pwlodiool* ■ W 309 ? a^L L unlvo?sity „ >7 pcnna. T^^^ J i{|^ laneaster Farm inq Vol. 19 No. 5 I FARM TRENDS I A inarke* MSfIT by Dick Wanner Wehere at Lancaster Farming would like to wish you all a happy holiday season, and thank you for your interest in and support of our. efforts over the past year. Thanks For Your Replies n Last week we included a note on the front page asking readers to inform us if they received their papers after Saturday. We received a number of calls this past week, and we’d like to thank everyone who responded. Hopefully, these efforts will result in better deliveries to everyone. Financial Outlook for -74 (The USDA’s annual Outlook Conference was held last . week in Washington. Predictions were flying fast and furious, and one of the most cogent was the prognostication offered by C. Kyle Randall, chairman of the Outlook and Situation Board, on farm financing for Ithe coming year. His comments appear below.) . The value of assets in the farming sector as of January 1, 1974, will total $441 billion, up 15 percent from a year earlier. Farm real estate makes up 2-3 of these assets. Total debt claims against these assets at $BO billion were up 9 -percent. With the value of assets increasing faster than debt, dibt amounted to compared to 19 percent a year earlier. The ratio of net income from farm sources to total debt outstanding is one measure of farmers’ ability to service their outstanding debt commitments.’ This rajio is expected to be about 36 percent by the end of 1973, up some 4 percentage points from the ratio reported for the end of 1972. . Farm real estate prices were rising rapidly in late 1972 and early 1973. They continued to rise sharply into November 1973. Preliminary data suggest that the November 1972 to November 1973 increase in per acre land prices averaged 20 percent nationally. would be a record for land price increases in any 1-year period. It would mainly reflect farmer optimism over income and commodity prices andreadily available but higher cost loan funds. Farm operators continue to buy land for enlargement purposes and invest in capital improvements. Land prices will con tinue rising sharply but the rate of increase will be below the fate'of abOWcTtitth"cmticipaflsd tor 1973.' —- - -- - Bob Nielsen, proprietor of the Sweet Briar Tobacco Shop in Intercourse, says there’s too much paper in most American cigars. “Europeans, and even some Americans, can make an all-tobacco cigar that sells for a dime. Why can’t the big companies do the same?” f\e wonders. Merry Christmas to All! Lancaster Farming, Saturday, December 22, 1973 .Local Survey Shows . . . Ag Ecnii^xi^ent Shortage Looms Local farm equipment dealers are forecasting a shortage of farm equipment next year. Their views are backed up both by the Farm and Industrial Equipment Institute in Chicago, and by Sperry New Holland, the local manufacturer that sells farm equipment around the world. In a Lancaster Farming survey, dealers contacted said, “Buy early, or you might not get what you want.” “Corn planters are on allocation to dealers, and most dealers have sold all the com planters they can get,” we were told by Mert Messick, an In ternational Harvester dealer from Elizabethtown. “Tractors are scarce, too,” Messick said. ‘'Some farmers have bought tractors from us even though it’ll be. some time before we can deliver. I’d say if anybody wants to buy any piece of farm equipment, he’d better get his order in now.” Four major factors are creating the machinery crunch, Messick feels. Farmers have had In This Issue Markets 2-4 Sale Register . 34 Farmers Almanac 6 Classified Ads 37 Editorials 10 Homestead Notes 22 ' Home on the Range —— - 24 - Lebanon Co. DHIA 14 “What This Country Needs Is A Good 10 c Cigar . . “Europeans produce a good, all-tobacco cigar. I don’t see why American cigar companies can’t do the same,” Lancaster Far ming was told in an interview with Bob Nielsen, proprietor of the Sweet Briar Smoke Shop in Intercourse. “I buy some all tobacco cigars from P. T. Wattell in lied Lion, and I sell them for a dime. Dime cigars from the major companies, though, are loaded with paper. And a lot of them just aren’t good smokes.” Nielsen feels the American cigar-buying public has been duped by advertising put out by the big cigar companies. “American tobacco products are made quick, fast and cheap. And a good year, they’ve got more money and they’re spending it. And the manufacturers are having trouble keeping up with the demand. With the end of the soil banks, more land is being put Agway’s Hess Says ... For Higher Prices Grow Good Tobacco “If farmers are willing to produce tobacco for markets other than the cigar filler market, they’ll increase their average prices,” Mark Hess, manager of Agway’s Garden Spot Unit, said this week during a Lancaster Farming interview. Hess also heads up Agway’s tobacco marketing effort for Type 41 tobacco, and was in strumental in getting the U. S. Department of Agriculture to set up a grading system for the crop in 1965. “We can get a premium for our best tobacco,” Hess continued, “but it won’t corns from the cigar filler buyers. Southern buyers will pay a premium, but we’ve got to give them the kind of tobacco they want.” Hess was quick to point out that the Agway marketing effort channeled most of its tobacco to traditional cigar filler' market, trot- because all Agway tobacco is graded, buyers who want a particular quality are they’re loaded with paper. One man who worked for a cigarette company told me he saw paper made to look exactly like tobacco, and it had 27 different chemicals in it. Think thatgood for your lungs?” To illustrate his point about quality differences m cigars, Nielsen cut up one of his 25-cent European cigars and compared it with another one, a six-cent “second” from an American manufacturer. There were indeed chunks of paper in the American variety, and only tobacco in the European one. “AU this paper produces a harsh smoke. But this,” holding up the short, dark European cigar, “is a mild smoke. Even though it looks S 2 00 Per Year back into production, and that calls for more machines. Perhaps the biggest reason local farmers are buying more and more machinery is that farm (Continued On Page 23) able to get it and they’re willing to pay extra for that choice. Under the Agway setup, far mers sell their tobacco to Agway, at which time they get an ad vance cash payment. The ad vance is determined on the basis of the estimated selling price. The bulk of the crop will classify as X-grade, which is straight stripped or pull-off tobacco. is fine quality (Continued On Page 5) Farm Calendar Tuesday, December 25 Merry Christmas Thursday, December 27 1:00 p.m. - Lancaster County 4-H and FFA Corh and Tobacco Roundups, Farm and Home Center. Lancaster County Swine Producers Board of Directors meeting, Farm and Home Center strong Do you want to try it’” This writer must confess that while the Wanner family are good customers for Lancaster County milk, eggs, meat and produce, our contribution to the tobacco industry is nil. Nevertheless, in the interest of objective repor ting, I felt compelled to at least attempt an evaluation of quality differences between American and European cigars Previous cigar-smoking experiences, usually occassioned by someone’s baby, had left me with a bad taste in the mouth and even headaches. I was not predisposed to enjoy any cigar, no matter what tiie country of its origin. But - smoking that European cigar (Continued On Page 36)