B ns|j||||| |[ VOL. 15 NO. 29 Proposal To Be Presented at State Poultry Meeting Wednesday Can Egg Industry Stop Bust? Ray Delano will speak on how to avoid economic disaster from 1971 egg prices at the Pennsyl vania Poultry Federation annual meeting next week, Wednesday, June 24 at the Hershey Motor Lodge. The United Egg Producers rep resentative was a last minute insertion into' the program this week as the deep concern by leading poultrymen in Pennsyl vania and across the nation in regard to the coming egg bust has deepened and spread. Delano will speak at 3:15 p.m. on the subject: “1971 Egg Prices?” How Egg Producers Can Avoid Economic Disaster.” (A Lancaster Farming exclusive news analysis.) In a page 1 article in Lancaster Farming on April 4 after the post-Easter 12-cent drop to the 37-38 cent range, Delano pre dicted- that short term prices should hold at that range. But Delano also predicted that if the sharp increase in egg-type chick hatch set so far in the year was not stopped, the egg industry would be in serious trouble later in the year Since Delano’s com ments the hatch has continued at the high levels Delano warned against. In a letter to members of the Pennsylvania Poultry Fedeiation this week, Donald E. Horn, fed ei ation president, announced Delano’s speech as foIIows “IMPORTANT' LEARN HOW We Introduce New UEP Egg Market; Ray Delano Explains How It Functions Lancaster Farming this week introduces the new United Egg Producers market Launched nationally in May, the new market was reported “unrepresentative” due to lack of adequate data for the North east, our area, in the initial weeks. But in the past couple of weeks the early problems have been overcome, according to local egg authorities, and Lancaster Farm ing introduces the new market as a regular service What is the new UEP egg market’ How does it differ from the existing Uinei Bany market’ The following explanation is based on comments Puday by Ray Delano, who will speak Wednesday at the Pennsylvania Poultry Fedeiation meeting The Uiner Bauy puce is the pi ice one dealei is willing to pay anothei dealei It is a wholesale puce The UEP price is the price fiom the packei to the pioducei It is the producer paying price The UEP price is the net price to the producer from the buyer Y O U CAN PARTICIPATE WITH OTHER MEMBERS OF THE EGG INDUSTRY IN PRE VENTING DISASTROUS EGG PRICES DURING THE COMING MONTHS. The information you read in the following paragraphs can be of vital importance to you as i member of the egg produc tion industry. We encourage you to read this letter in detail and takerthe initiative to participate at the described June 24 meeting. “The egg production industry has notoriously followed a ‘Boom and Bust’ pattern for the last decade. The price cycle of the 1967 period was disastrously low with some of the farm puces in Pennsylvania being as low as $22 as an aveiage price for flocks that were in production for eight months By early 1970 the prices went to the other extreme, peaking out at $.63 per dozen. These higher egg prices helped to balance the losses of 1967. “According to USDA figures, egg type chick production is up 18 per cent over 1969. All knowl edgeable maiketing people feel that the poultry industry may be facing the lowest egg prices in 1971 in the history of the indus try. One expert says that unless corrective steps are taken to re duce overproduction, the 1971 prices will make 1967 look as though the industry was rela tively prosperous. “About a year and a half ago egg producers formed a national Large Medium Small Regions June 16 -18 June 16 -18 June 16 -18 Northeast 30 32% 25 26 12 16 Northwest 24 29 19 24 12 12 Central West 23 27 18 22 11 11 Southwest 22 26 17 21 11 11 Midwest 27 29% 23 24 11 12% Southeast 28 31 24 25% 14 15% National average 27 30 23 24% 12 14 The UEP notes that these prices are “recommended pay ing. prices for United Egg Producers members” and that the regions represent UEP regional members. for Grade A eggs on a grade inventoiy loss; and piofit to the yield basis, picked up at the farm packei nest um (For story on Urner Barry plans to explain innovations in its own market, see page 11.) To compaie the two puces, to stait with the UEP price and ai uve at the Uinei Bauy puce would lequue addition of the following costs by the packei tianspoitation fiom the faim to the piocessmg plant, use of the case m tianspoitation, labor, overhead and other processing costs, case, material and trans portation in shipment to market; Lancaster Farming, Saturday, June 20,1970 organization which is known as United Egg Producers (UEP) This organization is confronted with a real challenge in trying to develop a ‘price discovery sys (See page 6 for an analysis of the present egg market by a local man.) tem’ and to keep egg production in balance with demand. The UEP Board of Directors had an emergency meeting on June 9 to formulate a positive action pro UEP Adopts Program Monday In Atlanta To Hit Egg Bust A sweeping emergency pro gram designed to help egg pro ducers achieve voluntary com pliance with USDA production guidelines for 1970 was an nounced by United Egg Pro ducers in Atlanta on June 15 At a meeting to announce UEP’s recommendations to allied industry leaders, a UEP spokes man pointed to published produc tion and hen population figures and said that the industry is “continuing its headling plunge toward economic disaster in late 1970 and all of 1971.” The spokesman stated that “only drastic and immediate vol untary action by the egg industiy The Uinei Bany wholesale puce is based on a 30-dozen case of loose giaded eggs which aie sized but not checked foi quality The aveiage person would not accept these eggs without the added expense of giadmg The UEP puce allows foi the packei to do this giadmg Delano piojects that in the long lun, the pioducei puce wall leflect a tiue value and will be come a “veiy icalistic price set up ” A price gathering system has (Continued on Page 11) gram that egg produceis can fol low to avoid disastious egg puces in 1971 "Mr. Ray Delano, affiliated with United Egg Producers, has been invited to appear on the Federation’s Annual Meeting Program on June 24 for the pur pose of explaining this important plan of action to the egg pro ducers of Pennsylvania. “We sincerely urge you to at tend this meeting and learn how jou can participate in this plan - can save the industiy’s small and i- medium-sized operators from i- extinction.” n The action proposed by UEP to i- the industry follows the recom i- mendations laid down by the USDA Guidelines through a four ; step program: 1 1. Cup U. S. Egg Production by - 8 per cent immediately by killing - oft old hens. One way of doing s this would be to kill off all hens ! over 10% months in pi eduction. ; 2. Hatch ZERO pullet chicks in ; August, 1970 3 Hold placements for July, ; ; Septmeber, Octobei, Novembei, • and December to 1969 levels r 4 Hold molting nationally at the same peicentage for the period July 1 December 31, 1970 that were molted January 1 —June 30, 1970 Without this action, UEP says a 10,000 bird operation stands to lose $17,100 for the 18 month period of July 1,1970 —Decembei 31, 1971 while a 100,000 bird operation would lose $171,000 If the guideline actions aie ’ taken, UEP says the same opera tions would show a profit of $11,400 and $114,000 respetively But, by avoiding the loss, UEP says the net gain would actually be $28,000 and $285,000 respec tively. These UEP loss projections are based on a large market whole . sale quote of 37.3 cents a dozen, reduced 13 cents to make an average farm price and another 2 cents to account for suiplus conditions for a net yield of 22 3 ; cents F.O B farm from July l, 1970 through December 1971 : At the same time, UEP esti ; mates pioduction costs will ave : icge 28 cents a dozen foi a net loss of 5 7 cents a dozen t If the industiy follows the foui : steps outlined by UEP, UEP estimates the wholesale laige ; quote in the 18-month peuod will aveiage 44 8 cents a dozen and : theie will be no 2 cent loss toi I surplus conditions, leaving an - average farm puce of 31 8 cents At the same 28 cent cost foi the period, UEP projects a 3 8 > cent a dozen profit under the guidelines, instead of the 5 7 cent 12.00 Per Year designed to pi event disastrous egg puces in 1971. In addition to hearing about the UEP plan ot action, you will also have the opportunity of hearing the other excellent speakers scheduled on the program,” Horn concluded. Other subjects slated for the day, which begins at 10 a.m., in clude poultry housing, legislation and regulations affecting the in dustry, the future in the 1970 s anc piesentation of awards. (Continued on Page 7) a Cozen loss if the guidelines are not followed. The UEP notes that the profit ' figures projected from carrying out the UEP program nationally are based on reducing egg pro duction by five per cent na tionally. Unless the industry strives to meet the guideline goals, UEP*s Statistical Department predicts theie will be 3272 million pro ducing hens by December 1. 1970 This repiesents an increase oi 13.9 million over the average hen population for July-Decem bei 1969 The USDA’s guideline would yield an increase of only 4 7 million over the 1969 figure. The difference between the guideline figure of 318 0 million hens and UEP’s estimate is 9.2 million UEP says that the increase o> er the guideline figure would icsult in a weekly surplus of over 100,000 cases of eggs (30 dozen to the case) a surplus that would have ruinous conse quences for the entire industry. At the June 9 emergency meet ing of UEP’s board in Atlanta, directors unanimously voted to lecommend the program to the industry The board also gave overwhelming support to a mo tion to spend up to $lOO,OOO to promote the program. Iviemueis of UEP's Executive Committee in attendance at the meeting were Don Nicolaysen, president, Fied Adams, vice pi esident, Mike Hirth; Maurice Stein, and R L Rossiter Regional and local informa tional meetings are being sched uled throughout the United Slates dm mg the balance of Juno to mtoim egg ptoducers about the piogiam Condimed meetings to date aie Atlanta, Roanoke, Raleigh, Sh’evepoit, Los An geles Saciemenlo, Seattle, Lan sing, New York, Maine and New Hampshue Many other meetings aie in the planning stages (See Page 1 story on Pennsylvania meeting Wednesday.) A spokesman pointed out that producers selling off old hens (Continued on Page 6)