seed, a
crop not affected by the
drought. This year’s harvest
was estimated at 950,000 tons
to 970,000 tons, as compared
with 900,000 tons in 1975.
Sunflower seed production
is likely to drop to 115,000
tons to 135,000 tons, as
compared with 165,000 tons
in 1975.
Since the Community’s
oilcake production covers
only 4 per cent to 5 per cent
of its needs, the Community
has to import the reaminder.
In the first six months this
year. Community imports of
oilseeds and oilcakes rose by
25 per cent to 30 per cent.
Imports are estimated as
follows: 9 million tons of
soybeans, 4 million tons of
soybean cake, 2 million tons
of other oilseeds, and 4
million' tons of other
oilcakes.
The Community’s
dehydrated focfder
production was badly bit by
the drought and imports may
not be able to cover the
shortage. In Famace, the
main producer country, the
drop in production could
amount to 40 per cent. Im
ports of substitutes are thus
likely to increase.
Beef and Veal
For cattle farmers, the
drought has badly hurt the
profitability of beef and veal
production, and it will also
hasten the running down of
productio potential. Cattle
herds, which had already
shrunk by 2.3 per cent last
December, will again be cut
this December because of
the shortage of fodder and
increases in feed prices.
Although more animals
will be slaughtered, the
average carcass weight will
probably fall. The drop in
beef and veal production will
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Daily Market Report Phone 717-354-7288
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will fall even more in 1977.
Milk and Milk
Products
Deliveries of milk will
probably increase 1.5 per
cent in 1976. Stocks of skim
milk powder will probably
amount to 1.25 million tons at
the end of the year with a
figure of between 275,000
tons and 300,000 tons for
butter.
Fruit and
Vegetables
The drought is not ex
pected to affect the Com
munity’s fruit supply.
The vegetable situation is
less clear because of the
possibilities for rapid crop
•rotation and greenhouse
growing. However, the
drought clearly hurt the pea
and bean crops where the
harvest in affected areas is
only 20 per cent to 85 per cent
of normal. For unharvested
crops (cauliflower and other
late cabbages, onions,
canning carrots, and root
vegetables), planting and
growth took place in many
areas under bad conditions,
and a drop in production of
up to 30 per cent has beer
forecast.
Coping with
Shortages
In an effort to alleviate the
expected shortages, the EC
Council of Ministers decided
on September 9 to extend flu
total and temporary
suspension of customs duties
for white and red cabbages
fresh peas, and carrots until
Nov, 1, 1976. In addition, it
decided on a partia
suspension (to 8 per cent) ot
customs duties on rib celery
from Oct. 1, on beans and
onions until Nov. 1. The
Council also extended th>
total and temporary
suspension of customs duties
on potatoes and see.
potatoes until Dec. 31
Customs duties on preserve!
green beans are to be
reduced from 24 per cent to
16 per cent until Dec. 31.
105