6—Lancaster Farming, Saturday, December 11, 1965
[• Outlook
(Contmueu from Page 1)
favor the latter possibility,
and look tor a gradual re
building of herds starting
next year.
Feeder cattle prices ad
vanced . sharply last spring
and continued strong through
the summer in iespouse to
demand tor teedlot place
ments. The outlook for above
average wheat pastures and
rel'atnely good pasture con
ditions this fall and winter
is presently aiding feeder
prices. The expeits look for
prices to make a stiong sea
sonal rise tlnough the win
ter, with this added strength
carrying thiough next year.
The dem'and for feedlot place
ments, as well as demand for
heifers as additions to breed
ing herds, will give consid
erable strength to prices.
Cow prices have averaged
somewhat above 1964 levels
this year, even though slaugh
ter has been up 30 percent.
Strength m cow prices re
sulted from reduced slaugh
ter rates of other nonfed cat
tle, s'm'aller impoits of beef,
and some inciease in demand
for held cows This tiend is
expected to continue through
out 1966.
So the outlook for fed cat
tle good although cattle
men will apparently be pay
ing higher puces foi feeders.
HOGS
The peak hog maiket this
year was accounted for by
smaller supplies, stiong con
sumer demand, and general
ly higher puces of other zed
meats.
The outlook calls for con
tinued high puce levels for
next year, peihaps moderate
ly above this yeai’s puces
However, most of the strength
in hog prices is seen occur
ring during the fli st six to
eight months of the year
Prices towtard the end of the
year are expected to be be
low the levels of this fall,
as slaughter supplies gam.
How much supplies will gam,
and price will fall, will de
pend upon late spring and
fail farrowmgs next year
In September of this year,
the number of hogs and pigs
on farms m the 10 Corn Belt
States whs 12 percent below
a year earlier The number
of sow r s farrowing in those
states in June-Xoveniber 1965
is estimated at eight percent
smaller than a year earlier
But hog producers are be
ginning to take steps to re
verse the down-trend m hog
production that began in
1963. Although only a small
gain in production by late
1966 tin anticipated from
spring farrowingc, if late
spring and fall farrowmgs
increased by 10 percent or
more the resulting larger
supplies could sharply lower
prices in late 1966 and 1967
Hog outlook continued
high prices through most of
1966 with the mam ques
tion mark being the peak
farrowing period, March to
May.
DAIRY OUTLOOK
Prospects for dairy farm
ers for 1966 are seen as
somewhat better than 1965,
on all fronts. It is expected
that production will increase
by about one-half billion
pounds, but still not reach
ing 1964 peaks Commercial
dem'and will increase mod
erately, surplus levels will re
main at about 19 63 lei els,
and prices will use slightly.
The decline in 1965 milk
production is attributed to
more favoiable letuins in al
ternative enterprises, partic
ularly livestock. Man} mid
west danynien repoitedly
changed to livestock produc-
tlon because the return was
greater.
Milk cow numbers have
fallen every year since 1D53,
trom 21.7 million then, to
15’5 iniM’ion this year. This
decline has been offset, how
e\er, by an mcrnge annual
production increase of 220
pounds of milk since 1955.
Average output increased
this jear, and the experts see
no reason why next year
shouldn't bring another jump
of 200 pounds per cow.
Although domestic con
sumption of dairy products
mihtaiy and civilian —is
expected to increase slightly
in 1966, the trend toward re
duced per capita consumption
is also expected to continue.
The drop is mostly in but
ter, cream, evaporated and
Whole milk, whereas, per cap
ita use of cheese, ice cream,
condensed 'and dry whole
milk, and non-fat dry milk
is steadily rising.
Dairy product exports are
presently running about one
third below 19 64 record lev
els, largely because of low
er supplies here and mcreas-
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iSi
MOUNTVILLE
FEED SERVICE
R. D. Z, Columbia
HERSHEY BROS.
Reinholds
FOWL’S FEED SERVICE
R. D. 1, Quarryville
R, D. Z, Peach Bottom
H. M. STAUFFER
& SONS, INC.
Witmer
HEISEY
FARM SERVICE
Lawn and Bellaire
DUTCHMAN FEED
MILLS, INC.
R. D. 1, Stevens
ed output in other countries.limited U.S. supplies, larger
Foreign sales of 1966 are ex-foreign supplies, and trade
pected to be close to this barriers.
year’ll levels, due again
MILK PRODUCTION, COW NUMBERS,
AND MILK PER COW
Production |
i P rD^UC^on |
'■ ,«».»»>**«■—» i ■ 7
« ’ ‘ ' 'I j
t
140 >
120 j
too
... .... MfJfe covvs * -
80*
.60^
1950
% vf*j|t<t*rt *#> ***£W*!**
CHART NO. 3 In terms of percent of 1947-49,
the above chart shows the changes that have taken
place in the dairy industry in the past 15-20 years,
and each of these trends is expected to continue its
present direction. Total milk production is presently a
shade above 1950 levels; production per cow has in
creased nearly 60 percent; and number of cows has
declined by approximately 30 percent.
GRUBB SUPPLY CO.
Elizabethtown
WHITE OAK MILL
R. D. 4, Manheim
MILLPORT
ROLLER MILLS
R. D. 4, Lititz
ROHRER’S MILL
R. D. 1, Ronks
C. E. SAUDER & SONS
K. D. 1, East Earl
MILLERSVILLE
SUPPLY CO.
Millersville
to Imports of dairy products,
1960
1955
* ****tr »t mwfr
tut; ** ♦ **** t
Your Best Buy Is
Corbel Belgium
BALER TWINE
9,000 ft. per bale (325 lbs. tensil strength)
10,000 ft. per bale (290 lbs. tensil strength)
Made From Pure No. 1 East African Fiber
| $7.60 Per Bale
I 25 Or More Bales $7.25
Twine will not be
April 1, 1966 with cash
E. R. Kreider
521 Willow Road
. Lancaster, Pa.
Willis B. Krantz
R. D, 1
Quarryville, Pa.
Edgar M. Martin
R. D. 2
New Holland, Pa.
Name
Address
Tele.
Township
Place my order for
Place my order for
Refer order to dealer listed above
Distributed By
EASTERN STATE DISTRIBUTING CO.
R. D. 2
though still small In relation
to UjS. production, are ex
pected to hit approximately
one billion pounds milk equiv
alent, a 10 percent increase
over this year’s Imports. Ex
cess supplies a,broad, lower
U.S. milk production and sur
plus in 19G5, and U.S. prices
above world levels are en
couraging other countries to
seek m'arkets here for their
■dairy products.
Outlook for dairy farmers
for 1966 —slightly better than
ID6'5, but with some Increas
es in domestic production and
in imports clouding the issue
somewhat. If surpluses are
contained, the key to higher
dairy profits may lie in In
creased Food For Peace pur
chases. Livestock will con
tinue tO' be an attractive al
ternative for many dairymen,
and this should act as an ef
fective brake on over-produc
tion.
//<*
BROILERS
Broiler production will
probhbly begin the year
about 10 percent abo-ve 1965
levels, 'and may continue
higher through next summer.
delivered until after
terms up to May 1, 1966
Available at
these dealers:
S. Ober
Jacob
R. D, 1
Conestoga, Pa.
DEALER ORDER FORM
OUTLOOK FOB POULTltft
AND EGGS
(Continued on Page 7)
Melvin M. Martin
R. D. i
Lititz, Pa.
Elom hi. Mortin
R. D. i
Leola, Pa.
J. Melvin Most
R. D. 2
Parkesburg, Pa.
bales 9,000 ft.
bales 10,000 ft.
Lititz, Pa.
55*353
►x,T*a
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